ScoreProb
Liga III - Serie 7 Romania Group 7 - 12 2026

Timişul Şag vs Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii

Timişul Şag Home · Elo 1,520
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii Away · Elo 1,471
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Timişul Şag win
Timişul Şag winPick
46.9%
Draw
21.8%
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii win
31.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.2%
No39.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.564.6%
Under 2.535.4%

How much we know

Timişul Şag history35 matches
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii history30 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (46.9%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Timişul Şag are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Timişul Şag are rated 49 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,520 against 1,471. On rating alone Timişul Şag would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Timişul Şag score far more

    1.94 goals a game over 35 matches for Timişul Şag, against 1.20 over 30 for Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii.

  • Timişul Şag concede fewer

    Timişul Şag concede 1.49 a game, Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 1.83.

  • Timişul Şag games more often go over 2.5 goals

    66% of Timişul Şag matches, against 57% for Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii. The model puts this match at 65% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 13 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Timişul Şag
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1520.3
ELO
1471.2
35
ELO · Matches
30
1520.3
Current Team ELO
1471.2
1471.2
Current Opponent ELO
1520.3
49.09
Current ELO Difference
-49.09
0.57
Expected score
0.43
35
History Matches
30
0.05
Residual Mean
-0.05
52.88
Overperformance
46.81
0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.10
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
1.00
1.80
Goals for per game
2.00
2.40
Goals against per game
1.60
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
0.90
1.70
Goals for per game
1.30
2.00
Goals against per game
1.40
50.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.27
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
1.34
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.11
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.62
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.58
Overall performance9 signals
90
35
Matches
30
1.69
PPG
1.10
51.4%
Win rate
26.7%
14.3%
Draw rate
30.0%
34.3%
Loss rate
43.3%
74.3%
Over 1.5 rate
90.0%
65.7%
Over 2.5 rate
56.7%
42.9%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
2.67
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.04
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
16
1.81
PPG
0.69
57.1%
Win rate
12.5%
9.5%
Draw rate
31.3%
33.3%
Loss rate
56.3%
76.2%
Over 1.5 rate
93.8%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
56.3%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
31.3%
2.73
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.76
21
History Matches
16
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.94
Goals for per game
1.20
71.4%
Scoring rate
70.0%
51.4%
BTTS rate
60.0%
2.00
Goals for per game
0.94
76.2%
Scoring rate
62.5%
47.6%
BTTS rate
56.3%
35
History Matches
30
1.94
Goals Mean
1.20
2.14
Goals Std
1.11
71.4%
Scored 1+ rate
70.0%
48.6%
Scored 2+ rate
33.3%
31.4%
Scored 3+ rate
10.0%
2.00
Venue Goals Mean
0.94
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.49
Goals against per game
1.83
74.3%
Conceding rate
86.7%
1.29
Goals against per game
2.06
66.7%
Conceding rate
87.5%
35
History Matches
30
1.49
Conceded Mean
1.83
1.27
Conceded Std
1.42
42.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
46.7%
22.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
26.7%
1.29
Venue Conceded Mean
2.06
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
25.7%
Clean-sheet rate
13.3%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
23.8%
Failed-to-score rate
37.5%
25.7%
Clean-sheet rate
13.3%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
23.8%
Failed-to-score rate
37.5%
25.7%
Clean-sheet rate
13.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
35
History Matches
30
0.90
Result entropy
0.98
2.67
Goal Difference Std
2.04
10.16
Stability score
2.06
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
27
Eligible Matches
21
5
Lead Matches
7
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
71.4%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.81
10
Trailing Matches
6
40.0%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
10.0%
Trailing Win Rate
16.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
27
Halftime Coverage Matches
21
0.78
First Half Goals For Mean
0.76
0.96
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.86
1.19
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.62
0.74
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.81
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
85.90
Rest days
99.90
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
14
Normal Rest History Matches
12
1.86
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.33
20
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.50
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.32
Portability PPG Std
0.05
0.72
Portability PPG Range
0.11
60.63
Portability Score
90.48
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
35
Clean History Matches
30
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO49.09
PPG0.59
GF0.74
GA-0.35
PPG1.12
PPG0.80
PPG0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate12.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate20.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.14
History Matches5
Goals Mean0.74
Goals Std1.03
Scored 1+ rate1.4%
Scored 2+ rate15.2%
Scored 3+ rate21.4%
Venue Goals Mean1.06
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.17
History Matches5
Conceded Mean-0.35
Conceded Std-0.14
Clean-sheet rate12.4%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.04
Conceded 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Conceded Mean-0.78
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.23
History Matches5
Result entropy-0.08
Goal Difference Std0.62
Stability score8.11
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.04
Eligible Matches6
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate28.6%
Lead Points Retention0.19
Trailing Matches4
Non-loss rate6.7%
Trailing Win Rate-0.07
Halftime Coverage Matches6
First Half Goals For Mean0.02
First Half Goals Against Mean0.11
Second Half Goals For Mean0.57
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.07
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.27
Portability PPG Range0.62
Portability Score-29.85
Rest days-14.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.52
Long Rest History Matches3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.50
Current Team ELO49.09
Current Opponent ELO-49.09
Current ELO Difference98.18
Expected score0.14
History Matches5
Residual Mean0.10
Overperformance6.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.12

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Timişul Şag

W
Poli Timisoara 21–4Timişul Şag30 Oct · away
Pick: Poli Timisoara 2 38% · missed
W
Timişul Şag3–0CIL Blaj23 Oct · home
Pick: Timişul Şag 51% · hit
L
Viitorul Arad1–0Timişul Şag17 Oct · away
Pick: Viitorul Arad 42% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii

D
CIL Blaj2–2Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii31 Oct · away
Pick: CIL Blaj 43% · missed
W
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii3–0Unirea Sântana23 Oct · home
Pick: Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 47% · hit
W
Universitatea Alba Iulia0–2Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii16 Oct · away
Pick: Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 39% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Timişul Şag and Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii meet in Liga III - Serie 7 on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Timişul Şag win 46.9%, draw 21.8%, Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii win 31.3%. The pick is Timişul Şag win. Over 2.5 goals: 64.6%. Both teams to score: 60.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.