ScoreProb
CONCACAF Nations League World League B - 1 2025

Cayman Islands vs Guyana

Cayman Islands Home · Elo 1,481
Thu 12 Nov
UTC
Not started
Guyana Away · Elo 1,515
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 6 Nov, 08:47 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Cayman Islands win
Cayman Islands winPick
38.2%
Draw
28.9%
Guyana win
32.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes45.8%
No54.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.549.3%
Under 2.550.7%

How much we know

Cayman Islands history6 matches
Guyana history6 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead
    6 Nov · 08:47 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    12 Nov · 19:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,392 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,699
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,277
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,777
60–69% Won 63.7% · said 64.4% · n 1,884
70–79% Won 76.4% · said 73.9% · n 589
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.4% · n 166
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.2%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,699 matches.

Why Cayman Islands are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Guyana are rated 34 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,515 against 1,481. On rating alone Guyana would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.

  • Guyana score more

    1.33 goals a game over 6 matches for Cayman Islands, against 1.83 over 6 for Guyana.

  • Guyana concede fewer

    Cayman Islands concede 1.33 a game, Guyana 1.00.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    50% of Cayman Islands matches, against 50% for Guyana. The model puts this match at 49% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 6 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Cayman Islands
Guyana@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1480.7
ELO
1514.8
6
ELO · Matches
6
1480.7
Current Team ELO
1514.8
1514.8
Current Opponent ELO
1480.7
-34.07
Current ELO Difference
34.07
0.45
Expected score
0.55
6
History Matches
6
-0.10
Residual Mean
0.15
47.72
Overperformance
53.54
-0.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.15
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.80
1.60
Goals for per game
1.60
1.40
Goals against per game
0.80
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
6
Matches
6
1.17
PPG
2.00
1.33
Goals for per game
1.83
1.33
Goals against per game
1.00
33.3%
Win rate
66.7%
1.33
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.83
1.25
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.34
1.33
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
1.37
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.82
0.92
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.58
2.16
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.77
Overall performance9 signals
90
6
Matches
6
1.17
PPG
2.00
33.3%
Win rate
66.7%
16.7%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
83.3%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
2.16
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.77
Venue performance10 signals
100
5
Matches
2
1.40
PPG
0.00
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
40.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
60.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.85
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
5
History Matches
2
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.33
Goals for per game
1.83
83.3%
Scoring rate
66.7%
50.0%
BTTS rate
33.3%
1.40
Goals for per game
0.00
80.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
40.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
6
History Matches
6
1.33
Goals Mean
1.83
1.25
Goals Std
1.34
83.3%
Scored 1+ rate
66.7%
16.7%
Scored 2+ rate
66.7%
16.7%
Scored 3+ rate
50.0%
1.40
Venue Goals Mean
0.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.33
Goals against per game
1.00
66.7%
Conceding rate
66.7%
0.80
Goals against per game
1.50
60.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
6
History Matches
6
1.33
Conceded Mean
1.00
1.37
Conceded Std
0.82
33.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
33.3%
16.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
0.80
Venue Conceded Mean
1.50
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
6
History Matches
6
0.92
Result entropy
0.58
2.16
Goal Difference Std
1.77
7.94
Stability score
42.06
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
6
Eligible Matches
6
2
Lead Matches
4
50.0%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.50
Lead Points Retention
1.00
0
Trailing Matches
2
—
Non-loss rate
0.0%
—
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
6
Halftime Coverage Matches
6
0.83
First Half Goals For Mean
1.33
0.33
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.67
0.50
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.50
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.33
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
159.1
Rest days
226.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
1
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
0
Normal Rest History Matches
2
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.50
3
Long Rest History Matches
2
0.33
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.50
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
3
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
6
Clean History Matches
6
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreNormal Rest Points Per Match
ELO-34.07
PPG-0.83
GF-0.50
GA0.33
PPG1.40
PPG-0.40
PPG-0.83
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.17
History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate40.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.80
History Matches0
Goals Mean-0.50
Goals Std-0.10
Scored 1+ rate16.7%
Scored 2+ rate-0.50
Scored 3+ rate-0.33
Venue Goals Mean1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.10
History Matches0
Conceded Mean0.33
Conceded Std0.56
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate16.7%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.33
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.56
History Matches0
Result entropy0.34
Goal Difference Std0.39
Stability score-34.12
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.34
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.39
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate-0.50
Lead Points Retention-0.50
Trailing Matches-2
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean-0.50
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.33
Second Half Goals For Mean0.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.67
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days-67.85
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.17
Current Team ELO-34.07
Current Opponent ELO34.07
Current ELO Difference-68.14
Expected score-0.10
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.25
Overperformance-5.82
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.25

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Cayman Islands

L
Puerto Rico1–0Cayman Islands4 Oct · away
Pick: Puerto Rico 42% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Guyana

W
Guyana8–1Dominica4 Oct · home
Pick: Guyana 50% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Cayman Islands and Guyana meet in CONCACAF Nations League on Thursday 12 November 2026, kickoff 19:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 6 Nov, 08:47 UTC: Cayman Islands win 38.2%, draw 28.9%, Guyana win 32.9%. The pick is Cayman Islands win. Over 2.5 goals: 49.3%. Both teams to score: 45.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.