Unirea Alba Iulia vs CIL Blaj
Match result probability Model pick: Unirea Alba Iulia win
Unirea Alba Iulia winPick
61.2%
Draw
22.6%
CIL Blaj win
16.1%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes45.8%
No54.2%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.557.7%
Under 2.542.3%
How much we know
Unirea Alba Iulia history43 matches
CIL Blaj history33 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Unirea Alba Iulia
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 12:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (61.2%). Picks in that band won 63.9% of the time, and the model said 64.4% on average, over 2,031 matches.
Why Unirea Alba Iulia are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Unirea Alba Iulia are rated 158 Elo points higher
Elo 1,628 against 1,470. On rating alone Unirea Alba Iulia would be expected to take 71% of the points on offer.
-
Unirea Alba Iulia score far more
2.21 goals a game over 43 matches for Unirea Alba Iulia, against 0.94 over 33 for CIL Blaj.
-
Unirea Alba Iulia concede fewer
Unirea Alba Iulia concede 0.67 a game, CIL Blaj 1.61.
-
Unirea Alba Iulia games more often go over 2.5 goals
60% of Unirea Alba Iulia matches, against 48% for CIL Blaj. The model puts this match at 58% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 20 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
CIL Blaj@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1627.6
ELO
1469.7
43
ELO · Matches
33
1627.6
Current Team ELO
1469.7
1469.7
Current Opponent ELO
1627.6
157.9
Current ELO Difference
-157.9
0.71
Expected score
0.29
43
History Matches
33
0.14
Residual Mean
-0.05
59.57
Overperformance
47.14
0.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.13
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
2.00
2.00
Goals for per game
1.60
0.80
Goals against per game
1.80
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
1.50
2.00
Goals for per game
1.30
0.80
Goals against per game
1.50
50.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.61
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.27
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
0.75
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.28
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
2.04
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.94
Overall performance9 signals 90
43
Matches
33
1.98
PPG
1.06
60.5%
Win rate
27.3%
16.3%
Draw rate
24.2%
23.3%
Loss rate
48.5%
74.4%
Over 1.5 rate
78.8%
60.5%
Over 2.5 rate
48.5%
27.9%
Over 3.5 rate
18.2%
2.34
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.77
Venue performance10 signals 100
20
Matches
17
2.40
PPG
0.94
80.0%
Win rate
23.5%
0.0%
Draw rate
23.5%
20.0%
Loss rate
52.9%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
82.4%
70.0%
Over 2.5 rate
64.7%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
29.4%
2.10
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.92
20
History Matches
17
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
2.21
Goals for per game
0.94
76.7%
Scoring rate
54.5%
32.6%
BTTS rate
42.4%
2.55
Goals for per game
1.00
90.0%
Scoring rate
47.1%
30.0%
BTTS rate
41.2%
43
History Matches
33
2.21
Goals Mean
0.94
1.92
Goals Std
1.07
76.7%
Scored 1+ rate
54.5%
53.5%
Scored 2+ rate
27.3%
41.9%
Scored 3+ rate
9.1%
2.55
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.67
Goals against per game
1.61
48.8%
Conceding rate
81.8%
0.55
Goals against per game
1.94
40.0%
Conceding rate
88.2%
43
History Matches
33
0.67
Conceded Mean
1.61
0.80
Conceded Std
1.20
16.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
45.5%
2.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
24.2%
0.55
Venue Conceded Mean
1.94
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
51.2%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
23.3%
Failed-to-score rate
45.5%
60.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.8%
10.0%
Failed-to-score rate
52.9%
51.2%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
23.3%
Failed-to-score rate
45.5%
60.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.8%
10.0%
Failed-to-score rate
52.9%
51.2%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
43
History Matches
33
0.85
Result entropy
0.95
2.34
Goal Difference Std
1.77
14.54
Stability score
4.53
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
29
Eligible Matches
17
14
Lead Matches
3
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.78
8
Trailing Matches
6
25.0%
Non-loss rate
16.7%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
16.7%
Goal timing5 signals 50
29
Halftime Coverage Matches
17
0.83
First Half Goals For Mean
0.41
0.48
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.59
1.28
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.29
0.17
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.18
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
100.9
Rest days
86.90
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
25
Normal Rest History Matches
14
2.08
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.36
17
Long Rest History Matches
18
1.94
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.89
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
7
Competition Season Count
4
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.23
Portability PPG Std
0.76
0.58
Portability PPG Range
1.67
68.39
Portability Score
39.61
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
43
Clean History Matches
33
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO157.9
PPG0.92
GF1.27
GA-0.93
PPG1.46
PPG0.00
PPG0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches10
Clean-sheet rate33.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.22
History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate48.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.43
History Matches10
Goals Mean1.27
Goals Std0.85
Scored 1+ rate22.2%
Scored 2+ rate26.2%
Scored 3+ rate32.8%
Venue Goals Mean1.55
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std0.34
History Matches10
Conceded Mean-0.93
Conceded Std-0.41
Clean-sheet rate33.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.29
Conceded 3+ rate-0.22
Venue Conceded Mean-1.39
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.54
History Matches10
Result entropy-0.10
Goal Difference Std0.57
Stability score10.01
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.10
Eligible Matches12
Lead Matches11
Lead Win Rate33.3%
Lead Points Retention0.22
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate8.3%
Trailing Win Rate-0.17
Halftime Coverage Matches12
First Half Goals For Mean0.42
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.11
Second Half Goals For Mean0.98
Second Half Goals Against Mean-1.00
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.53
Portability PPG Range-1.08
Portability Score28.78
Rest days14.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches11
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.72
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match1.05
Current Team ELO157.9
Current Opponent ELO-157.9
Current ELO Difference315.8
Expected score0.43
History Matches10
Residual Mean0.19
Overperformance12.43
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.03
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Unirea Alba Iulia
W
Universitatea Alba Iulia0–3Unirea Alba Iulia30 Oct · away
Pick: Unirea Alba Iulia 56% · hit W
Unirea Alba Iulia4–0Progresul Pecica24 Oct · home
Pick: Unirea Alba Iulia 68% · hit W
Cetate Deva1–2Unirea Alba Iulia16 Oct · away
Pick: Cetate Deva 36% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
CIL Blaj
D
CIL Blaj2–2Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii31 Oct · home
Pick: CIL Blaj 43% · missed L
Timişul Şag3–0CIL Blaj23 Oct · away
Pick: Timişul Şag 51% · hit D
Unirea Sântana0–0CIL Blaj17 Oct · away
Pick: CIL Blaj 38% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Unirea Alba Iulia and CIL Blaj meet in Liga III - Serie 7 on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Unirea Alba Iulia win 61.2%, draw 22.6%, CIL Blaj win 16.1%. The pick is Unirea Alba Iulia win. Over 2.5 goals: 57.7%. Both teams to score: 45.8%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.