ScoreProb
Júniores U19 Portugal Round 11 2026

Sporting Braga U19 vs Academico Viseu U19

Sporting Braga U19 Home · Elo 1,581
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Academico Viseu U19 Away · Elo 1,512
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Sporting Braga U19 win
Sporting Braga U19 winPick
57.2%
Draw
21.1%
Academico Viseu U19 win
21.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes50.8%
No49.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.557.2%
Under 2.542.8%

How much we know

Sporting Braga U19 history43 matches
Academico Viseu U19 history44 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (57.2%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Sporting Braga U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Sporting Braga U19 are rated 69 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,581 against 1,512. On rating alone Sporting Braga U19 would be expected to take 60% of the points on offer.

  • Sporting Braga U19 score far more

    2.05 goals a game over 43 matches for Sporting Braga U19, against 1.18 over 44 for Academico Viseu U19.

  • Defences are close

    Sporting Braga U19 concede 1.23 a game, Academico Viseu U19 1.14.

  • Sporting Braga U19 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    63% of Sporting Braga U19 matches, against 41% for Academico Viseu U19. The model puts this match at 57% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Sporting Braga U19
Academico Viseu U19
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1580.7
ELO
1512.1
43
ELO · Matches
44
1580.7
Current Team ELO
1512.1
1512.1
Current Opponent ELO
1580.7
68.68
Current ELO Difference
-68.68
0.60
Expected score
0.40
43
History Matches
44
0.09
Residual Mean
0.01
56.15
Overperformance
50.60
0.29
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.07
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
3.00
PPG
0.40
3.20
Goals for per game
0.20
0.80
Goals against per game
1.40
100.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
2.70
PPG
1.30
2.50
Goals for per game
0.90
0.80
Goals against per game
0.80
90.0%
Win rate
30.0%
2.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.14
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.80
0.98
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.98
0.30
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.27
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.81
Overall performance9 signals
90
43
Matches
44
1.79
PPG
1.41
53.5%
Win rate
34.1%
18.6%
Draw rate
38.6%
27.9%
Loss rate
27.3%
81.4%
Over 1.5 rate
77.3%
62.8%
Over 2.5 rate
40.9%
37.2%
Over 3.5 rate
18.2%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.68
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
23
1.76
PPG
1.17
52.4%
Win rate
30.4%
19.0%
Draw rate
26.1%
28.6%
Loss rate
43.5%
85.7%
Over 1.5 rate
73.9%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
43.5%
47.6%
Over 3.5 rate
17.4%
2.03
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.81
21
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.05
Goals for per game
1.18
81.4%
Scoring rate
68.2%
62.8%
BTTS rate
47.7%
2.14
Goals for per game
0.96
81.0%
Scoring rate
60.9%
66.7%
BTTS rate
39.1%
2.00
Goals for per game
0.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
33.3%
0.0%
BTTS rate
33.3%
43
History Matches
44
2.05
Goals Mean
1.18
1.74
Goals Std
1.05
81.4%
Scored 1+ rate
68.2%
53.5%
Scored 2+ rate
34.1%
32.6%
Scored 3+ rate
15.9%
2.14
Venue Goals Mean
0.96
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.23
Goals against per game
1.14
76.7%
Conceding rate
65.9%
1.43
Goals against per game
1.39
81.0%
Conceding rate
69.6%
0.00
Goals against per game
1.33
0.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
43
History Matches
44
1.23
Conceded Mean
1.14
0.96
Conceded Std
1.14
39.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
29.5%
2.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
13.6%
1.43
Venue Conceded Mean
1.39
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
34.1%
18.6%
Failed-to-score rate
31.8%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.4%
19.0%
Failed-to-score rate
39.1%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
34.1%
18.6%
Failed-to-score rate
31.8%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.4%
19.0%
Failed-to-score rate
39.1%
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
34.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
43
History Matches
44
0.91
Result entropy
0.99
2.00
Goal Difference Std
1.68
8.64
Stability score
0.91
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
43
Eligible Matches
44
19
Lead Matches
14
89.5%
Lead Win Rate
71.4%
0.91
Lead Points Retention
0.81
10
Trailing Matches
12
30.0%
Non-loss rate
16.7%
20.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
43
Halftime Coverage Matches
44
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.48
0.58
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.43
1.05
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.70
0.65
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.70
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.96
Rest days
76.96
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
25
Normal Rest History Matches
23
1.76
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.57
17
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.94
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.16
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
3
3.00
PPG
0.33
100.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
0.0%
Loss rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.82
2
Current Competition Matches
3
3.00
Current Competition PPG
0.33
2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.00
3
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.14
Portability PPG Std
0.55
0.28
Portability PPG Range
1.21
77.94
Portability Score
47.55
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
43
Clean History Matches
44
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO68.68
PPG0.38
GF0.86
GA0.10
PPG2.67
PPG0.59
PPG2.60
PPG1.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Failed-to-score rate-0.20
History Matches-1
Goals Mean0.86
Goals Std0.69
Scored 1+ rate13.2%
Scored 2+ rate19.4%
Scored 3+ rate16.6%
Venue Goals Mean1.19
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.36
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean0.10
Conceded Std-0.18
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Conceded 2+ rate10.0%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.11
Venue Conceded Mean0.04
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.00
History Matches-1
Result entropy-0.08
Goal Difference Std0.32
Stability score7.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.70
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.54
Eligible Matches-1
Lead Matches5
Lead Win Rate18.0%
Lead Points Retention0.10
Trailing Matches-2
Non-loss rate13.3%
Trailing Win Rate20.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-1
First Half Goals For Mean0.52
First Half Goals Against Mean0.15
Second Half Goals For Mean0.34
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.05
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG2.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.41
Portability PPG Range-0.92
Portability Score30.39
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.19
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.78
Current Team ELO68.68
Current Opponent ELO-68.68
Current ELO Difference137.4
Expected score0.20
History Matches-1
Residual Mean0.08
Overperformance5.55
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.36

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Sporting Braga U19

D
Gil Vicente U191–1Sporting Braga U1931 Oct · away
Pick: Sporting Braga U19 49% · missed
D
Sporting Braga U193–3Famalicão U1924 Oct · home
Pick: Sporting Braga U19 53% · missed
L
Rio Ave U191–0Sporting Braga U1917 Oct · away
Pick: Sporting Braga U19 54% · missed
D
Sporting Braga U190–0Gil Vicente U1929 Aug · home
Pick: Sporting Braga U19 55% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Academico Viseu U19

L
Academico Viseu U191–2Rio Ave U1931 Oct · home
Pick: Academico Viseu U19 39% · missed
W
Academico Viseu U195–1Porto U1924 Oct · home
Pick: Porto U19 62% · missed
L
Vitoria Guimaraes U194–1Academico Viseu U1917 Oct · away
Pick: Vitoria Guimaraes U19 50% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Sporting Braga U19 and Academico Viseu U19 meet in Júniores U19 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Sporting Braga U19 win 57.2%, draw 21.1%, Academico Viseu U19 win 21.7%. The pick is Sporting Braga U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 57.2%. Both teams to score: 50.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.