ScoreProb
1. Liga U19 Czechia Round 8 2026

Zbrojovka Brno U19 vs Teplice U19

Zbrojovka Brno U19 Home · Elo 1,494
LIVE · 16'
1–0
Half time 1–0
Wed 4 Nov · 11:00 UTC
Teplice U19 Away · Elo 1,523
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Pick published 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC, before kickoff
Pre-match probability, unchanged Model pick: Zbrojovka Brno U19 win
Zbrojovka Brno U19 winPick
43.6%
Draw
15.0%
Teplice U19 win
41.4%

Timeline

Newest at the bottom

Goal
4'

Lineups

Published about an hour before kickoff

Lineups are not provided for this competition by our data source.

Live stats

Zbrojovka Brno U19 left, Teplice U19 right

Match statistics are not provided for this competition by our data source.

Our pre-match picks, right now

Updates with every goal. There is no in-play model: this is the pre-match pick against the live score.

Match resultPick: Zbrojovka Brno U19 win · 43.6%
Ahead: 1–0
Both teams to scorePick: Yes · 61.0%
Needs a goal from Teplice U19
Over 2.5 goalsPick: Over · 75.0%
Needs 2 more goals
The pre-match numbers never change after kickoff. That is what makes the record verifiable.

Both teams to score

Yes61.0%
No39.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.575.0%
Under 2.525.0%

How much we know

Zbrojovka Brno U19 history48 matches
Teplice U19 history4 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Life of this match

Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
  2. Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
  3. Kickoff
    4 Nov · 11:00 UTC
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

Share this match

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How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.6%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Zbrojovka Brno U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Teplice U19 are rated 29 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,523 against 1,494. On rating alone Teplice U19 would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.

  • Teplice U19 score far more

    1.60 goals a game over 48 matches for Zbrojovka Brno U19, against 2.75 over 4 for Teplice U19.

  • Defences are close

    Zbrojovka Brno U19 concede 1.88 a game, Teplice U19 1.75.

  • Teplice U19 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    71% of Zbrojovka Brno U19 matches, against 100% for Teplice U19. The model puts this match at 75% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Zbrojovka Brno U19
Teplice U19
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1493.8
ELO
1523.0
48
ELO · Matches
4
1493.8
Current Team ELO
1523.0
1523.0
Current Opponent ELO
1493.8
-29.21
Current ELO Difference
29.21
0.46
Expected score
0.54
48
History Matches
4
-0.01
Residual Mean
0.24
49.29
Overperformance
54.04
-0.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.24
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
4
0.80
PPG
2.25
1.60
Goals for per game
2.75
3.00
Goals against per game
1.75
20.0%
Win rate
75.0%
10
Matches
4
0.90
PPG
2.25
1.40
Goals for per game
2.75
2.40
Goals against per game
1.75
20.0%
Win rate
75.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.75
1.11
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.09
2.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.75
1.69
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.09
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.51
2.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.41
Overall performance9 signals
90
48
Matches
4
1.31
PPG
2.25
37.5%
Win rate
75.0%
18.8%
Draw rate
0.0%
43.8%
Loss rate
25.0%
89.6%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
70.8%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
47.9%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.35
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.41
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
3
1.65
PPG
3.00
47.8%
Win rate
100.0%
21.7%
Draw rate
0.0%
30.4%
Loss rate
0.0%
87.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
69.6%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
43.5%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
2.55
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.94
23
History Matches
3
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.60
Goals for per game
2.75
81.3%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
75.0%
1.78
Goals for per game
3.33
87.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
65.2%
BTTS rate
66.7%
1.67
Goals for per game
2.75
66.7%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
75.0%
48
History Matches
4
1.60
Goals Mean
2.75
1.29
Goals Std
1.09
81.3%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
75.0%
18.8%
Scored 3+ rate
75.0%
1.78
Venue Goals Mean
3.33
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.88
Goals against per game
1.75
83.3%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.61
Goals against per game
1.67
78.3%
Conceding rate
66.7%
4.00
Goals against per game
1.75
100.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
48
History Matches
4
1.88
Conceded Mean
1.75
1.60
Conceded Std
1.09
52.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
75.0%
25.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
25.0%
1.61
Venue Conceded Mean
1.67
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
18.8%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
21.7%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
13.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
18.8%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
21.7%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
13.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
48
History Matches
4
0.95
Result entropy
0.51
2.35
Goal Difference Std
1.41
5.03
Stability score
48.81
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
48
Eligible Matches
4
14
Lead Matches
1
71.4%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.76
Lead Points Retention
1.00
18
Trailing Matches
0
22.2%
Non-loss rate
—
11.1%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals
50
48
Halftime Coverage Matches
4
0.77
First Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.90
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.75
0.83
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.75
0.98
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
71.00
Rest days
74.10
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
1
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
25
Normal Rest History Matches
2
1.40
Normal Rest Points Per Match
3.00
20
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.10
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
4
0.33
PPG
2.25
0.0%
Win rate
75.0%
33.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
66.7%
Loss rate
25.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.62
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.41
3
Current Competition Matches
4
0.33
Current Competition PPG
2.25
-2.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
3
Competition Season Count
1
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.52
Portability PPG Std
—
1.27
Portability PPG Range
—
49.15
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
48
Clean History Matches
4
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreNon-loss rateTrailing Win RatePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-29.21
PPG-0.94
GF-1.15
GA0.13
PPG-1.92
PPG-1.35
PPG-1.45
PPG-1.35
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches44
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate18.8%
History Matches20
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate13.0%
History Matches44
Goals Mean-1.15
Goals Std0.20
Scored 1+ rate-0.19
Scored 2+ rate-0.25
Scored 3+ rate-0.56
Venue Goals Mean-1.55
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.35
Recent 10 Goals Std0.02
History Matches44
Conceded Mean0.13
Conceded Std0.51
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Conceded 2+ rate-0.23
Conceded 3+ rate0.0%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.06
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.65
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.60
History Matches44
Result entropy0.44
Goal Difference Std0.94
Stability score-43.78
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.43
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.73
Eligible Matches44
Lead Matches13
Lead Win Rate-0.29
Lead Points Retention-0.24
Trailing Matches18
Halftime Coverage Matches44
First Half Goals For Mean-0.23
First Half Goals Against Mean0.15
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.92
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.02
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG-1.92
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-3.33
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days-3.10
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match3.00
Normal Rest History Matches23
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.60
Long Rest History Matches20
Current Team ELO-29.21
Current Opponent ELO29.21
Current ELO Difference-58.42
Expected score-0.08
History Matches44
Residual Mean-0.25
Overperformance-4.75
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.39

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Zbrojovka Brno U19

W
Zbrojovka Brno U191–0Slavia Praha U1931 Oct · home
Pick: Zbrojovka Brno U19 51% · hit
L
Sparta Praha U193–1Zbrojovka Brno U1924 Oct · away
Pick: Sparta Praha U19 58% · hit
L
Opava U194–0Zbrojovka Brno U1917 Oct · away
Pick: Opava U19 47% · hit
W
Zbrojovka Brno U193–0Karviná U1929 Aug · home
Pick: Karviná U19 43% · missed
L
České Budějovice U194–3Zbrojovka Brno U1925 Aug · away
Pick: České Budějovice U19 54% · hit

Teplice U19

L
Teplice U190–6Viktoria Plzeň U1931 Oct · home
Pick: Viktoria Plzeň U19 49% · hit
L
Teplice U191–4Hradec Králové U1917 Oct · home
Pick: Hradec Králové U19 44% · hit
W
Sparta Praha U191–2Teplice U1929 Aug · away
Pick: Sparta Praha U19 57% · missed
W
Teplice U196–2Slovácko U1926 Aug · home
Pick: Teplice U19 63% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Zbrojovka Brno U19 and Teplice U19 meet in 1. Liga U19 on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kickoff 11:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC: Zbrojovka Brno U19 win 43.6%, draw 15.0%, Teplice U19 win 41.4%. The pick is Zbrojovka Brno U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 75.0%. Both teams to score: 61.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.