ScoreProb
Premier League Kuwait Round 8 2026

Al Fahaheel vs Al Sulaibikhat

Al Fahaheel Home · Elo 1,464
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Al Sulaibikhat Away · Elo 1,541
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Al Fahaheel win
Al Fahaheel winPick
42.6%
Draw
23.8%
Al Sulaibikhat win
33.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.9%
No46.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.557.5%
Under 2.542.5%

How much we know

Al Fahaheel history43 matches
Al Sulaibikhat history37 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 14:25 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.6%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Al Fahaheel are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Al Sulaibikhat are rated 77 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,541 against 1,464. On rating alone Al Sulaibikhat would be expected to take 61% of the points on offer.

  • Al Sulaibikhat score more

    1.28 goals a game over 43 matches for Al Fahaheel, against 1.49 over 37 for Al Sulaibikhat.

  • Al Sulaibikhat concede fewer

    Al Fahaheel concede 1.81 a game, Al Sulaibikhat 1.05.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    56% of Al Fahaheel matches, against 49% for Al Sulaibikhat. The model puts this match at 58% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 26 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Al Fahaheel
Al Sulaibikhat@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1463.9
ELO
1540.6
43
ELO · Matches
37
1463.9
Current Team ELO
1540.6
1540.6
Current Opponent ELO
1463.9
-76.71
Current ELO Difference
76.71
0.39
Expected score
0.61
43
History Matches
37
-0.03
Residual Mean
0.05
47.96
Overperformance
53.00
-0.25
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.09
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.20
PPG
1.80
0.60
Goals for per game
1.00
2.00
Goals against per game
0.20
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
0.40
PPG
1.70
0.60
Goals for per game
1.60
2.30
Goals against per game
0.70
10.0%
Win rate
40.0%
0.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
0.92
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.28
2.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.70
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.78
0.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.55
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.45
Overall performance9 signals
90
43
Matches
37
1.21
PPG
1.51
32.6%
Win rate
35.1%
23.3%
Draw rate
45.9%
44.2%
Loss rate
18.9%
88.4%
Over 1.5 rate
75.7%
55.8%
Over 2.5 rate
48.6%
32.6%
Over 3.5 rate
27.0%
2.04
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.62
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
20
1.38
PPG
1.40
37.5%
Win rate
35.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
35.0%
37.5%
Loss rate
30.0%
83.3%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
30.0%
1.85
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.82
24
History Matches
20
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.28
Goals for per game
1.49
65.1%
Scoring rate
73.0%
53.5%
BTTS rate
59.5%
1.21
Goals for per game
1.45
66.7%
Scoring rate
70.0%
45.8%
BTTS rate
60.0%
1.00
Goals for per game
—
100.0%
Scoring rate
—
100.0%
BTTS rate
—
43
History Matches
37
1.28
Goals Mean
1.49
1.40
Goals Std
1.37
65.1%
Scored 1+ rate
73.0%
34.9%
Scored 2+ rate
40.5%
16.3%
Scored 3+ rate
24.3%
1.21
Venue Goals Mean
1.45
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.81
Goals against per game
1.05
86.0%
Conceding rate
75.7%
1.42
Goals against per game
1.30
75.0%
Conceding rate
85.0%
2.00
Goals against per game
—
100.0%
Conceding rate
—
43
History Matches
37
1.81
Conceded Mean
1.05
1.33
Conceded Std
0.80
51.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
24.3%
25.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
5.4%
1.42
Venue Conceded Mean
1.30
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
14.0%
Clean-sheet rate
24.3%
34.9%
Failed-to-score rate
27.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
15.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
14.0%
Clean-sheet rate
24.3%
34.9%
Failed-to-score rate
27.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
15.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
14.0%
Clean-sheet rate
24.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
43
History Matches
37
0.97
Result entropy
0.95
2.04
Goal Difference Std
1.62
3.02
Stability score
5.35
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
43
Eligible Matches
26
13
Lead Matches
7
76.9%
Lead Win Rate
57.1%
0.85
Lead Points Retention
0.71
19
Trailing Matches
7
26.3%
Non-loss rate
57.1%
5.3%
Trailing Win Rate
14.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
43
Halftime Coverage Matches
26
0.49
First Half Goals For Mean
0.35
0.81
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.38
0.79
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.81
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.58
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
72.85
Rest days
80.88
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
5
Short Rest History Matches
2
0.80
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
19
Normal Rest History Matches
17
1.21
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.76
18
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.39
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.35
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
0
0.00
PPG
—
0.0%
Win rate
—
0.0%
Draw rate
—
100.0%
Loss rate
—
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
—
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
—
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
—
1
Current Competition Matches
0
0.00
Current Competition PPG
—
-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
—
7
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.43
Portability PPG Std
0.10
1.04
Portability PPG Range
0.20
53.80
Portability Score
83.45
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
43
Clean History Matches
37
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-76.71
PPG-0.30
GF-0.21
GA0.76
PPG-0.03
PPG-1.60
PPG-1.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches6
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Failed-to-score rate7.9%
History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate10.0%
Failed-to-score rate3.3%
History Matches6
Goals Mean-0.21
Goals Std0.04
Scored 1+ rate-0.08
Scored 2+ rate-0.06
Scored 3+ rate-0.08
Venue Goals Mean-0.24
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.36
History Matches6
Conceded Mean0.76
Conceded Std0.53
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Conceded 2+ rate26.8%
Conceded 3+ rate20.2%
Venue Conceded Mean0.12
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.22
History Matches6
Result entropy0.02
Goal Difference Std0.42
Stability score-2.33
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.28
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.11
Eligible Matches17
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate19.8%
Lead Points Retention0.13
Trailing Matches12
Non-loss rate-0.31
Trailing Win Rate-0.09
Halftime Coverage Matches17
First Half Goals For Mean0.14
First Half Goals Against Mean0.43
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.02
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.42
Current Competition Matches1
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.33
Portability PPG Range0.85
Portability Score-29.65
Rest days-8.03
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.20
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.55
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.04
Current Team ELO-76.71
Current Opponent ELO76.71
Current ELO Difference-153.4
Expected score-0.22
History Matches6
Residual Mean-0.08
Overperformance-5.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.35

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Al Fahaheel

L
Al Jahra3–0Al Fahaheel1 Nov · away
Pick: Al Fahaheel 43% · missed
W
Al Fahaheel2–0Al Shabab18 Oct · home
Pick: Al Fahaheel 54% · hit
L
Al Fahaheel1–2Al Qadsia25 Aug · home
Pick: Al Qadsia 53% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Al Sulaibikhat

D
Al Sulaibikhat2–2Al Salmiyah31 Oct · home
Pick: Al Salmiyah 39% · missed
L
Kazma2–1Al Sulaibikhat23 Oct · away
Pick: Kazma 46% · hit
L
Al Kuwait7–0Al Sulaibikhat19 Oct · away
Pick: Al Kuwait 68% · hit
D
Al Sulaibikhat1–1Al Shabab31 Aug · home
Pick: Al Sulaibikhat 46% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Al Fahaheel and Al Sulaibikhat meet in Premier League on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 14:25 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Al Fahaheel win 42.6%, draw 23.8%, Al Sulaibikhat win 33.6%. The pick is Al Fahaheel win. Over 2.5 goals: 57.5%. Both teams to score: 53.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.