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3. liga - CFL A Czechia Group A - 15 2026

Dukla Praha II vs Povltava FA

Dukla Praha II Home · Elo 1,432
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Povltava FA Away · Elo 1,564
Sports facility Satalice - Artificial Grass Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Dukla Praha II win
Dukla Praha II winPick
42.7%
Draw
21.8%
Povltava FA win
35.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes63.0%
No37.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.566.1%
Under 2.533.9%

How much we know

Dukla Praha II history60 matches
Povltava FA history53 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 11:30 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.7%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.

Why Dukla Praha II are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Povltava FA are rated 132 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,564 against 1,432. On rating alone Povltava FA would be expected to take 68% of the points on offer.

  • Povltava FA score more

    1.67 goals a game over 60 matches for Dukla Praha II, against 1.92 over 53 for Povltava FA.

  • Defences are close

    Dukla Praha II concede 1.73 a game, Povltava FA 1.60.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    68% of Dukla Praha II matches, against 64% for Povltava FA. The model puts this match at 66% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 16 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Dukla Praha II
Povltava FA@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1432.0
ELO
1564.3
60
ELO · Matches
53
1432.0
Current Team ELO
1564.3
1564.3
Current Opponent ELO
1432.0
-132.3
Current ELO Difference
132.3
0.32
Expected score
0.68
60
History Matches
53
-0.06
Residual Mean
0.06
45.54
Overperformance
54.26
-0.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.12
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.40
PPG
1.20
1.40
Goals for per game
1.00
2.20
Goals against per game
1.40
0.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.60
PPG
1.90
1.30
Goals for per game
2.00
2.00
Goals against per game
1.20
10.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.48
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.17
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.55
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.99
Overall performance9 signals
90
60
Matches
53
1.18
PPG
1.58
33.3%
Win rate
43.4%
18.3%
Draw rate
28.3%
48.3%
Loss rate
28.3%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
86.8%
68.3%
Over 2.5 rate
64.2%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
45.3%
2.36
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.30
Venue performance10 signals
100
29
Matches
27
1.03
PPG
1.63
27.6%
Win rate
44.4%
20.7%
Draw rate
29.6%
51.7%
Loss rate
25.9%
82.8%
Over 1.5 rate
92.6%
72.4%
Over 2.5 rate
59.3%
58.6%
Over 3.5 rate
48.1%
2.86
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.15
29
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.67
Goals for per game
1.92
75.0%
Scoring rate
79.2%
60.0%
BTTS rate
60.4%
1.76
Goals for per game
1.96
69.0%
Scoring rate
81.5%
55.2%
BTTS rate
66.7%
0.50
Goals for per game
0.00
50.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
60
History Matches
53
1.67
Goals Mean
1.92
1.67
Goals Std
1.48
75.0%
Scored 1+ rate
79.2%
46.7%
Scored 2+ rate
58.5%
20.0%
Scored 3+ rate
34.0%
1.76
Venue Goals Mean
1.96
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.73
Goals against per game
1.60
83.3%
Conceding rate
73.6%
1.79
Goals against per game
1.48
82.8%
Conceding rate
81.5%
2.00
Goals against per game
1.50
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
60
History Matches
53
1.73
Conceded Mean
1.60
1.31
Conceded Std
1.73
48.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
39.6%
28.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
18.9%
1.79
Venue Conceded Mean
1.48
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
26.4%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.8%
17.2%
Clean-sheet rate
18.5%
31.0%
Failed-to-score rate
18.5%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
26.4%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.8%
17.2%
Clean-sheet rate
18.5%
31.0%
Failed-to-score rate
18.5%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
26.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
60
History Matches
53
0.94
Result entropy
0.98
2.36
Goal Difference Std
2.30
6.37
Stability score
1.99
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
60
Eligible Matches
53
21
Lead Matches
19
76.2%
Lead Win Rate
84.2%
0.81
Lead Points Retention
0.88
21
Trailing Matches
15
14.3%
Non-loss rate
40.0%
4.8%
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
60
Halftime Coverage Matches
53
0.83
First Half Goals For Mean
0.87
0.75
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.79
0.83
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.06
0.98
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.81
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
90.14
Rest days
91.14
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
30
Normal Rest History Matches
29
1.37
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.83
28
Long Rest History Matches
22
1.04
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.23
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
0.50
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
0.00
Current Competition PPG
0.50
-1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.50
6
Competition Season Count
6
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.38
Portability PPG Std
0.73
1.00
Portability PPG Range
1.78
56.86
Portability Score
40.64
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
60
Clean History Matches
53
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-132.3
PPG-0.40
GF-0.26
GA0.13
PPG-0.50
PPG-0.60
PPG-0.80
PPG-1.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches7
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Failed-to-score rate4.2%
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate12.5%
History Matches7
Goals Mean-0.26
Goals Std0.19
Scored 1+ rate-0.04
Scored 2+ rate-0.12
Scored 3+ rate-0.14
Venue Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.48
History Matches7
Conceded Mean0.13
Conceded Std-0.42
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Conceded 2+ rate8.7%
Conceded 3+ rate9.5%
Venue Conceded Mean0.31
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.17
History Matches7
Result entropy-0.04
Goal Difference Std0.05
Stability score4.38
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.04
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.44
Eligible Matches7
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate-0.08
Lead Points Retention-0.07
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate-0.26
Trailing Win Rate-0.02
Halftime Coverage Matches7
First Half Goals For Mean-0.03
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.04
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.22
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.17
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.35
Portability PPG Range-0.78
Portability Score16.23
Rest days-1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-2.00
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.46
Long Rest History Matches6
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.19
Current Team ELO-132.3
Current Opponent ELO132.3
Current ELO Difference-264.6
Expected score-0.36
History Matches7
Residual Mean-0.12
Overperformance-8.72
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.27

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Dukla Praha II

L
Benešov2–1Dukla Praha II7 Nov · away
Pick: Benešov 63% · hit
L
Dukla Praha II2–3Jiskra Domažlice31 Oct · home
Pick: Jiskra Domažlice 62% · hit
D
Aritma Praha0–0Dukla Praha II24 Oct · away
Pick: Aritma Praha 63% · missed
W
Dukla Praha II4–0Písek18 Oct · home
Pick: Písek 55% · missed
L
Viktoria Plzeň II3–0Dukla Praha II4 Oct · away
Pick: Viktoria Plzeň II 66% · hit

Povltava FA

D
Bohemians 1905 II1–1Povltava FA1 Nov · away
Pick: Povltava FA 41% · missed
L
Povltava FA0–2Příbram II24 Oct · home
Pick: Povltava FA 48% · missed
L
Admira Praha3–2Povltava FA18 Oct · away
Pick: Povltava FA 40% · missed
L
Slavia III4–0Povltava FA4 Oct · away
Pick: Slavia III 46% · hit
L
Benešov3–1Povltava FA29 Aug · away
Pick: Benešov 58% · hit

About this match

Dukla Praha II and Povltava FA meet in 3. liga - CFL A on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 11:30 UTC. The match is played at Sports facility Satalice - Artificial Grass. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Dukla Praha II win 42.7%, draw 21.8%, Povltava FA win 35.5%. The pick is Dukla Praha II win. Over 2.5 goals: 66.1%. Both teams to score: 63.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.