Anagennisi Karditsas vs Marko
Match result probability Model pick: Anagennisi Karditsas win
Anagennisi Karditsas winPick
35.1%
Draw
31.1%
Marko win
33.8%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes43.7%
No56.3%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.541.4%
Under 2.558.6%
How much we know
Anagennisi Karditsas history41 matches
Marko history45 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Anagennisi Karditsas
Over / under 2.5: ours Under
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 15:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 16:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (35.1%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.
Why Anagennisi Karditsas are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,566 against 1,576. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Anagennisi Karditsas score more
1.56 goals a game over 41 matches for Anagennisi Karditsas, against 1.40 over 45 for Marko.
-
Anagennisi Karditsas concede fewer
Anagennisi Karditsas concede 0.63 a game, Marko 0.84.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
39% of Anagennisi Karditsas matches, against 36% for Marko. The model puts this match at 41% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Marko@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1565.6
ELO
1575.5
41
ELO · Matches
45
1565.6
Current Team ELO
1575.5
1575.5
Current Opponent ELO
1565.6
-9.95
Current ELO Difference
9.95
0.49
Expected score
0.51
41
History Matches
45
0.08
Residual Mean
0.08
55.33
Overperformance
55.53
-0.36
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.02
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.20
PPG
1.60
0.60
Goals for per game
1.20
1.80
Goals against per game
0.80
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
0.50
PPG
1.30
0.70
Goals for per game
0.80
1.30
Goals against per game
0.70
10.0%
Win rate
30.0%
0.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.80
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.98
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.70
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.64
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.36
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.30
Overall performance9 signals 90
41
Matches
45
1.93
PPG
1.80
58.5%
Win rate
51.1%
17.1%
Draw rate
26.7%
24.4%
Loss rate
22.2%
58.5%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
39.0%
Over 2.5 rate
35.6%
17.1%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
2.03
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.51
Venue performance10 signals 100
21
Matches
23
2.05
PPG
1.57
61.9%
Win rate
43.5%
19.0%
Draw rate
26.1%
19.0%
Loss rate
30.4%
81.0%
Over 1.5 rate
56.5%
47.6%
Over 2.5 rate
26.1%
9.5%
Over 3.5 rate
13.0%
2.27
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.59
21
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.56
Goals for per game
1.40
73.2%
Scoring rate
77.8%
22.0%
BTTS rate
44.4%
1.90
Goals for per game
1.09
81.0%
Scoring rate
65.2%
23.8%
BTTS rate
34.8%
41
History Matches
45
1.56
Goals Mean
1.40
1.58
Goals Std
1.12
73.2%
Scored 1+ rate
77.8%
41.5%
Scored 2+ rate
40.0%
24.4%
Scored 3+ rate
15.6%
1.90
Venue Goals Mean
1.09
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.63
Goals against per game
0.84
39.0%
Conceding rate
60.0%
0.62
Goals against per game
0.83
38.1%
Conceding rate
60.9%
41
History Matches
45
0.63
Conceded Mean
0.84
0.93
Conceded Std
0.92
17.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
15.6%
7.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
6.7%
0.62
Venue Conceded Mean
0.83
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
61.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
26.8%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
61.9%
Clean-sheet rate
39.1%
19.0%
Failed-to-score rate
34.8%
61.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
26.8%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
61.9%
Clean-sheet rate
39.1%
19.0%
Failed-to-score rate
34.8%
61.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
41
History Matches
45
0.87
Result entropy
0.94
2.03
Goal Difference Std
1.51
12.67
Stability score
6.27
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
41
Eligible Matches
44
19
Lead Matches
17
94.7%
Lead Win Rate
88.2%
0.96
Lead Points Retention
0.92
5
Trailing Matches
8
20.0%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
12.5%
Goal timing5 signals 50
41
Halftime Coverage Matches
44
0.88
First Half Goals For Mean
0.68
0.27
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.36
0.68
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.75
0.37
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.48
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
83.04
Rest days
76.06
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
21
Normal Rest History Matches
31
2.33
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.84
18
Long Rest History Matches
12
1.44
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.67
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.38
Portability PPG Std
0.65
0.76
Portability PPG Range
1.60
56.87
Portability Score
43.33
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
41
Clean History Matches
45
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-9.95
PPG0.13
GF0.16
GA-0.21
PPG0.48
PPG-1.40
PPG-0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate21.0%
Failed-to-score rate4.6%
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate22.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.16
History Matches-4
Goals Mean0.16
Goals Std0.45
Scored 1+ rate-0.05
Scored 2+ rate1.5%
Scored 3+ rate8.8%
Venue Goals Mean0.82
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.03
History Matches-4
Conceded Mean-0.21
Conceded Std0.01
Clean-sheet rate21.0%
Conceded 2+ rate1.5%
Conceded 3+ rate0.7%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.21
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.26
History Matches-4
Result entropy-0.06
Goal Difference Std0.52
Stability score6.40
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.26
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.06
Eligible Matches-3
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate6.5%
Lead Points Retention0.04
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate-0.05
Trailing Win Rate-0.13
Halftime Coverage Matches-3
First Half Goals For Mean0.20
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.10
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.07
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.11
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.27
Portability PPG Range-0.84
Portability Score13.54
Rest days6.98
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches-10
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.49
Long Rest History Matches6
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.22
Current Team ELO-9.95
Current Opponent ELO9.95
Current ELO Difference-19.90
Expected score-0.03
History Matches-4
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance-0.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.34
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Anagennisi Karditsas
W
Anagennisi Karditsas1–0PAOK II25 Oct · home
Pick: Anagennisi Karditsas 55% · hit L
Asteras Tripolis II2–0Anagennisi Karditsas4 Oct · away
Pick: Anagennisi Karditsas 40% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Marko
W
Marko2–0Apollon Pontou2 Nov · home
Pick: Marko 38% · hit L
Marko0–2Olympiakos Piraeus28 Oct · home
Pick: Olympiakos Piraeus 46% · hit W
Panionios0–4Marko25 Oct · away
Pick: Panionios 42% · missed W
Nestos Chrisoupolis1–2Marko5 Oct · away
Pick: Nestos Chrisoupolis 37% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Anagennisi Karditsas and Marko meet in Super League 2 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Anagennisi Karditsas win 35.1%, draw 31.1%, Marko win 33.8%. The pick is Anagennisi Karditsas win. Over 2.5 goals: 41.4%. Both teams to score: 43.7%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.