ScoreProb
1. Liga U19 Czechia Round 14 2026

České Budějovice U19 vs Teplice U19

České Budějovice U19 Home · Elo 1,504
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Teplice U19 Away · Elo 1,523
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Teplice U19 win
České Budějovice U19 win
43.3%
Draw
12.9%
Teplice U19 winPick
43.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes65.5%
No34.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.577.6%
Under 2.522.4%

How much we know

České Budějovice U19 history46 matches
Teplice U19 history4 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 10:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.8%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Teplice U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,504 against 1,523. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Teplice U19 score more

    2.20 goals a game over 46 matches for České Budějovice U19, against 2.75 over 4 for Teplice U19.

  • Teplice U19 concede fewer

    České Budějovice U19 concede 2.15 a game, Teplice U19 1.75.

  • Teplice U19 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    78% of České Budějovice U19 matches, against 100% for Teplice U19. The model puts this match at 78% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 26 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
České Budějovice U19
Teplice U19
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1504.1
ELO
1523.0
46
ELO · Matches
4
1504.1
Current Team ELO
1523.0
1523.0
Current Opponent ELO
1504.1
-18.94
Current ELO Difference
18.94
0.47
Expected score
0.53
46
History Matches
4
0.01
Residual Mean
0.24
50.82
Overperformance
54.04
0.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.24
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
4
1.80
PPG
2.25
2.60
Goals for per game
2.75
2.00
Goals against per game
1.75
60.0%
Win rate
75.0%
10
Matches
4
1.80
PPG
2.25
2.70
Goals for per game
2.75
2.40
Goals against per game
1.75
60.0%
Win rate
75.0%
2.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.75
1.55
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.09
2.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.75
0.92
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.09
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.51
2.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.41
Overall performance9 signals
90
46
Matches
4
1.48
PPG
2.25
43.5%
Win rate
75.0%
17.4%
Draw rate
0.0%
39.1%
Loss rate
25.0%
95.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
78.3%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
63.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.08
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.41
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
3
1.64
PPG
3.00
48.0%
Win rate
100.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
32.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
96.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
76.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
64.0%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
2.14
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.94
25
History Matches
3
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.20
Goals for per game
2.75
91.3%
Scoring rate
100.0%
84.8%
BTTS rate
75.0%
2.36
Goals for per game
3.33
88.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
88.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
2.00
Goals for per game
2.75
50.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
75.0%
46
History Matches
4
2.20
Goals Mean
2.75
1.51
Goals Std
1.09
91.3%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
58.7%
Scored 2+ rate
75.0%
39.1%
Scored 3+ rate
75.0%
2.36
Venue Goals Mean
3.33
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.15
Goals against per game
1.75
91.3%
Conceding rate
75.0%
2.16
Goals against per game
1.67
96.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
2.50
Goals against per game
1.75
100.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
46
History Matches
4
2.15
Conceded Mean
1.75
1.35
Conceded Std
1.09
69.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
75.0%
28.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
25.0%
2.16
Venue Conceded Mean
1.67
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
8.7%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
8.7%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
4.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
12.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
8.7%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
8.7%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
4.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
12.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
8.7%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
46
History Matches
4
0.94
Result entropy
0.51
2.08
Goal Difference Std
1.41
5.93
Stability score
48.81
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
46
Eligible Matches
4
15
Lead Matches
1
80.0%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.80
Lead Points Retention
1.00
17
Trailing Matches
0
41.2%
Non-loss rate
—
17.6%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals
50
46
Halftime Coverage Matches
4
0.91
First Half Goals For Mean
1.00
1.07
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.75
1.28
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.75
1.09
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
73.96
Rest days
77.06
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
1
1.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
21
Normal Rest History Matches
2
1.57
Normal Rest Points Per Match
3.00
22
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.45
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
4
1.50
PPG
2.25
50.0%
Win rate
75.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.41
2
Current Competition Matches
4
1.50
Current Competition PPG
2.25
-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
3
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.09
Portability PPG Std
—
0.19
Portability PPG Range
—
84.30
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
46
Clean History Matches
4
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreNon-loss rateTrailing Win RatePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-18.94
PPG-0.77
GF-0.55
GA0.40
PPG-0.75
PPG-1.36
PPG-0.45
PPG-0.45
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches42
Clean-sheet rate-0.16
Failed-to-score rate8.7%
History Matches22
Clean-sheet rate-0.29
Failed-to-score rate12.0%
History Matches42
Goals Mean-0.55
Goals Std0.42
Scored 1+ rate-0.09
Scored 2+ rate-0.16
Scored 3+ rate-0.36
Venue Goals Mean-0.97
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.05
Recent 10 Goals Std0.46
History Matches42
Conceded Mean0.40
Conceded Std0.26
Clean-sheet rate-0.16
Conceded 2+ rate-0.05
Conceded 3+ rate3.3%
Venue Conceded Mean0.49
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.65
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.17
History Matches42
Result entropy0.43
Goal Difference Std0.67
Stability score-42.89
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.64
Eligible Matches42
Lead Matches14
Lead Win Rate-0.20
Lead Points Retention-0.20
Trailing Matches17
Halftime Coverage Matches42
First Half Goals For Mean-0.09
First Half Goals Against Mean0.32
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.47
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.09
Current Competition Matches-2
Current Competition PPG-0.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.50
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days-3.10
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match1.50
Normal Rest History Matches19
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.43
Long Rest History Matches22
Current Team ELO-18.94
Current Opponent ELO18.94
Current ELO Difference-37.88
Expected score-0.05
History Matches42
Residual Mean-0.23
Overperformance-3.22
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.14

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

České Budějovice U19

W
Zlín U191–3České Budějovice U1931 Oct · away
Pick: České Budějovice U19 45% · hit
L
Viktoria Plzeň U193–2České Budějovice U1928 Oct · away
Pick: Viktoria Plzeň U19 66% · hit
L
České Budějovice U191–2Baník Ostrava U1924 Oct · home
Pick: Baník Ostrava U19 54% · hit
L
Dukla Praha U193–2České Budějovice U1917 Oct · away
Pick: Dukla Praha U19 58% · hit
L
Opava U194–2České Budějovice U199 Sep · away
Pick: Opava U19 54% · hit

Teplice U19

L
Teplice U190–6Viktoria Plzeň U1931 Oct · home
Pick: Viktoria Plzeň U19 49% · hit
L
Teplice U191–4Hradec Králové U1917 Oct · home
Pick: Hradec Králové U19 44% · hit
W
Sparta Praha U191–2Teplice U1929 Aug · away
Pick: Sparta Praha U19 57% · missed
W
Teplice U196–2Slovácko U1926 Aug · home
Pick: Teplice U19 63% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

České Budějovice U19 and Teplice U19 meet in 1. Liga U19 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: České Budějovice U19 win 43.3%, draw 12.9%, Teplice U19 win 43.8%. The pick is Teplice U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 77.6%. Both teams to score: 65.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.