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Liga III - Serie 3 Romania Group 3 - 13 2026

Voința Crevedia vs Blejoi

Voința Crevedia Home · Elo 1,528
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Blejoi Away · Elo 1,446
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Blejoi win
Voința Crevedia win
33.6%
Draw
30.4%
Blejoi winPick
36.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes54.3%
No45.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.557.4%
Under 2.542.6%

How much we know

Voința Crevedia history23 matches
Blejoi history36 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (36.0%). Picks in that band won 39.9% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,949 matches.

Why Blejoi are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Voința Crevedia are rated 82 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,528 against 1,446. On rating alone Voința Crevedia would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.61 goals a game over 23 matches for Voința Crevedia, against 1.50 over 36 for Blejoi.

  • Voința Crevedia concede fewer

    Voința Crevedia concede 1.39 a game, Blejoi 1.92.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    65% of Voința Crevedia matches, against 61% for Blejoi. The model puts this match at 57% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 6 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Voința Crevedia
Blejoi@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1528.2
ELO
1446.0
23
ELO · Matches
36
1528.2
Current Team ELO
1446.0
1446.0
Current Opponent ELO
1528.2
82.21
Current ELO Difference
-82.21
0.62
Expected score
0.38
23
History Matches
36
0.06
Residual Mean
-0.09
53.13
Overperformance
44.35
0.27
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.27
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
0.60
1.80
Goals for per game
1.40
1.00
Goals against per game
2.60
80.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
2.30
PPG
0.30
1.90
Goals for per game
0.80
0.80
Goals against per game
2.60
70.0%
Win rate
10.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.80
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.87
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.60
0.98
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.80
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.30
1.76
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.66
Overall performance9 signals
90
23
Matches
36
1.52
PPG
1.00
43.5%
Win rate
30.6%
21.7%
Draw rate
8.3%
34.8%
Loss rate
61.1%
73.9%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
65.2%
Over 2.5 rate
61.1%
30.4%
Over 3.5 rate
41.7%
1.69
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.43
Venue performance10 signals
100
11
Matches
21
1.91
PPG
0.71
54.5%
Win rate
19.0%
27.3%
Draw rate
14.3%
18.2%
Loss rate
66.7%
54.5%
Over 1.5 rate
76.2%
36.4%
Over 2.5 rate
52.4%
18.2%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.34
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.96
11
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.61
Goals for per game
1.50
78.3%
Scoring rate
69.4%
52.2%
BTTS rate
52.8%
1.45
Goals for per game
1.10
81.8%
Scoring rate
61.9%
36.4%
BTTS rate
47.6%
23
History Matches
36
1.61
Goals Mean
1.50
1.34
Goals Std
1.59
78.3%
Scored 1+ rate
69.4%
43.5%
Scored 2+ rate
36.1%
26.1%
Scored 3+ rate
25.0%
1.45
Venue Goals Mean
1.10
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.39
Goals against per game
1.92
65.2%
Conceding rate
80.6%
0.64
Goals against per game
2.14
45.5%
Conceding rate
81.0%
23
History Matches
36
1.39
Conceded Mean
1.92
1.44
Conceded Std
1.62
43.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
17.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
27.8%
0.64
Venue Conceded Mean
2.14
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
34.8%
Clean-sheet rate
19.4%
21.7%
Failed-to-score rate
30.6%
54.5%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
38.1%
34.8%
Clean-sheet rate
19.4%
21.7%
Failed-to-score rate
30.6%
54.5%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
38.1%
34.8%
Clean-sheet rate
19.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
23
History Matches
36
0.97
Result entropy
0.79
1.69
Goal Difference Std
2.43
3.40
Stability score
20.78
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
16
Eligible Matches
24
4
Lead Matches
7
50.0%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.67
Lead Points Retention
1.00
5
Trailing Matches
9
0.0%
Non-loss rate
11.1%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
11.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
16
Halftime Coverage Matches
24
0.75
First Half Goals For Mean
0.83
0.75
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.88
0.75
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.08
0.88
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.79
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
100.9
Rest days
107.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
14
Normal Rest History Matches
16
1.29
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.19
8
Long Rest History Matches
19
2.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.89
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
7
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
—
Portability PPG Std
0.48
—
Portability PPG Range
1.13
—
Portability Score
51.25
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
23
Clean History Matches
36
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO82.21
PPG0.52
GF0.11
GA-0.53
PPG1.19
PPG1.80
PPG2.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-13
Clean-sheet rate15.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches-10
Clean-sheet rate35.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.20
History Matches-13
Goals Mean0.11
Goals Std-0.25
Scored 1+ rate8.8%
Scored 2+ rate7.4%
Scored 3+ rate1.1%
Venue Goals Mean0.36
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.43
History Matches-13
Conceded Mean-0.53
Conceded Std-0.19
Clean-sheet rate15.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.07
Conceded 3+ rate-0.10
Venue Conceded Mean-1.51
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.82
History Matches-13
Result entropy0.17
Goal Difference Std-0.74
Stability score-17.38
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.43
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.10
Eligible Matches-8
Lead Matches-3
Lead Win Rate-0.50
Lead Points Retention-0.33
Trailing Matches-4
Non-loss rate-0.11
Trailing Win Rate-0.11
Halftime Coverage Matches-8
First Half Goals For Mean-0.08
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.13
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.33
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.08
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-5
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Rest days-7.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.10
Long Rest History Matches-11
Long Rest Points Per Match1.11
Current Team ELO82.21
Current Opponent ELO-82.21
Current ELO Difference164.4
Expected score0.23
History Matches-13
Residual Mean0.15
Overperformance8.78
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.54

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Voința Crevedia

W
Viitorul Corbeanca2–3Voința Crevedia30 Oct · away
Pick: Voința Crevedia 42% · hit
L
Voința Crevedia0–2Tunari24 Oct · home
Pick: Tunari 48% · hit
W
Păuleşti1–3Voința Crevedia17 Oct · away
Pick: Păuleşti 53% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Blejoi

L
Flacăra Moreni5–1Blejoi6 Nov · away
Pick: Flacăra Moreni 48% · hit
W
Progresul Draganesti1–2Blejoi31 Oct · away
Pick: Progresul Draganesti 38% · missed
W
Blejoi1–0Viitorul Corbeanca23 Oct · home
Pick: Blejoi 60% · hit
L
Tunari4–0Blejoi17 Oct · away
Pick: Tunari 54% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Voința Crevedia and Blejoi meet in Liga III - Serie 3 on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Voința Crevedia win 33.6%, draw 30.4%, Blejoi win 36.0%. The pick is Blejoi win. Over 2.5 goals: 57.4%. Both teams to score: 54.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.