ScoreProb
Ettan - Norra Sweden Norra - 30 2026

Stockholm Internazionale vs Piteå

Stockholm Internazionale Home · Elo 1,617
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Piteå Away · Elo 1,520
Hammarby IP, Stockholm Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Stockholm Internazionale win
Stockholm Internazionale winPick
68.4%
Draw
18.0%
Piteå win
13.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.563.7%
Under 2.536.3%

How much we know

Stockholm Internazionale history63 matches
Piteå history52 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (68.4%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Stockholm Internazionale are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Stockholm Internazionale are rated 97 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,617 against 1,520. On rating alone Stockholm Internazionale would be expected to take 64% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.90 goals a game over 63 matches for Stockholm Internazionale, against 1.90 over 52 for Piteå.

  • Stockholm Internazionale concede fewer

    Stockholm Internazionale concede 0.94 a game, Piteå 1.44.

  • Piteå games more often go over 2.5 goals

    51% of Stockholm Internazionale matches, against 71% for Piteå. The model puts this match at 64% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Stockholm Internazionale
Piteå
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1616.7
ELO
1519.8
63
ELO · Matches
52
1616.7
Current Team ELO
1519.8
1519.8
Current Opponent ELO
1616.7
96.89
Current ELO Difference
-96.89
0.64
Expected score
0.36
63
History Matches
52
0.10
Residual Mean
0.02
57.83
Overperformance
51.72
0.25
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.18
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
0.60
2.40
Goals for per game
0.60
0.60
Goals against per game
1.40
80.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
2.50
PPG
0.80
2.40
Goals for per game
1.00
0.70
Goals against per game
1.70
80.0%
Win rate
10.0%
2.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.00
1.28
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.00
0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
0.78
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.78
0.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.62
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.10
Overall performance9 signals
90
63
Matches
52
1.92
PPG
1.71
57.1%
Win rate
50.0%
20.6%
Draw rate
21.2%
22.2%
Loss rate
28.8%
77.8%
Over 1.5 rate
92.3%
50.8%
Over 2.5 rate
71.2%
34.9%
Over 3.5 rate
40.4%
1.91
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.20
Venue performance10 signals
100
36
Matches
24
1.92
PPG
1.71
61.1%
Win rate
50.0%
8.3%
Draw rate
20.8%
30.6%
Loss rate
29.2%
77.8%
Over 1.5 rate
91.7%
58.3%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
44.4%
Over 3.5 rate
41.7%
2.06
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.06
36
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.90
Goals for per game
1.90
79.4%
Scoring rate
82.7%
49.2%
BTTS rate
61.5%
2.14
Goals for per game
1.96
75.0%
Scoring rate
83.3%
47.2%
BTTS rate
66.7%
2.11
Goals for per game
1.00
77.8%
Scoring rate
66.7%
50.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
63
History Matches
52
1.90
Goals Mean
1.90
1.55
Goals Std
1.38
79.4%
Scored 1+ rate
82.7%
54.0%
Scored 2+ rate
57.7%
31.7%
Scored 3+ rate
32.7%
2.14
Venue Goals Mean
1.96
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
0.94
Goals against per game
1.44
63.5%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.46
66.7%
Conceding rate
79.2%
0.94
Goals against per game
2.00
66.7%
Conceding rate
94.4%
63
History Matches
52
0.94
Conceded Mean
1.44
0.94
Conceded Std
1.28
20.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
42.3%
7.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
13.5%
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.46
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
36.5%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
20.6%
Failed-to-score rate
17.3%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
20.8%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
5.6%
22.2%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
36.5%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
20.6%
Failed-to-score rate
17.3%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
20.8%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
36.5%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
63
History Matches
52
0.89
Result entropy
0.94
1.91
Goal Difference Std
2.20
10.83
Stability score
5.90
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
61
Eligible Matches
51
27
Lead Matches
20
81.5%
Lead Win Rate
85.0%
0.86
Lead Points Retention
0.90
7
Trailing Matches
18
28.6%
Non-loss rate
27.8%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
11.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
61
Halftime Coverage Matches
51
0.75
First Half Goals For Mean
0.88
0.21
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.71
1.10
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.02
0.74
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.76
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
78.88
Rest days
77.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.33
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
34
Normal Rest History Matches
35
1.82
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.66
25
Long Rest History Matches
16
2.08
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.75
Competition & season17 signals
170
18
Matches
18
2.00
PPG
0.67
61.1%
Win rate
11.1%
16.7%
Draw rate
33.3%
22.2%
Loss rate
55.6%
88.9%
Over 1.5 rate
88.9%
55.6%
Over 2.5 rate
55.6%
38.9%
Over 3.5 rate
38.9%
2.03
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.33
18
Current Competition Matches
18
2.00
Current Competition PPG
0.67
1.17
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.00
6
Competition Season Count
6
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.09
Portability PPG Std
0.71
0.24
Portability PPG Range
1.87
85.24
Portability Score
41.41
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
63
Clean History Matches
52
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO96.89
PPG0.21
GF0.00
GA-0.51
PPG1.33
PPG0.21
PPG1.80
PPG1.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches11
Clean-sheet rate11.5%
Failed-to-score rate3.3%
History Matches12
Clean-sheet rate12.5%
Failed-to-score rate8.3%
History Matches11
Goals Mean0.00
Goals Std0.17
Scored 1+ rate-0.03
Scored 2+ rate-0.04
Scored 3+ rate-0.01
Venue Goals Mean0.18
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.40
Recent 10 Goals Std0.28
History Matches11
Conceded Mean-0.51
Conceded Std-0.34
Clean-sheet rate11.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.22
Conceded 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Conceded Mean-0.46
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.00
History Matches11
Result entropy-0.05
Goal Difference Std-0.29
Stability score4.92
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.28
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.52
Eligible Matches10
Lead Matches7
Lead Win Rate-0.04
Lead Points Retention-0.04
Trailing Matches-11
Non-loss rate0.8%
Trailing Win Rate-0.11
Halftime Coverage Matches10
First Half Goals For Mean-0.13
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.49
Second Half Goals For Mean0.08
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.03
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.17
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.62
Portability PPG Range-1.62
Portability Score43.83
Rest days1.88
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.17
Long Rest History Matches9
Long Rest Points Per Match0.33
Current Team ELO96.89
Current Opponent ELO-96.89
Current ELO Difference193.8
Expected score0.27
History Matches11
Residual Mean0.08
Overperformance6.11
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.42

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Stockholm Internazionale

L
FBK Karlstad2–1Stockholm Internazionale31 Oct · away
Pick: Stockholm Internazionale 54% · missed
W
IF Karlstad1–4Stockholm Internazionale24 Oct · away
Pick: IF Karlstad 39% · missed
D
Stockholm Internazionale1–1Gefle IF17 Oct · home
Pick: Stockholm Internazionale 67% · missed
W
Enköping0–3Stockholm Internazionale30 Aug · away
Pick: Stockholm Internazionale 56% · hit
L
Stockholm Internazionale0–3Hammarby FF26 Aug · home
Pick: Hammarby FF 45% · hit

Piteå

W
Piteå4–3Stocksund1 Nov · home
Pick: Piteå 44% · hit
L
Enköping3–1Piteå25 Oct · away
Pick: Enköping 49% · hit
D
Piteå1–1Sollentuna18 Oct · home
Pick: Piteå 46% · missed
L
FBK Karlstad4–3Piteå30 Aug · away
Pick: FBK Karlstad 54% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Stockholm Internazionale and Piteå meet in Ettan - Norra on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. The match is played at Hammarby IP, Stockholm. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Stockholm Internazionale win 68.4%, draw 18.0%, Piteå win 13.6%. The pick is Stockholm Internazionale win. Over 2.5 goals: 63.7%. Both teams to score: 54.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.