ScoreProb
Reserve Pro League Belgium Round 9 2026

Westerlo U21 vs K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21

Westerlo U21 Home · Elo 1,584
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 Away · Elo 1,460
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Westerlo U21 win
Westerlo U21 winPick
60.1%
Draw
20.2%
K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 win
19.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes63.0%
No37.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.574.0%
Under 2.526.0%

How much we know

Westerlo U21 history32 matches
K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 history24 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 19:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (60.1%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Westerlo U21 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Westerlo U21 are rated 124 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,584 against 1,460. On rating alone Westerlo U21 would be expected to take 67% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    2.09 goals a game over 32 matches for Westerlo U21, against 2.00 over 24 for K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21.

  • Westerlo U21 concede fewer

    Westerlo U21 concede 1.44 a game, K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 2.33.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    78% of Westerlo U21 matches, against 83% for K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21. The model puts this match at 74% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 15 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Westerlo U21
K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1584.4
ELO
1460.0
32
ELO · Matches
24
1584.4
Current Team ELO
1460.0
1460.0
Current Opponent ELO
1584.4
124.5
Current ELO Difference
-124.5
0.67
Expected score
0.33
32
History Matches
24
0.13
Residual Mean
-0.08
58.08
Overperformance
45.52
0.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.60
PPG
1.20
3.60
Goals for per game
2.00
1.20
Goals against per game
3.20
80.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
2.20
PPG
1.20
2.60
Goals for per game
2.00
1.40
Goals against per game
2.40
70.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.96
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.67
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.40
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.36
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
2.48
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.20
Overall performance9 signals
90
32
Matches
24
1.94
PPG
1.08
59.4%
Win rate
33.3%
15.6%
Draw rate
8.3%
25.0%
Loss rate
58.3%
84.4%
Over 1.5 rate
87.5%
78.1%
Over 2.5 rate
83.3%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
2.19
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.32
Venue performance10 signals
100
16
Matches
12
1.88
PPG
0.50
56.3%
Win rate
16.7%
18.8%
Draw rate
0.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
83.3%
87.5%
Over 1.5 rate
91.7%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
83.3%
31.3%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
1.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.80
16
History Matches
12
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
2.09
Goals for per game
2.00
81.3%
Scoring rate
75.0%
62.5%
BTTS rate
70.8%
1.81
Goals for per game
1.33
75.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
56.3%
BTTS rate
66.7%
32
History Matches
24
2.09
Goals Mean
2.00
1.59
Goals Std
1.80
81.3%
Scored 1+ rate
75.0%
62.5%
Scored 2+ rate
54.2%
37.5%
Scored 3+ rate
33.3%
1.81
Venue Goals Mean
1.33
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.44
Goals against per game
2.33
78.1%
Conceding rate
91.7%
1.19
Goals against per game
2.83
75.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
32
History Matches
24
1.44
Conceded Mean
2.33
1.14
Conceded Std
1.37
40.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
62.5%
18.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
54.2%
1.19
Venue Conceded Mean
2.83
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
21.9%
Clean-sheet rate
8.3%
18.8%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
21.9%
Clean-sheet rate
8.3%
18.8%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
21.9%
Clean-sheet rate
8.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
32
History Matches
24
0.86
Result entropy
0.81
2.19
Goal Difference Std
2.32
13.88
Stability score
19.20
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
31
Eligible Matches
24
10
Lead Matches
10
90.0%
Lead Win Rate
70.0%
0.93
Lead Points Retention
0.70
8
Trailing Matches
10
37.5%
Non-loss rate
10.0%
25.0%
Trailing Win Rate
10.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
31
Halftime Coverage Matches
24
0.84
First Half Goals For Mean
0.75
0.65
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.79
1.23
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.25
0.84
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.54
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
175.1
Rest days
175.1
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
9
Normal Rest History Matches
13
1.78
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.38
22
Long Rest History Matches
10
2.05
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.70
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.38
Portability PPG Std
—
0.75
Portability PPG Range
—
57.14
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
32
Clean History Matches
24
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO124.5
PPG0.85
GF0.09
GA-0.90
PPG1.38
PPG1.40
PPG1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches8
Clean-sheet rate13.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate25.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.08
History Matches8
Goals Mean0.09
Goals Std-0.21
Scored 1+ rate6.3%
Scored 2+ rate8.3%
Scored 3+ rate4.2%
Venue Goals Mean0.48
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.29
History Matches8
Conceded Mean-0.90
Conceded Std-0.23
Clean-sheet rate13.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.22
Conceded 3+ rate-0.35
Venue Conceded Mean-1.65
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.56
History Matches8
Result entropy0.05
Goal Difference Std-0.13
Stability score-5.32
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.28
Eligible Matches7
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate20.0%
Lead Points Retention0.23
Trailing Matches-2
Non-loss rate27.5%
Trailing Win Rate15.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches7
First Half Goals For Mean0.09
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.15
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.02
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.70
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-4
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.39
Long Rest History Matches12
Long Rest Points Per Match1.35
Current Team ELO124.5
Current Opponent ELO-124.5
Current ELO Difference249.0
Expected score0.34
History Matches8
Residual Mean0.21
Overperformance12.56
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.20

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Westerlo U21

W
Sp. Hasselt U210–3Westerlo U2130 Oct · away
Pick: Sp. Hasselt U21 38% · missed
D
Westerlo U211–1RFC Seraing Reserve U2123 Oct · home
Pick: Westerlo U21 55% · missed
L
RAAL La Louviere U212–1Westerlo U2116 Oct · away
Pick: Westerlo U21 39% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21

L
K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U212–5Waasland-Beveren U2130 Oct · home
Pick: Waasland-Beveren U21 54% · hit
L
RFC de Liege U212–1K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U2123 Oct · away
Pick: K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 47% · missed
L
K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U211–3Lierse K. U2116 Oct · home
Pick: Lierse K. U21 49% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Westerlo U21 and K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 meet in Reserve Pro League on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 19:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Westerlo U21 win 60.1%, draw 20.2%, K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 win 19.7%. The pick is Westerlo U21 win. Over 2.5 goals: 74.0%. Both teams to score: 63.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.