ScoreProb
Super League 2 Greece Round 10 2026

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Ellas Syros

Olympiakos Piraeus II Home · Elo 1,487
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Ellas Syros Away · Elo 1,552
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Ellas Syros win
Olympiakos Piraeus II win
23.3%
Draw
25.9%
Ellas Syros winPick
50.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes49.1%
No50.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.550.9%
Under 2.549.1%

How much we know

Olympiakos Piraeus II history25 matches
Ellas Syros history44 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 16:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (50.8%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Ellas Syros are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Ellas Syros are rated 65 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,552 against 1,487. On rating alone Ellas Syros would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Ellas Syros score far more

    1.04 goals a game over 25 matches for Olympiakos Piraeus II, against 1.68 over 44 for Ellas Syros.

  • Ellas Syros concede fewer

    Olympiakos Piraeus II concede 1.64 a game, Ellas Syros 0.98.

  • Olympiakos Piraeus II games more often go over 2.5 goals

    60% of Olympiakos Piraeus II matches, against 48% for Ellas Syros. The model puts this match at 51% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Ellas Syros@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1487.4
ELO
1552.3
25
ELO · Matches
44
1487.4
Current Team ELO
1552.3
1552.3
Current Opponent ELO
1487.4
-64.96
Current ELO Difference
64.96
0.41
Expected score
0.59
25
History Matches
44
-0.03
Residual Mean
0.06
48.51
Overperformance
54.16
-0.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
1.60
0.40
Goals for per game
1.00
2.20
Goals against per game
0.60
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
1.90
0.60
Goals for per game
1.40
1.70
Goals against per game
0.60
30.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.92
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.60
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.66
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.70
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.17
Overall performance9 signals
90
25
Matches
44
1.24
PPG
1.82
36.0%
Win rate
52.3%
16.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
48.0%
Loss rate
22.7%
72.0%
Over 1.5 rate
77.3%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
47.7%
24.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.72
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.77
Venue performance10 signals
100
12
Matches
21
1.50
PPG
1.71
41.7%
Win rate
47.6%
25.0%
Draw rate
28.6%
33.3%
Loss rate
23.8%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
76.2%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
38.1%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
19.0%
1.61
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.42
12
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.04
Goals for per game
1.68
64.0%
Scoring rate
81.8%
48.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.17
Goals for per game
1.33
75.0%
Scoring rate
81.0%
58.3%
BTTS rate
52.4%
25
History Matches
44
1.04
Goals Mean
1.68
0.96
Goals Std
1.26
64.0%
Scored 1+ rate
81.8%
32.0%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
8.0%
Scored 3+ rate
25.0%
1.17
Venue Goals Mean
1.33
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.64
Goals against per game
0.98
80.0%
Conceding rate
59.1%
1.58
Goals against per game
1.05
75.0%
Conceding rate
61.9%
25
History Matches
44
1.64
Conceded Mean
0.98
1.26
Conceded Std
1.16
44.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
22.7%
32.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
6.8%
1.58
Venue Conceded Mean
1.05
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.9%
36.0%
Failed-to-score rate
18.2%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
38.1%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
19.0%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.9%
36.0%
Failed-to-score rate
18.2%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
38.1%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
19.0%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
25
History Matches
44
0.92
Result entropy
0.93
1.72
Goal Difference Std
1.77
7.76
Stability score
6.94
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
25
Eligible Matches
42
6
Lead Matches
15
83.3%
Lead Win Rate
86.7%
0.83
Lead Points Retention
0.91
10
Trailing Matches
8
10.0%
Non-loss rate
12.5%
10.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
25
Halftime Coverage Matches
42
0.52
First Half Goals For Mean
0.69
0.72
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.38
0.52
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.90
0.92
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.62
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
90.02
Rest days
76.06
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
3
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
16
Normal Rest History Matches
23
1.38
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.65
7
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.14
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.94
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
4
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
—
Portability PPG Std
0.68
—
Portability PPG Range
1.60
—
Portability Score
42.41
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
25
Clean History Matches
44
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
ELO-64.96
PPG-0.58
GF-0.64
GA0.66
PPG-0.21
PPG-1.00
PPG-0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-19
Clean-sheet rate-0.21
Failed-to-score rate17.8%
History Matches-9
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Failed-to-score rate6.0%
History Matches-19
Goals Mean-0.64
Goals Std-0.30
Scored 1+ rate-0.18
Scored 2+ rate-0.18
Scored 3+ rate-0.17
Venue Goals Mean-0.17
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.12
History Matches-19
Conceded Mean0.66
Conceded Std0.10
Clean-sheet rate-0.21
Conceded 2+ rate21.3%
Conceded 3+ rate25.2%
Venue Conceded Mean0.54
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.44
History Matches-19
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.05
Stability score0.83
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.04
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.53
Eligible Matches-17
Lead Matches-9
Lead Win Rate-0.03
Lead Points Retention-0.08
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate-0.03
Trailing Win Rate10.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-17
First Half Goals For Mean-0.17
First Half Goals Against Mean0.34
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.38
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.30
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Rest days13.96
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match-2.00
Normal Rest History Matches-7
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.28
Long Rest History Matches-10
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.80
Current Team ELO-64.96
Current Opponent ELO64.96
Current ELO Difference-129.9
Expected score-0.18
History Matches-19
Residual Mean-0.09
Overperformance-5.65
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.13

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Olympiakos Piraeus II

L
Olympiakos Piraeus II1–2Nestos Chrisoupolis24 Oct · home
Pick: Nestos Chrisoupolis 51% · hit
L
Olympiakos Piraeus II0–1Kallithea14 Oct · home
Pick: Kallithea 48% · hit
D
PAOK II1–1Olympiakos Piraeus II9 Sep · away
Pick: PAOK II 59% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Ellas Syros

L
Panserraikos3–2Ellas Syros24 Oct · away
Pick: Ellas Syros 42% · missed
D
PAOK II0–0Ellas Syros5 Oct · away
Pick: Ellas Syros 41% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Olympiakos Piraeus II and Ellas Syros meet in Super League 2 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Olympiakos Piraeus II win 23.3%, draw 25.9%, Ellas Syros win 50.8%. The pick is Ellas Syros win. Over 2.5 goals: 50.9%. Both teams to score: 49.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.