ScoreProb
II Liga - East Poland Round 15 2026

Sokół Kleczew vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz

Sokół Kleczew Home · Elo 1,520
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Sandecja Nowy Sącz Away · Elo 1,586
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Sandecja Nowy Sącz win
Sokół Kleczew win
29.6%
Draw
21.3%
Sandecja Nowy Sącz winPick
49.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes56.8%
No43.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.560.1%
Under 2.539.9%

How much we know

Sokół Kleczew history62 matches
Sandecja Nowy Sącz history74 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 11:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (49.1%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Sandecja Nowy Sącz are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Sandecja Nowy Sącz are rated 67 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,586 against 1,520. On rating alone Sandecja Nowy Sącz would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.63 goals a game over 62 matches for Sokół Kleczew, against 1.69 over 74 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz.

  • Sandecja Nowy Sącz concede fewer

    Sokół Kleczew concede 1.55 a game, Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1.14.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    60% of Sokół Kleczew matches, against 58% for Sandecja Nowy Sącz. The model puts this match at 60% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Sokół Kleczew
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1519.6
ELO
1586.2
62
ELO · Matches
74
1519.6
Current Team ELO
1586.2
1586.2
Current Opponent ELO
1519.6
-66.62
Current ELO Difference
66.62
0.41
Expected score
0.59
62
History Matches
74
0.01
Residual Mean
0.07
50.53
Overperformance
55.24
0.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.02
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
2.00
1.20
Goals for per game
1.60
2.60
Goals against per game
0.80
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
1.50
1.80
Goals for per game
1.30
1.80
Goals against per game
0.80
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.94
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.42
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.80
2.14
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.98
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
3.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.91
Overall performance9 signals
90
62
Matches
74
1.45
PPG
1.65
41.9%
Win rate
44.6%
19.4%
Draw rate
31.1%
38.7%
Loss rate
24.3%
85.5%
Over 1.5 rate
77.0%
59.7%
Over 2.5 rate
58.1%
35.5%
Over 3.5 rate
32.4%
2.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.16
Venue performance10 signals
100
28
Matches
33
1.64
PPG
1.52
46.4%
Win rate
42.4%
25.0%
Draw rate
24.2%
28.6%
Loss rate
33.3%
78.6%
Over 1.5 rate
78.8%
57.1%
Over 2.5 rate
57.6%
35.7%
Over 3.5 rate
30.3%
1.78
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.74
28
History Matches
33
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.63
Goals for per game
1.69
75.8%
Scoring rate
77.0%
56.5%
BTTS rate
56.8%
1.71
Goals for per game
1.48
75.0%
Scoring rate
72.7%
50.0%
BTTS rate
57.6%
1.20
Goals for per game
1.00
80.0%
Scoring rate
60.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
20.0%
62
History Matches
74
1.63
Goals Mean
1.69
1.46
Goals Std
1.76
75.8%
Scored 1+ rate
77.0%
48.4%
Scored 2+ rate
45.9%
19.4%
Scored 3+ rate
21.6%
1.71
Venue Goals Mean
1.48
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.55
Goals against per game
1.14
75.8%
Conceding rate
67.6%
1.21
Goals against per game
1.27
64.3%
Conceding rate
75.8%
2.60
Goals against per game
0.80
60.0%
Conceding rate
40.0%
62
History Matches
74
1.55
Conceded Mean
1.14
1.44
Conceded Std
1.03
41.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
32.4%
19.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.2%
1.21
Venue Conceded Mean
1.27
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
24.2%
Clean-sheet rate
32.4%
24.2%
Failed-to-score rate
23.0%
35.7%
Clean-sheet rate
24.2%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
60.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
24.2%
Clean-sheet rate
32.4%
24.2%
Failed-to-score rate
23.0%
35.7%
Clean-sheet rate
24.2%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
24.2%
Clean-sheet rate
32.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
62
History Matches
74
0.96
Result entropy
0.97
2.25
Goal Difference Std
2.16
4.45
Stability score
2.86
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
61
Eligible Matches
71
23
Lead Matches
23
82.6%
Lead Win Rate
78.3%
0.87
Lead Points Retention
0.83
18
Trailing Matches
20
5.6%
Non-loss rate
50.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
10.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
61
Halftime Coverage Matches
71
0.84
First Half Goals For Mean
0.63
0.56
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.56
0.82
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.59
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.04
Rest days
77.79
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
3
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.33
31
Normal Rest History Matches
45
1.77
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.87
27
Long Rest History Matches
25
1.19
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.24
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
1.60
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
40.0%
Draw rate
40.0%
40.0%
Loss rate
20.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
60.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
40.0%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
3.14
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.94
5
Current Competition Matches
5
1.00
Current Competition PPG
1.60
-1.40
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.20
6
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.62
Portability PPG Std
0.64
1.38
Portability PPG Range
1.80
44.50
Portability Score
43.79
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
62
Clean History Matches
74
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-66.62
PPG-0.20
GF-0.06
GA0.41
PPG-0.60
PPG0.13
PPG-1.00
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-12
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate1.2%
History Matches-5
Clean-sheet rate11.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches-12
Goals Mean-0.06
Goals Std-0.30
Scored 1+ rate-0.01
Scored 2+ rate2.4%
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean0.23
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std0.52
History Matches-12
Conceded Mean0.41
Conceded Std0.41
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Conceded 2+ rate9.5%
Conceded 3+ rate7.2%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.06
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.16
History Matches-12
Result entropy-0.02
Goal Difference Std0.09
Stability score1.60
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.22
Eligible Matches-10
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate4.3%
Lead Points Retention0.04
Trailing Matches-2
Non-loss rate-0.44
Trailing Win Rate-0.10
Halftime Coverage Matches-10
First Half Goals For Mean0.20
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.01
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.18
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.41
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.60
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.60
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Portability PPG Std-0.02
Portability PPG Range-0.43
Portability Score0.71
Rest days-1.75
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.33
Normal Rest History Matches-14
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.09
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.05
Current Team ELO-66.62
Current Opponent ELO66.62
Current ELO Difference-133.2
Expected score-0.19
History Matches-12
Residual Mean-0.06
Overperformance-4.72
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.17

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Sokół Kleczew

W
Stal Stalowa Wola1–2Sokół Kleczew31 Oct · away
Pick: Stal Stalowa Wola 54% · missed
W
Sokół Kleczew2–1Podhale Nowy Targ28 Oct · home
Pick: Podhale Nowy Targ 45% · missed
W
Sokół Kleczew4–2Śląsk Wrocław II23 Oct · home
Pick: Śląsk Wrocław II 49% · missed
D
Resovia Rzeszów0–0Sokół Kleczew18 Oct · away
Pick: Resovia Rzeszów 47% · missed
D
Sokół Kleczew1–1Chojniczanka Chojnice29 Aug · home
Pick: Sokół Kleczew 43% · missed

Sandecja Nowy Sącz

W
Sandecja Nowy Sącz2–1Olimpia Grudziądz30 Oct · home
Pick: Sandecja Nowy Sącz 43% · hit
L
Stal Stalowa Wola1–0Sandecja Nowy Sącz24 Oct · away
Pick: Sandecja Nowy Sącz 38% · missed
W
Sandecja Nowy Sącz4–3Zawisza Bydgoszcz18 Oct · home
Pick: Sandecja Nowy Sącz 43% · hit
L
Polonia Środa3–2Sandecja Nowy Sącz1 Sep · away
Pick: Polonia Środa 38% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Sokół Kleczew and Sandecja Nowy Sącz meet in II Liga - East on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 11:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Sokół Kleczew win 29.6%, draw 21.3%, Sandecja Nowy Sącz win 49.1%. The pick is Sandecja Nowy Sącz win. Over 2.5 goals: 60.1%. Both teams to score: 56.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.