Sporting Charleroi II vs Rochefort
Sporting Charleroi II
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Rochefort
Match result probability Model pick: Sporting Charleroi II win
Sporting Charleroi II winPick
51.5%
Draw
23.2%
Rochefort win
25.3%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes62.7%
No37.3%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.560.5%
Under 2.539.5%
How much we know
Sporting Charleroi II history69 matches
Rochefort history51 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Sporting Charleroi II
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 13:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 14:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (51.5%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.
Why Sporting Charleroi II are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Rochefort are rated 30 Elo points higher
Elo 1,476 against 1,446. On rating alone Rochefort would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.
-
Sporting Charleroi II score more
1.46 goals a game over 69 matches for Sporting Charleroi II, against 1.29 over 51 for Rochefort.
-
Rochefort concede fewer
Sporting Charleroi II concede 1.90 a game, Rochefort 1.65.
-
Sporting Charleroi II games more often go over 2.5 goals
68% of Sporting Charleroi II matches, against 57% for Rochefort. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 2 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Sporting Charleroi II
Rochefort
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1445.6
ELO
1475.8
69
ELO · Matches
51
1445.6
Current Team ELO
1475.8
1475.8
Current Opponent ELO
1445.6
-30.19
Current ELO Difference
30.19
0.46
Expected score
0.54
69
History Matches
51
-0.03
Residual Mean
-0.02
47.32
Overperformance
48.79
-0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.06
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.00
1.40
Goals for per game
2.60
1.80
Goals against per game
2.60
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
0.80
1.30
Goals for per game
1.90
2.20
Goals against per game
2.30
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.90
1.55
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.30
2.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.30
1.83
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.35
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.84
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.91
Overall performance9 signals 90
69
Matches
51
1.25
PPG
1.14
36.2%
Win rate
29.4%
15.9%
Draw rate
25.5%
47.8%
Loss rate
45.1%
87.0%
Over 1.5 rate
78.4%
68.1%
Over 2.5 rate
56.9%
44.9%
Over 3.5 rate
31.4%
2.05
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.03
Venue performance10 signals 100
36
Matches
24
1.11
PPG
1.17
30.6%
Win rate
33.3%
19.4%
Draw rate
16.7%
50.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
91.7%
Over 1.5 rate
83.3%
69.4%
Over 2.5 rate
62.5%
41.7%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.64
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.32
36
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.46
Goals for per game
1.29
76.8%
Scoring rate
70.6%
62.3%
BTTS rate
51.0%
1.47
Goals for per game
1.42
75.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
69.4%
BTTS rate
45.8%
69
History Matches
51
1.46
Goals Mean
1.29
1.22
Goals Std
1.27
76.8%
Scored 1+ rate
70.6%
40.6%
Scored 2+ rate
31.4%
20.3%
Scored 3+ rate
17.6%
1.47
Venue Goals Mean
1.42
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.90
Goals against per game
1.65
84.1%
Conceding rate
76.5%
1.86
Goals against per game
1.54
91.7%
Conceding rate
70.8%
69
History Matches
51
1.90
Conceded Mean
1.65
1.41
Conceded Std
1.38
62.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
49.0%
27.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
23.5%
1.86
Venue Conceded Mean
1.54
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
15.9%
Clean-sheet rate
23.5%
23.2%
Failed-to-score rate
29.4%
8.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.2%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
15.9%
Clean-sheet rate
23.5%
23.2%
Failed-to-score rate
29.4%
8.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.2%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
15.9%
Clean-sheet rate
23.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
69
History Matches
51
0.92
Result entropy
0.97
2.05
Goal Difference Std
2.03
7.76
Stability score
2.83
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
63
Eligible Matches
49
14
Lead Matches
10
64.3%
Lead Win Rate
70.0%
0.69
Lead Points Retention
0.77
25
Trailing Matches
22
24.0%
Non-loss rate
27.3%
12.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
63
Halftime Coverage Matches
49
0.62
First Half Goals For Mean
0.49
0.87
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
0.89
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.80
1.05
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.88
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
176.8
Rest days
98.92
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
22
Short Rest History Matches
2
1.86
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
36
Normal Rest History Matches
25
0.81
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.16
10
Long Rest History Matches
23
1.60
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.13
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
4
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.29
Portability PPG Std
0.24
0.65
Portability PPG Range
0.59
62.93
Portability Score
67.70
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
69
Clean History Matches
51
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-30.19
PPG0.11
GF0.17
GA0.25
PPG-0.06
PPG0.20
PPG0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches18
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches12
Clean-sheet rate-0.21
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches18
Goals Mean0.17
Goals Std-0.05
Scored 1+ rate6.2%
Scored 2+ rate9.2%
Scored 3+ rate2.6%
Venue Goals Mean0.06
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.25
History Matches18
Conceded Mean0.25
Conceded Std0.02
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Conceded 2+ rate13.3%
Conceded 3+ rate4.0%
Venue Conceded Mean0.32
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.49
History Matches18
Result entropy-0.05
Goal Difference Std0.03
Stability score4.93
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.25
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.94
Eligible Matches14
Lead Matches4
Lead Win Rate-0.06
Lead Points Retention-0.08
Trailing Matches3
Non-loss rate-0.03
Trailing Win Rate12.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches14
First Half Goals For Mean0.13
First Half Goals Against Mean0.08
Second Half Goals For Mean0.09
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.17
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.06
Portability PPG Range0.06
Portability Score-4.77
Rest days77.92
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches20
Short Rest Points Per Match0.36
Normal Rest History Matches11
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.35
Long Rest History Matches-13
Long Rest Points Per Match0.47
Current Team ELO-30.19
Current Opponent ELO30.19
Current ELO Difference-60.37
Expected score-0.09
History Matches18
Residual Mean-0.02
Overperformance-1.47
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.00
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Sporting Charleroi II
L
Meux3–2Sporting Charleroi II31 Oct · away
Pick: Meux 41% · hit W
Sporting Charleroi II1–0Standard Liège II25 Oct · home
Pick: Sporting Charleroi II 54% · hit L
Union Saint-Gilloise II2–0Sporting Charleroi II17 Oct · away
Pick: Sporting Charleroi II 48% · missed W
Onhaye2–4Sporting Charleroi II4 Oct · away
Pick: Onhaye 44% · missed W
Sporting Charleroi II1–0Albert Quévy-Mons30 Aug · home
Pick: Albert Quévy-Mons 45% · missed Rochefort
D
Flénu1–1Rochefort31 Oct · away
Pick: Rochefort 46% · missed W
Rochefort4–0Olympic Charleroi24 Oct · home
Pick: Rochefort 38% · hit L
Albert Quévy-Mons2–0Rochefort21 Oct · away
Pick: Albert Quévy-Mons 48% · hit W
Rochefort4–2Habay-la-Neuve29 Aug · home
Pick: Rochefort 51% · hit W
Union Saint-Gilloise II0–2Rochefort26 Aug · away
Pick: Rochefort 41% · hit About this match
Sporting Charleroi II and Rochefort meet in First Amateur Division on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Sporting Charleroi II win 51.5%, draw 23.2%, Rochefort win 25.3%. The pick is Sporting Charleroi II win. Over 2.5 goals: 60.5%. Both teams to score: 62.7%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.