ScoreProb
Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg Germany Baden-Württemberg - 15 2026

Young Boys Reutlingen vs Bahlinger SC

Young Boys Reutlingen Home · Elo 1,513
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Bahlinger SC Away · Elo 1,416
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Young Boys Reutlingen win
Young Boys Reutlingen winPick
42.5%
Draw
28.7%
Bahlinger SC win
28.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes59.6%
No40.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.570.5%
Under 2.529.5%

How much we know

Young Boys Reutlingen history4 matches
Bahlinger SC history60 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.5%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Young Boys Reutlingen are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Young Boys Reutlingen are rated 98 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,513 against 1,416. On rating alone Young Boys Reutlingen would be expected to take 64% of the points on offer.

  • Young Boys Reutlingen score far more

    2.00 goals a game over 4 matches for Young Boys Reutlingen, against 1.28 over 60 for Bahlinger SC.

  • Defences are close

    Young Boys Reutlingen concede 2.00 a game, Bahlinger SC 2.03.

  • Young Boys Reutlingen games more often go over 2.5 goals

    75% of Young Boys Reutlingen matches, against 67% for Bahlinger SC. The model puts this match at 70% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Young Boys Reutlingen
Bahlinger SC
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1513.1
ELO
1415.5
4
ELO · Matches
60
1513.1
Current Team ELO
1415.5
1415.5
Current Opponent ELO
1513.1
97.60
Current ELO Difference
-97.60
0.64
Expected score
0.36
4
History Matches
60
0.17
Residual Mean
-0.06
52.77
Overperformance
45.76
0.17
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
4
Matches
5
1.75
PPG
0.60
2.00
Goals for per game
1.00
2.00
Goals against per game
2.20
50.0%
Win rate
0.0%
4
Matches
10
1.75
PPG
1.00
2.00
Goals for per game
1.10
2.00
Goals against per game
2.10
50.0%
Win rate
20.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.94
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.10
2.35
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.37
0.95
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
3.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.79
Overall performance9 signals
90
4
Matches
60
1.75
PPG
0.97
50.0%
Win rate
23.3%
25.0%
Draw rate
26.7%
25.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
85.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
41.7%
3.08
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.01
Venue performance10 signals
100
2
Matches
26
2.00
PPG
0.81
50.0%
Win rate
19.2%
50.0%
Draw rate
23.1%
0.0%
Loss rate
57.7%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
80.8%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
61.5%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
38.5%
1.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
2
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.00
Goals for per game
1.28
100.0%
Scoring rate
65.0%
75.0%
BTTS rate
58.3%
2.00
Goals for per game
0.85
100.0%
Scoring rate
53.8%
50.0%
BTTS rate
46.2%
2.33
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
66.7%
BTTS rate
66.7%
4
History Matches
60
2.00
Goals Mean
1.28
1.00
Goals Std
1.34
100.0%
Scored 1+ rate
65.0%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
35.0%
50.0%
Scored 3+ rate
16.7%
2.00
Venue Goals Mean
0.85
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.00
Goals against per game
2.03
75.0%
Conceding rate
88.3%
0.50
Goals against per game
2.15
50.0%
Conceding rate
88.5%
0.67
Goals against per game
1.00
66.7%
Conceding rate
66.7%
4
History Matches
60
2.00
Conceded Mean
2.03
2.35
Conceded Std
1.34
25.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
63.3%
25.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
31.7%
0.50
Venue Conceded Mean
2.15
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.7%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
35.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.5%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
46.2%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.7%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
35.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.5%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
46.2%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
4
History Matches
60
0.95
Result entropy
0.95
3.08
Goal Difference Std
2.01
5.36
Stability score
5.46
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
4
Eligible Matches
57
3
Lead Matches
12
66.7%
Lead Win Rate
33.3%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.44
1
Trailing Matches
23
0.0%
Non-loss rate
21.7%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
4
Halftime Coverage Matches
57
1.25
First Half Goals For Mean
0.49
0.75
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.84
0.75
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.68
1.25
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.23
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
78.88
Rest days
77.02
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
3
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.33
1
Normal Rest History Matches
45
3.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.91
2
Long Rest History Matches
11
2.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.91
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
2.33
PPG
1.00
66.7%
Win rate
0.0%
33.3%
Draw rate
100.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.00
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.33
Current Competition PPG
1.00
1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
2
Competition Season Count
7
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
—
Portability PPG Std
0.74
—
Portability PPG Range
1.95
—
Portability Score
40.46
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
4
Clean History Matches
60
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO97.60
PPG0.78
GF0.72
GA-0.03
PPG1.33
PPG1.19
PPG1.15
PPG0.75
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-56
Clean-sheet rate13.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.35
History Matches-24
Clean-sheet rate38.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.46
History Matches-56
Goals Mean0.72
Goals Std-0.34
Scored 1+ rate35.0%
Scored 2+ rate15.0%
Scored 3+ rate33.3%
Venue Goals Mean1.15
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std0.06
History Matches-56
Conceded Mean-0.03
Conceded Std1.00
Clean-sheet rate13.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.38
Conceded 3+ rate-0.07
Venue Conceded Mean-1.65
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.97
History Matches-56
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std1.07
Stability score-0.10
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.01
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.29
Eligible Matches-53
Lead Matches-9
Lead Win Rate33.3%
Lead Points Retention0.33
Trailing Matches-22
Non-loss rate-0.22
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-53
First Half Goals For Mean0.76
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.09
Second Half Goals For Mean0.07
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.02
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.67
Competition Season Count-5
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Rest days1.85
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest History Matches-44
Normal Rest Points Per Match2.09
Long Rest History Matches-9
Long Rest Points Per Match1.09
Current Team ELO97.60
Current Opponent ELO-97.60
Current ELO Difference195.2
Expected score0.27
History Matches-56
Residual Mean0.22
Overperformance7.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.11

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Young Boys Reutlingen

D
FC Holzhausen2–2Young Boys Reutlingen31 Oct · away
Pick: Young Boys Reutlingen 52% · missed
L
Young Boys Reutlingen1–2Oberachern24 Oct · home
Pick: Oberachern 43% · hit
L
Backnang3–1Young Boys Reutlingen17 Oct · away
Pick: Backnang 66% · hit
W
CFR Pforzheim1–5Young Boys Reutlingen7 Oct · away
Pick: CFR Pforzheim 51% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Bahlinger SC

W
Bahlinger SC3–0TSV Singen31 Oct · home
Pick: Bahlinger SC 57% · hit
W
Balingen0–2Bahlinger SC24 Oct · away
Pick: Bahlinger SC 43% · hit
W
FC Holzhausen0–3Bahlinger SC17 Oct · away
Pick: Bahlinger SC 47% · hit
L
1. FC Muhlhausen5–2Bahlinger SC30 Aug · away
Pick: Bahlinger SC 54% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Young Boys Reutlingen and Bahlinger SC meet in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Young Boys Reutlingen win 42.5%, draw 28.7%, Bahlinger SC win 28.8%. The pick is Young Boys Reutlingen win. Over 2.5 goals: 70.5%. Both teams to score: 59.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.