ScoreProb
Botola 2 Morocco Round 7 2026

Stade Marocain vs Olympique Safi

Stade Marocain Home · Elo 1,472
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Olympique Safi Away · Elo 1,496
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Olympique Safi win
Stade Marocain win
28.1%
Draw
32.0%
Olympique Safi winPick
39.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · the live score only: events are not provided for this competition by our data source
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.536.9%
Under 2.563.1%

How much we know

Stade Marocain history45 matches
Olympique Safi history60 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (39.9%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Olympique Safi are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,472 against 1,496. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Olympique Safi score more

    0.91 goals a game over 45 matches for Stade Marocain, against 1.10 over 60 for Olympique Safi.

  • Defences are close

    Stade Marocain concede 1.02 a game, Olympique Safi 1.10.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    31% of Stade Marocain matches, against 37% for Olympique Safi. The model puts this match at 37% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 9 Jul 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Stade Marocain
Olympique Safi
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1471.5
ELO
1496.0
45
ELO · Matches
60
1471.5
Current Team ELO
1496.0
1496.0
Current Opponent ELO
1471.5
-24.44
Current ELO Difference
24.44
0.46
Expected score
0.54
45
History Matches
60
-0.03
Residual Mean
0.00
47.71
Overperformance
49.77
0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.11
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
0.60
0.60
Goals for per game
0.80
0.80
Goals against per game
1.40
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
0.80
0.70
Goals for per game
0.70
0.70
Goals against per game
1.10
50.0%
Win rate
10.0%
0.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.70
0.64
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.64
0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
0.78
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.70
0.63
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.26
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.80
Overall performance9 signals
90
45
Matches
60
1.22
PPG
1.27
31.1%
Win rate
28.3%
28.9%
Draw rate
41.7%
40.0%
Loss rate
30.0%
55.6%
Over 1.5 rate
71.7%
31.1%
Over 2.5 rate
36.7%
13.3%
Over 3.5 rate
15.0%
1.43
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.38
Venue performance10 signals
100
22
Matches
30
1.50
PPG
1.23
36.4%
Win rate
26.7%
40.9%
Draw rate
43.3%
22.7%
Loss rate
30.0%
77.3%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
36.4%
Over 2.5 rate
30.0%
22.7%
Over 3.5 rate
16.7%
1.40
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.20
22
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.91
Goals for per game
1.10
62.2%
Scoring rate
75.0%
37.8%
BTTS rate
56.7%
1.36
Goals for per game
1.00
81.8%
Scoring rate
73.3%
54.5%
BTTS rate
56.7%
45
History Matches
60
0.91
Goals Mean
1.10
0.91
Goals Std
0.94
62.2%
Scored 1+ rate
75.0%
22.2%
Scored 2+ rate
25.0%
4.4%
Scored 3+ rate
6.7%
1.36
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.02
Goals against per game
1.10
64.4%
Conceding rate
71.7%
0.95
Goals against per game
1.13
63.6%
Conceding rate
73.3%
45
History Matches
60
1.02
Conceded Mean
1.10
1.02
Conceded Std
0.96
24.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
28.3%
11.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
6.7%
0.95
Venue Conceded Mean
1.13
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
35.6%
Clean-sheet rate
28.3%
37.8%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
36.4%
Clean-sheet rate
26.7%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
35.6%
Clean-sheet rate
28.3%
37.8%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
36.4%
Clean-sheet rate
26.7%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
35.6%
Clean-sheet rate
28.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
45
History Matches
60
0.99
Result entropy
0.99
1.43
Goal Difference Std
1.38
0.92
Stability score
1.39
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
42
Eligible Matches
60
10
Lead Matches
16
70.0%
Lead Win Rate
62.5%
0.80
Lead Points Retention
0.71
11
Trailing Matches
14
18.2%
Non-loss rate
28.6%
9.1%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
42
Halftime Coverage Matches
60
0.43
First Half Goals For Mean
0.48
0.43
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.37
0.50
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.62
0.57
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.73
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
121.8
Rest days
124.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
9
0.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
24
Normal Rest History Matches
29
1.04
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.97
18
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.44
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.81
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.42
Portability PPG Std
0.49
1.00
Portability PPG Range
1.28
54.45
Portability Score
50.28
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
45
Clean History Matches
60
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-24.44
PPG-0.04
GF-0.19
GA-0.08
PPG0.27
PPG0.60
PPG0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-15
Clean-sheet rate7.2%
Failed-to-score rate12.8%
History Matches-8
Clean-sheet rate9.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.08
History Matches-15
Goals Mean-0.19
Goals Std-0.03
Scored 1+ rate-0.13
Scored 2+ rate-0.03
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean0.36
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.00
History Matches-15
Conceded Mean-0.08
Conceded Std0.06
Clean-sheet rate7.2%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.04
Conceded 3+ rate4.4%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.18
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.08
History Matches-15
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std0.05
Stability score-0.47
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.23
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.46
Eligible Matches-18
Lead Matches-6
Lead Win Rate7.5%
Lead Points Retention0.09
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate-0.10
Trailing Win Rate9.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches-18
First Half Goals For Mean-0.05
First Half Goals Against Mean0.06
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.12
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.16
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.08
Portability PPG Range-0.28
Portability Score4.17
Rest days-3.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-7
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.50
Normal Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.08
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.37
Current Team ELO-24.44
Current Opponent ELO24.44
Current ELO Difference-48.88
Expected score-0.07
History Matches-15
Residual Mean-0.03
Overperformance-2.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.17

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Stade Marocain

W
Chabab Mohammédia0–1Stade Marocain1 Nov · away
Pick: Stade Marocain 44% · hit
D
Olympique Khouribga1–1Stade Marocain24 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 40% · hit
W
Stade Marocain2–1Chabab Atl. Khenifra17 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 36% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Olympique Safi

D
Olympique Safi1–1Olympique Khouribga1 Nov · home
Pick: Olympique Safi 61% · missed
L
Chabab Atl. Khenifra4–2Olympique Safi24 Oct · away
Pick: Olympique Safi 37% · missed
W
Olympique Safi1–0Ittihad Khemisset18 Oct · home
Pick: Olympique Safi 69% · hit
W
Olympique Safi1–0Chabab Ben Guerir4 Oct · home
Pick: Olympique Safi 59% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Stade Marocain and Olympique Safi meet in Botola 2 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Stade Marocain win 28.1%, draw 32.0%, Olympique Safi win 39.9%. The pick is Olympique Safi win. Over 2.5 goals: 36.9%. Both teams to score: 46.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.