ScoreProb
Football League - Lowland League Scotland Regular Season 2026

Stirling University vs Lochee United

Stirling University Home · Elo 1,392
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Lochee United Away · Elo 1,511
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Lochee United win
Stirling University win
38.2%
Draw
15.4%
Lochee United winPick
46.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.0%
No39.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.569.5%
Under 2.530.5%

How much we know

Stirling University history48 matches
Lochee United history6 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (46.4%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Lochee United are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Lochee United are rated 119 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,511 against 1,392. On rating alone Lochee United would be expected to take 66% of the points on offer.

  • Lochee United score more

    1.63 goals a game over 48 matches for Stirling University, against 1.83 over 6 for Lochee United.

  • Lochee United concede fewer

    Stirling University concede 2.23 a game, Lochee United 1.83.

  • Lochee United games more often go over 2.5 goals

    67% of Stirling University matches, against 83% for Lochee United. The model puts this match at 69% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Stirling University
Lochee United
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1392.0
ELO
1510.8
48
ELO · Matches
6
1392.0
Current Team ELO
1510.8
1510.8
Current Opponent ELO
1392.0
-118.8
Current ELO Difference
118.8
0.34
Expected score
0.66
48
History Matches
6
-0.11
Residual Mean
0.12
42.40
Overperformance
52.79
-0.27
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.12
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
2.00
1.00
Goals for per game
2.00
2.40
Goals against per game
1.60
0.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
6
0.40
PPG
1.67
0.80
Goals for per game
1.83
2.20
Goals against per game
1.83
10.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.83
0.87
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.57
2.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.83
1.47
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.90
0.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.92
1.56
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.00
Overall performance9 signals
90
48
Matches
6
0.94
PPG
1.67
25.0%
Win rate
50.0%
18.8%
Draw rate
16.7%
56.3%
Loss rate
33.3%
87.5%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
83.3%
52.1%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.93
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
2
1.12
PPG
1.50
32.0%
Win rate
50.0%
16.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
52.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
84.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
48.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
2.06
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
25
History Matches
2
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.63
Goals for per game
1.83
70.8%
Scoring rate
83.3%
68.8%
BTTS rate
83.3%
1.72
Goals for per game
1.00
72.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
68.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.00
Goals for per game
2.00
60.0%
Scoring rate
80.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
80.0%
48
History Matches
6
1.63
Goals Mean
1.83
1.60
Goals Std
1.57
70.8%
Scored 1+ rate
83.3%
43.8%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
22.9%
Scored 3+ rate
16.7%
1.72
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.23
Goals against per game
1.83
95.8%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.96
Goals against per game
2.00
96.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
2.40
Goals against per game
1.60
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
48
History Matches
6
2.23
Conceded Mean
1.83
1.23
Conceded Std
0.90
70.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
33.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
33.3%
1.96
Venue Conceded Mean
2.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
4.2%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
29.2%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
4.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
28.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
4.2%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
29.2%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
4.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
28.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
4.2%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
48
History Matches
6
0.90
Result entropy
0.92
1.93
Goal Difference Std
2.00
10.42
Stability score
7.94
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
48
Eligible Matches
5
8
Lead Matches
2
62.5%
Lead Win Rate
50.0%
0.71
Lead Points Retention
0.67
23
Trailing Matches
2
21.7%
Non-loss rate
50.0%
8.7%
Trailing Win Rate
50.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
48
Halftime Coverage Matches
5
0.58
First Half Goals For Mean
0.80
0.96
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
1.04
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.20
1.27
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
6
Short Rest History Matches
1
1.17
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
21
Normal Rest History Matches
2
0.67
Normal Rest Points Per Match
3.00
20
Long Rest History Matches
2
1.20
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
2.00
0.0%
Win rate
60.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
20.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
80.0%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
0.49
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.96
5
Current Competition Matches
5
0.00
Current Competition PPG
2.00
-1.40
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.40
5
Competition Season Count
2
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.44
Portability PPG Std
—
1.03
Portability PPG Range
—
53.24
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
48
Clean History Matches
6
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
ELO-118.8
PPG-0.73
GF-0.21
GA0.40
PPG-2.00
PPG-0.38
PPG-2.00
PPG-1.27
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches42
Clean-sheet rate4.2%
Failed-to-score rate12.5%
History Matches23
Clean-sheet rate4.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.22
History Matches42
Goals Mean-0.21
Goals Std0.03
Scored 1+ rate-0.13
Scored 2+ rate-0.06
Scored 3+ rate6.3%
Venue Goals Mean0.72
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.03
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.70
History Matches42
Conceded Mean0.40
Conceded Std0.33
Clean-sheet rate4.2%
Conceded 2+ rate20.8%
Conceded 3+ rate0.0%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.04
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.37
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.57
History Matches42
Result entropy-0.02
Goal Difference Std-0.07
Stability score2.49
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.34
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.44
Eligible Matches43
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate12.5%
Lead Points Retention0.04
Trailing Matches21
Non-loss rate-0.28
Trailing Win Rate-0.41
Halftime Coverage Matches43
First Half Goals For Mean-0.22
First Half Goals Against Mean0.16
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.16
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.47
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.80
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches5
Short Rest Points Per Match1.17
Normal Rest History Matches19
Normal Rest Points Per Match-2.33
Long Rest History Matches18
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.80
Current Team ELO-118.8
Current Opponent ELO118.8
Current ELO Difference-237.7
Expected score-0.33
History Matches42
Residual Mean-0.23
Overperformance-10.39
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.39

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Stirling University

L
Linlithgow Rose3–0Stirling University31 Oct · away
Pick: Linlithgow Rose 73% · hit
W
Stirling University1–0Berwick Rangers28 Oct · home
Pick: Berwick Rangers 41% · missed
L
Stirling University1–2Elgin City24 Oct · home
Pick: Elgin City 54% · hit
L
Stirling University1–2Hill Of Beath Hawthorn17 Oct · home
Pick: Hill Of Beath Hawthorn 47% · hit
L
Stirling University2–5Bo'ness United29 Aug · home
Pick: Bo'ness United 47% · hit

Lochee United

D
Lochee United2–2Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic31 Oct · home
Pick: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 61% · missed
L
Lochee United1–2Spartans24 Oct · home
Pick: Spartans 59% · hit
W
Tranent Juniors0–4Lochee United17 Oct · away
Pick: Tranent Juniors 70% · missed
W
Gala Fairydean Rovers2–3Lochee United29 Aug · away
Pick: Gala Fairydean Rovers 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Stirling University and Lochee United meet in Football League - Lowland League on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Stirling University win 38.2%, draw 15.4%, Lochee United win 46.4%. The pick is Lochee United win. Over 2.5 goals: 69.5%. Both teams to score: 61.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.