ScoreProb
Liga 1 Moldova Round 13 2026

Vulturii Cutezători vs Spartanii Selemet

Vulturii Cutezători Home · Elo 1,485
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Spartanii Selemet Away · Elo 1,408
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Vulturii Cutezători win
Vulturii Cutezători winPick
61.4%
Draw
15.7%
Spartanii Selemet win
22.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes63.6%
No36.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.587.5%
Under 2.512.5%

How much we know

Vulturii Cutezători history9 matches
Spartanii Selemet history59 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 11:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (61.4%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Vulturii Cutezători are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Vulturii Cutezători are rated 77 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,485 against 1,408. On rating alone Vulturii Cutezători would be expected to take 61% of the points on offer.

  • Vulturii Cutezători score far more

    2.00 goals a game over 9 matches for Vulturii Cutezători, against 1.10 over 59 for Spartanii Selemet.

  • Vulturii Cutezători concede fewer

    Vulturii Cutezători concede 2.11 a game, Spartanii Selemet 2.83.

  • Vulturii Cutezători games more often go over 2.5 goals

    78% of Vulturii Cutezători matches, against 66% for Spartanii Selemet. The model puts this match at 87% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Vulturii Cutezători
Spartanii Selemet@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1485.3
ELO
1408.1
9
ELO · Matches
59
1485.3
Current Team ELO
1408.1
1408.1
Current Opponent ELO
1485.3
77.26
Current ELO Difference
-77.26
0.61
Expected score
0.39
9
History Matches
59
-0.09
Residual Mean
-0.07
47.17
Overperformance
44.44
-0.09
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
0.20
3.00
Goals for per game
0.80
1.80
Goals against per game
5.00
60.0%
Win rate
0.0%
9
Matches
10
1.11
PPG
1.00
2.00
Goals for per game
1.40
2.11
Goals against per game
3.20
33.3%
Win rate
30.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
1.89
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.56
2.11
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
3.20
0.99
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.82
0.85
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
2.18
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
3.68
Overall performance9 signals
90
9
Matches
59
1.11
PPG
0.81
33.3%
Win rate
20.3%
11.1%
Draw rate
20.3%
55.6%
Loss rate
59.3%
88.9%
Over 1.5 rate
84.7%
77.8%
Over 2.5 rate
66.1%
55.6%
Over 3.5 rate
57.6%
2.18
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.81
Venue performance10 signals
100
4
Matches
30
0.75
PPG
0.73
25.0%
Win rate
20.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
13.3%
75.0%
Loss rate
66.7%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
86.7%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
73.3%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
2.69
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.68
4
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.00
Goals for per game
1.10
66.7%
Scoring rate
57.6%
66.7%
BTTS rate
49.2%
1.50
Goals for per game
0.90
25.0%
Scoring rate
60.0%
25.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
3.75
Goals for per game
0.75
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
9
History Matches
59
2.00
Goals Mean
1.10
1.89
Goals Std
1.32
66.7%
Scored 1+ rate
57.6%
55.6%
Scored 2+ rate
27.1%
44.4%
Scored 3+ rate
16.9%
1.50
Venue Goals Mean
0.90
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.11
Goals against per game
2.83
100.0%
Conceding rate
84.7%
2.00
Goals against per game
3.30
100.0%
Conceding rate
86.7%
1.75
Goals against per game
5.25
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
9
History Matches
59
2.11
Conceded Mean
2.83
0.99
Conceded Std
2.21
66.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
67.8%
33.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
49.2%
2.00
Venue Conceded Mean
3.30
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
15.3%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
42.4%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
13.3%
75.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
15.3%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
42.4%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
13.3%
75.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
15.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
9
History Matches
59
0.85
Result entropy
0.87
2.18
Goal Difference Std
2.81
14.72
Stability score
12.83
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
9
Eligible Matches
56
3
Lead Matches
7
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
71.4%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.81
6
Trailing Matches
34
16.7%
Non-loss rate
20.6%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
8.8%
Goal timing5 signals
50
9
Halftime Coverage Matches
56
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.34
1.22
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.25
1.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.79
0.89
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.38
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.83
Rest days
76.83
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
5
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.20
3
Normal Rest History Matches
34
2.33
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.79
5
Long Rest History Matches
19
0.60
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.63
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
2.50
PPG
0.25
75.0%
Win rate
0.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
75.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
75.0%
1.41
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.57
4
Current Competition Matches
4
2.50
Current Competition PPG
0.25
2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-4.50
2
Competition Season Count
7
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
1.25
Portability PPG Std
0.63
2.50
Portability PPG Range
1.80
28.57
Portability Score
44.33
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
9
Clean History Matches
59
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO77.26
PPG0.30
GF0.90
GA-0.72
PPG2.25
PPG0.02
PPG1.80
PPG0.11
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-50
Clean-sheet rate-0.15
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches-26
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Failed-to-score rate35.0%
History Matches-50
Goals Mean0.90
Goals Std0.56
Scored 1+ rate9.0%
Scored 2+ rate28.4%
Scored 3+ rate27.5%
Venue Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.32
History Matches-50
Conceded Mean-0.72
Conceded Std-1.22
Clean-sheet rate-0.15
Conceded 2+ rate-0.01
Conceded 3+ rate-0.16
Venue Conceded Mean-1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.09
Recent 10 Conceded Std-1.83
History Matches-50
Result entropy-0.02
Goal Difference Std-0.63
Stability score1.89
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.04
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.50
Eligible Matches-47
Lead Matches-4
Lead Win Rate28.6%
Lead Points Retention0.19
Trailing Matches-28
Non-loss rate-0.04
Trailing Win Rate-0.09
Halftime Coverage Matches-47
First Half Goals For Mean0.66
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.03
Second Half Goals For Mean0.21
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.49
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG2.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean6.50
Competition Season Count-5
Eligible Competition Season Count-4
Portability PPG Std0.62
Portability PPG Range0.70
Portability Score-15.76
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest History Matches-31
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.54
Long Rest History Matches-14
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.03
Current Team ELO77.26
Current Opponent ELO-77.26
Current ELO Difference154.5
Expected score0.22
History Matches-50
Residual Mean-0.02
Overperformance2.74
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.03

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Vulturii Cutezători

W
Iskra0–2Vulturii Cutezători31 Oct · away
Pick: Iskra 66% · missed
L
FCM Ungheni6–1Vulturii Cutezători24 Oct · away
Pick: FCM Ungheni 57% · hit
L
Zimbru II1–0Vulturii Cutezători16 Oct · away
Pick: Vulturii Cutezători 44% · missed
L
Oguzsport2–1Vulturii Cutezători1 Sep · away
Pick: Oguzsport 56% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Spartanii Selemet

D
Spartanii Selemet2–2FCM Ungheni30 Oct · home
Pick: FCM Ungheni 69% · missed
L
Zimbru II3–1Spartanii Selemet23 Oct · away
Pick: Zimbru II 71% · hit
L
Univer Comrat5–4Spartanii Selemet16 Oct · away
Pick: Univer Comrat 55% · hit
L
Spartanii Selemet0–3Univer Comrat1 Sep · home
Pick: Spartanii Selemet 55% · missed
L
Spartanii Selemet1–6Univer Comrat29 Aug · home
Pick: Univer Comrat 57% · hit

About this match

Vulturii Cutezători and Spartanii Selemet meet in Liga 1 on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 11:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Vulturii Cutezători win 61.4%, draw 15.7%, Spartanii Selemet win 22.9%. The pick is Vulturii Cutezători win. Over 2.5 goals: 87.5%. Both teams to score: 63.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.