Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II
Match result probability Model pick: Pyrgos 1968 win
Pyrgos 1968 winPick
39.4%
Draw
34.5%
PAOK II win
26.1%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes48.2%
No51.8%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.547.6%
Under 2.552.4%
How much we know
Pyrgos 1968 history32 matches
PAOK II history36 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Pyrgos 1968
Over / under 2.5: ours Under
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 15:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 16:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (39.4%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.
Why Pyrgos 1968 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Pyrgos 1968 are rated 82 Elo points higher
Elo 1,626 against 1,544. On rating alone Pyrgos 1968 would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.
-
Pyrgos 1968 score more
1.91 goals a game over 32 matches for Pyrgos 1968, against 1.50 over 36 for PAOK II.
-
Pyrgos 1968 concede fewer
Pyrgos 1968 concede 0.59 a game, PAOK II 1.03.
-
PAOK II games more often go over 2.5 goals
34% of Pyrgos 1968 matches, against 47% for PAOK II. The model puts this match at 48% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 18 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
PAOK II@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1625.8
ELO
1544.1
32
ELO · Matches
36
1625.8
Current Team ELO
1544.1
1544.1
Current Opponent ELO
1625.8
81.69
Current ELO Difference
-81.69
0.62
Expected score
0.38
32
History Matches
36
0.19
Residual Mean
0.05
61.51
Overperformance
53.53
-0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.13
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
2.00
0.80
Goals for per game
1.80
1.20
Goals against per game
1.20
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
2.20
1.60
Goals for per game
1.90
1.20
Goals against per game
0.80
40.0%
Win rate
70.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.90
1.56
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.14
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.80
1.08
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.60
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
1.85
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.51
Overall performance9 signals 90
32
Matches
36
2.22
PPG
1.69
68.8%
Win rate
50.0%
15.6%
Draw rate
19.4%
15.6%
Loss rate
30.6%
68.8%
Over 1.5 rate
72.2%
34.4%
Over 2.5 rate
47.2%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
19.4%
1.81
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.71
Venue performance10 signals 100
15
Matches
19
2.67
PPG
1.63
86.7%
Win rate
47.4%
6.7%
Draw rate
21.1%
6.7%
Loss rate
31.6%
73.3%
Over 1.5 rate
68.4%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
42.1%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
15.8%
1.80
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.13
15
History Matches
19
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.91
Goals for per game
1.50
81.3%
Scoring rate
77.8%
28.1%
BTTS rate
52.8%
2.47
Goals for per game
1.37
86.7%
Scoring rate
78.9%
20.0%
BTTS rate
57.9%
32
History Matches
36
1.91
Goals Mean
1.50
1.57
Goals Std
1.21
81.3%
Scored 1+ rate
77.8%
56.3%
Scored 2+ rate
41.7%
28.1%
Scored 3+ rate
22.2%
2.47
Venue Goals Mean
1.37
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.59
Goals against per game
1.03
40.6%
Conceding rate
69.4%
0.27
Goals against per game
1.00
26.7%
Conceding rate
73.7%
32
History Matches
36
0.59
Conceded Mean
1.03
0.86
Conceded Std
1.09
12.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
22.2%
6.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
2.8%
0.27
Venue Conceded Mean
1.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
59.4%
Clean-sheet rate
30.6%
18.8%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
73.3%
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
13.3%
Failed-to-score rate
21.1%
59.4%
Clean-sheet rate
30.6%
18.8%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
73.3%
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
13.3%
Failed-to-score rate
21.1%
59.4%
Clean-sheet rate
30.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
32
History Matches
36
0.76
Result entropy
0.94
1.81
Goal Difference Std
1.71
23.75
Stability score
6.49
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
29
Eligible Matches
36
15
Lead Matches
14
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
85.7%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.88
4
Trailing Matches
9
25.0%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
25.0%
Trailing Win Rate
11.1%
Goal timing5 signals 50
29
Halftime Coverage Matches
36
0.93
First Half Goals For Mean
0.72
0.28
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.47
1.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.78
0.31
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.56
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
82.00
Rest days
196.2
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
1
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
20
Normal Rest History Matches
17
2.75
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.71
9
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.22
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.53
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.41
Portability PPG Std
0.12
0.82
Portability PPG Range
0.23
54.85
Portability Score
81.16
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
32
Clean History Matches
36
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO81.69
PPG0.52
GF0.41
GA-0.43
PPG1.04
PPG-0.60
PPG-0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate28.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.03
History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate47.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.08
History Matches-4
Goals Mean0.41
Goals Std0.36
Scored 1+ rate3.5%
Scored 2+ rate14.6%
Scored 3+ rate5.9%
Venue Goals Mean1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.43
History Matches-4
Conceded Mean-0.43
Conceded Std-0.23
Clean-sheet rate28.8%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.10
Conceded 3+ rate3.5%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.73
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.48
History Matches-4
Result entropy-0.17
Goal Difference Std0.10
Stability score17.26
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.26
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.34
Eligible Matches-7
Lead Matches1
Lead Win Rate14.3%
Lead Points Retention0.12
Trailing Matches-5
Non-loss rate-0.08
Trailing Win Rate13.9%
Halftime Coverage Matches-7
First Half Goals For Mean0.21
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.20
Second Half Goals For Mean0.22
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.25
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.30
Portability PPG Range0.59
Portability Score-26.31
Rest days-114.2
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.00
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.04
Long Rest History Matches-8
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.31
Current Team ELO81.69
Current Opponent ELO-81.69
Current ELO Difference163.4
Expected score0.23
History Matches-4
Residual Mean0.13
Overperformance7.98
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.14
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Pyrgos 1968
W
Zakynthos2–3Pyrgos 196826 Oct · away
Pick: Zakynthos 54% · missed W
Pyrgos 19682–0Panionios4 Oct · home
Pick: Panionios 39% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
PAOK II
L
Anagennisi Karditsas1–0PAOK II25 Oct · away
Pick: Anagennisi Karditsas 55% · hit W
PAOK II2–1Apollon Pontou19 Oct · home
Pick: Apollon Pontou 42% · missed L
Panionios3–0PAOK II12 Oct · away
Pick: Panionios 53% · hit D
PAOK II0–0Ellas Syros5 Oct · home
Pick: Ellas Syros 41% · missed D
PAOK II1–1Olympiakos Piraeus II9 Sep · home
Pick: PAOK II 59% · missed About this match
Pyrgos 1968 and PAOK II meet in Super League 2 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Pyrgos 1968 win 39.4%, draw 34.5%, PAOK II win 26.1%. The pick is Pyrgos 1968 win. Over 2.5 goals: 47.6%. Both teams to score: 48.2%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.