ScoreProb
Oberliga - Bayern Nord Germany Bayern Nord - 18 2026

Weiden vs Eintracht Bamberg

Weiden Home · Elo 1,504
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Eintracht Bamberg Away · Elo 1,524
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Eintracht Bamberg win
Weiden win
27.1%
Draw
22.2%
Eintracht Bamberg winPick
50.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.1%
No41.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.560.9%
Under 2.539.1%

How much we know

Weiden history53 matches
Eintracht Bamberg history55 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (50.7%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Eintracht Bamberg are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,504 against 1,524. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Weiden score more

    1.64 goals a game over 53 matches for Weiden, against 1.45 over 55 for Eintracht Bamberg.

  • Defences are close

    Weiden concede 1.53 a game, Eintracht Bamberg 1.60.

  • Weiden games more often go over 2.5 goals

    62% of Weiden matches, against 51% for Eintracht Bamberg. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Weiden
Eintracht Bamberg
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1504.0
ELO
1523.6
53
ELO · Matches
55
1504.0
Current Team ELO
1523.6
1523.6
Current Opponent ELO
1504.0
-19.56
Current ELO Difference
19.56
0.47
Expected score
0.53
53
History Matches
55
0.01
Residual Mean
0.02
50.37
Overperformance
51.77
-0.19
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.13
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
1.60
2.20
Goals for per game
1.60
3.00
Goals against per game
1.00
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
0.90
PPG
1.80
2.00
Goals for per game
1.80
2.50
Goals against per game
1.10
20.0%
Win rate
50.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
1.34
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.60
2.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
1.96
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.83
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.58
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.85
Overall performance9 signals
90
53
Matches
55
1.38
PPG
1.31
35.8%
Win rate
32.7%
30.2%
Draw rate
32.7%
34.0%
Loss rate
34.5%
77.4%
Over 1.5 rate
83.6%
62.3%
Over 2.5 rate
50.9%
41.5%
Over 3.5 rate
38.2%
2.31
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.08
Venue performance10 signals
100
27
Matches
27
1.26
PPG
1.33
29.6%
Win rate
33.3%
37.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
33.3%
Loss rate
33.3%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
74.1%
48.1%
Over 2.5 rate
51.9%
37.0%
Over 3.5 rate
44.4%
2.30
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.98
27
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.64
Goals for per game
1.45
73.6%
Scoring rate
74.5%
52.8%
BTTS rate
54.5%
1.48
Goals for per game
1.37
66.7%
Scoring rate
74.1%
40.7%
BTTS rate
55.6%
1.71
Goals for per game
1.86
85.7%
Scoring rate
71.4%
85.7%
BTTS rate
57.1%
53
History Matches
55
1.64
Goals Mean
1.45
1.53
Goals Std
1.25
73.6%
Scored 1+ rate
74.5%
45.3%
Scored 2+ rate
41.8%
24.5%
Scored 3+ rate
20.0%
1.48
Venue Goals Mean
1.37
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.53
Goals against per game
1.60
73.6%
Conceding rate
74.5%
1.44
Goals against per game
1.67
63.0%
Conceding rate
74.1%
2.86
Goals against per game
0.86
100.0%
Conceding rate
71.4%
53
History Matches
55
1.53
Conceded Mean
1.60
1.49
Conceded Std
1.50
37.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
40.0%
22.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
25.5%
1.44
Venue Conceded Mean
1.67
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
26.4%
Clean-sheet rate
25.5%
26.4%
Failed-to-score rate
25.5%
37.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.9%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
25.9%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
26.4%
Clean-sheet rate
25.5%
26.4%
Failed-to-score rate
25.5%
37.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.9%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
25.9%
26.4%
Clean-sheet rate
25.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
53
History Matches
55
1.00
Result entropy
1.00
2.31
Goal Difference Std
2.08
0.23
Stability score
0.03
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
53
Eligible Matches
53
16
Lead Matches
18
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
0.81
Lead Points Retention
0.76
18
Trailing Matches
18
22.2%
Non-loss rate
27.8%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
5.6%
Goal timing5 signals
50
53
Halftime Coverage Matches
53
0.68
First Half Goals For Mean
0.58
0.79
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.74
0.96
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.87
0.74
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.81
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.92
Rest days
77.88
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
2
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.50
32
Normal Rest History Matches
30
1.25
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.33
20
Long Rest History Matches
22
1.65
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.41
Competition & season17 signals
170
7
Matches
7
0.71
PPG
2.00
14.3%
Win rate
57.1%
28.6%
Draw rate
28.6%
57.1%
Loss rate
14.3%
85.7%
Over 1.5 rate
71.4%
85.7%
Over 2.5 rate
42.9%
71.4%
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
2.10
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.85
7
Current Competition Matches
7
0.71
Current Competition PPG
2.00
-1.14
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
5
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.40
Portability PPG Std
0.79
0.85
Portability PPG Range
2.00
55.81
Portability Score
38.66
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
53
Clean History Matches
55
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-19.56
PPG0.07
GF0.19
GA-0.07
PPG-1.29
PPG-0.07
PPG-0.60
PPG-0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate1.0%
Failed-to-score rate1.0%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate11.1%
Failed-to-score rate7.4%
History Matches-2
Goals Mean0.19
Goals Std0.28
Scored 1+ rate-0.01
Scored 2+ rate3.5%
Scored 3+ rate4.5%
Venue Goals Mean0.11
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.26
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean-0.07
Conceded Std-0.01
Clean-sheet rate1.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.02
Conceded 3+ rate-0.03
Venue Conceded Mean-0.22
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.13
History Matches-2
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std0.23
Stability score0.20
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.73
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate8.3%
Lead Points Retention0.05
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate-0.06
Trailing Win Rate-0.06
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean0.09
First Half Goals Against Mean0.06
Second Half Goals For Mean0.09
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.08
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.29
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.14
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.40
Portability PPG Range-1.15
Portability Score17.15
Rest days-0.96
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.08
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.24
Current Team ELO-19.56
Current Opponent ELO19.56
Current ELO Difference-39.12
Expected score-0.06
History Matches-2
Residual Mean-0.02
Overperformance-1.40
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.32

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Weiden

D
Weiden2–2Neudrossenfeld30 Oct · home
Pick: Weiden 42% · missed
W
Weiden4–3Ingolstadt II24 Oct · home
Pick: Ingolstadt II 42% · missed
D
Weiden1–1Nordlingen17 Oct · home
Pick: Weiden 43% · missed
W
Weiden1–0Großbardorf29 Aug · home
Pick: Weiden 60% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Eintracht Bamberg

L
Bayern Hof4–2Eintracht Bamberg31 Oct · away
Pick: Eintracht Bamberg 46% · missed
W
ASV Neumarkt1–3Eintracht Bamberg17 Oct · away
Pick: Eintracht Bamberg 54% · hit
W
Nordlingen0–1Eintracht Bamberg29 Aug · away
Pick: Eintracht Bamberg 55% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Weiden and Eintracht Bamberg meet in Oberliga - Bayern Nord on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Weiden win 27.1%, draw 22.2%, Eintracht Bamberg win 50.7%. The pick is Eintracht Bamberg win. Over 2.5 goals: 60.9%. Both teams to score: 58.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.