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3. liga - CFL A Czechia Group A - 15 2026

Aritma Praha vs Jiskra Domažlice

Aritma Praha Home · Elo 1,539
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Jiskra Domažlice Away · Elo 1,656
SK Aritma Praha Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Aritma Praha win
Aritma Praha winPick
38.5%
Draw
23.4%
Jiskra Domažlice win
38.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes55.5%
No44.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.556.3%
Under 2.543.7%

How much we know

Aritma Praha history62 matches
Jiskra Domažlice history60 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 09:15 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.5%). Picks in that band won 39.9% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,949 matches.

Why Aritma Praha are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Jiskra Domažlice are rated 117 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,656 against 1,539. On rating alone Jiskra Domažlice would be expected to take 66% of the points on offer.

  • Jiskra Domažlice score more

    1.53 goals a game over 62 matches for Aritma Praha, against 2.33 over 60 for Jiskra Domažlice.

  • Aritma Praha concede fewer

    Aritma Praha concede 1.16 a game, Jiskra Domažlice 1.33.

  • Jiskra Domažlice games more often go over 2.5 goals

    48% of Aritma Praha matches, against 68% for Jiskra Domažlice. The model puts this match at 56% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Aritma Praha
Jiskra Domažlice@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1538.8
ELO
1655.8
62
ELO · Matches
60
1538.8
Current Team ELO
1655.8
1655.8
Current Opponent ELO
1538.8
-117.0
Current ELO Difference
117.0
0.34
Expected score
0.66
62
History Matches
60
0.02
Residual Mean
0.13
51.86
Overperformance
59.64
-0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.26
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
2.20
0.80
Goals for per game
3.00
0.80
Goals against per game
1.40
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
2.60
1.20
Goals for per game
3.40
1.20
Goals against per game
1.50
30.0%
Win rate
80.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
3.40
1.08
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.69
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
0.98
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.02
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.46
0.77
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.30
Overall performance9 signals
90
62
Matches
60
1.55
PPG
2.03
41.9%
Win rate
63.3%
29.0%
Draw rate
13.3%
29.0%
Loss rate
23.3%
69.4%
Over 1.5 rate
81.7%
48.4%
Over 2.5 rate
68.3%
33.9%
Over 3.5 rate
48.3%
1.77
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.86
Venue performance10 signals
100
29
Matches
30
1.79
PPG
1.77
51.7%
Win rate
53.3%
24.1%
Draw rate
16.7%
24.1%
Loss rate
30.0%
75.9%
Over 1.5 rate
76.7%
55.2%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
31.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.43
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.84
29
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.53
Goals for per game
2.33
72.6%
Scoring rate
90.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
65.0%
1.66
Goals for per game
2.03
79.3%
Scoring rate
86.7%
58.6%
BTTS rate
63.3%
0.67
Goals for per game
1.50
33.3%
Scoring rate
100.0%
33.3%
BTTS rate
50.0%
62
History Matches
60
1.53
Goals Mean
2.33
1.36
Goals Std
1.65
72.6%
Scored 1+ rate
90.0%
48.4%
Scored 2+ rate
58.3%
21.0%
Scored 3+ rate
40.0%
1.66
Venue Goals Mean
2.03
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.16
Goals against per game
1.33
66.1%
Conceding rate
71.7%
1.07
Goals against per game
1.17
69.0%
Conceding rate
70.0%
0.67
Goals against per game
1.00
33.3%
Conceding rate
50.0%
62
History Matches
60
1.16
Conceded Mean
1.33
1.19
Conceded Std
1.12
30.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
41.7%
12.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
16.7%
1.07
Venue Conceded Mean
1.17
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
33.9%
Clean-sheet rate
28.3%
27.4%
Failed-to-score rate
10.0%
31.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
20.7%
Failed-to-score rate
13.3%
66.7%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
66.7%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
33.9%
Clean-sheet rate
28.3%
27.4%
Failed-to-score rate
10.0%
31.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
20.7%
Failed-to-score rate
13.3%
33.9%
Clean-sheet rate
28.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
62
History Matches
60
0.99
Result entropy
0.82
1.77
Goal Difference Std
1.86
1.46
Stability score
18.31
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
62
Eligible Matches
60
16
Lead Matches
28
68.8%
Lead Win Rate
85.7%
0.75
Lead Points Retention
0.87
16
Trailing Matches
9
37.5%
Non-loss rate
44.4%
12.5%
Trailing Win Rate
33.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
62
Halftime Coverage Matches
60
0.63
First Half Goals For Mean
1.07
0.61
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.47
0.90
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.27
0.55
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.87
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.04
Rest days
90.84
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
4
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.25
34
Normal Rest History Matches
36
1.62
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.03
23
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.57
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.11
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
2
1.00
PPG
2.00
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
100.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
33.3%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
0.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
3
Current Competition Matches
2
1.00
Current Competition PPG
2.00
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.50
7
Competition Season Count
8
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.81
Portability PPG Std
0.13
2.33
Portability PPG Range
0.33
38.21
Portability Score
79.91
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
62
Clean History Matches
60
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-117.0
PPG-0.48
GF-0.80
GA-0.17
PPG-1.00
PPG0.03
PPG-1.00
PPG-1.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate5.5%
Failed-to-score rate17.4%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate1.0%
Failed-to-score rate7.4%
History Matches2
Goals Mean-0.80
Goals Std-0.29
Scored 1+ rate-0.17
Scored 2+ rate-0.10
Scored 3+ rate-0.19
Venue Goals Mean-0.38
Recent 10 Goals Mean-2.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.61
History Matches2
Conceded Mean-0.17
Conceded Std0.07
Clean-sheet rate5.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.11
Conceded 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.04
History Matches2
Result entropy0.17
Goal Difference Std-0.09
Stability score-16.84
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.54
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.53
Eligible Matches2
Lead Matches-12
Lead Win Rate-0.17
Lead Points Retention-0.12
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate-0.07
Trailing Win Rate-0.21
Halftime Coverage Matches2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.44
First Half Goals Against Mean0.15
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.36
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.32
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.50
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.68
Portability PPG Range2.00
Portability Score-41.69
Rest days-6.80
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.25
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.41
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.54
Current Team ELO-117.0
Current Opponent ELO117.0
Current ELO Difference-233.9
Expected score-0.32
History Matches2
Residual Mean-0.10
Overperformance-7.79
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.27

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Aritma Praha

L
Písek4–2Aritma Praha30 Oct · away
Pick: Písek 46% · hit
D
Aritma Praha0–0Dukla Praha II24 Oct · home
Pick: Aritma Praha 63% · missed
L
Viktoria Plzeň II3–0Aritma Praha18 Oct · away
Pick: Viktoria Plzeň II 53% · hit
L
Aritma Praha0–2Králův Dvůr29 Aug · home
Pick: Králův Dvůr 46% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Jiskra Domažlice

W
Jiskra Domažlice5–3Písek7 Nov · home
Pick: Jiskra Domažlice 51% · hit
W
Dukla Praha II2–3Jiskra Domažlice31 Oct · away
Pick: Jiskra Domažlice 62% · hit
L
Jiskra Domažlice1–4Viktoria Plzeň II24 Oct · home
Pick: Jiskra Domažlice 49% · missed
L
Bohemians 1905 II7–2Jiskra Domažlice18 Oct · away
Pick: Jiskra Domažlice 58% · missed
D
Admira Praha4–4Jiskra Domažlice4 Oct · away
Pick: Jiskra Domažlice 54% · missed

About this match

Aritma Praha and Jiskra Domažlice meet in 3. liga - CFL A on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 09:15 UTC. The match is played at SK Aritma Praha. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Aritma Praha win 38.5%, draw 23.4%, Jiskra Domažlice win 38.1%. The pick is Aritma Praha win. Over 2.5 goals: 56.3%. Both teams to score: 55.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.