ScoreProb
1. Liga U19 Czechia Round 14 2026

Viktoria Plzeň U19 vs Slovácko U19

Viktoria Plzeň U19 Home · Elo 1,555
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Slovácko U19 Away · Elo 1,414
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 4 Nov, 07:21 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Viktoria Plzeň U19 win
Viktoria Plzeň U19 winPick
73.8%
Draw
14.9%
Slovácko U19 win
11.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes64.1%
No35.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.577.2%
Under 2.522.8%

How much we know

Viktoria Plzeň U19 history49 matches
Slovácko U19 history47 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 3 d 7 h ahead
    4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 14:30 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (73.8%). Picks in that band won 76.2% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 583 matches.

Why Viktoria Plzeň U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Viktoria Plzeň U19 are rated 142 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,555 against 1,414. On rating alone Viktoria Plzeň U19 would be expected to take 69% of the points on offer.

  • Viktoria Plzeň U19 score far more

    2.16 goals a game over 49 matches for Viktoria Plzeň U19, against 1.26 over 47 for Slovácko U19.

  • Viktoria Plzeň U19 concede fewer

    Viktoria Plzeň U19 concede 1.63 a game, Slovácko U19 2.11.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    69% of Viktoria Plzeň U19 matches, against 66% for Slovácko U19. The model puts this match at 77% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Viktoria Plzeň U19
Slovácko U19
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1555.3
ELO
1413.8
49
ELO · Matches
47
1555.3
Current Team ELO
1413.8
1413.8
Current Opponent ELO
1555.3
141.6
Current ELO Difference
-141.6
0.69
Expected score
0.31
49
History Matches
47
0.06
Residual Mean
-0.10
54.60
Overperformance
43.33
0.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.09
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
0.00
3.80
Goals for per game
0.60
1.40
Goals against per game
3.60
80.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
0.80
2.70
Goals for per game
1.10
1.20
Goals against per game
2.60
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
2.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.14
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.60
1.25
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.62
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.58
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.86
Overall performance9 signals
90
49
Matches
47
1.65
PPG
0.89
49.0%
Win rate
23.4%
18.4%
Draw rate
19.1%
32.7%
Loss rate
57.4%
87.8%
Over 1.5 rate
85.1%
69.4%
Over 2.5 rate
66.0%
53.1%
Over 3.5 rate
44.7%
2.10
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.93
Venue performance10 signals
100
27
Matches
25
1.56
PPG
0.56
44.4%
Win rate
16.0%
22.2%
Draw rate
8.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
76.0%
88.9%
Over 1.5 rate
88.0%
70.4%
Over 2.5 rate
56.0%
63.0%
Over 3.5 rate
32.0%
1.97
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.85
27
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.16
Goals for per game
1.26
83.7%
Scoring rate
70.2%
71.4%
BTTS rate
55.3%
2.22
Goals for per game
0.88
85.2%
Scoring rate
64.0%
74.1%
BTTS rate
48.0%
4.00
Goals for per game
0.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
33.3%
66.7%
BTTS rate
33.3%
49
History Matches
47
2.16
Goals Mean
1.26
1.50
Goals Std
1.08
83.7%
Scored 1+ rate
70.2%
69.4%
Scored 2+ rate
38.3%
34.7%
Scored 3+ rate
14.9%
2.22
Venue Goals Mean
0.88
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.63
Goals against per game
2.11
81.6%
Conceding rate
80.9%
1.67
Goals against per game
2.20
81.5%
Conceding rate
84.0%
1.67
Goals against per game
3.00
66.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
49
History Matches
47
1.63
Conceded Mean
2.11
1.40
Conceded Std
1.52
40.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
66.0%
22.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
36.2%
1.67
Venue Conceded Mean
2.20
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
18.4%
Clean-sheet rate
19.1%
16.3%
Failed-to-score rate
29.8%
18.5%
Clean-sheet rate
16.0%
14.8%
Failed-to-score rate
36.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
18.4%
Clean-sheet rate
19.1%
16.3%
Failed-to-score rate
29.8%
18.5%
Clean-sheet rate
16.0%
14.8%
Failed-to-score rate
36.0%
18.4%
Clean-sheet rate
19.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
49
History Matches
47
0.93
Result entropy
0.89
2.10
Goal Difference Std
1.93
6.58
Stability score
11.27
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
48
Eligible Matches
47
17
Lead Matches
8
82.4%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.82
Lead Points Retention
0.83
13
Trailing Matches
21
30.8%
Non-loss rate
4.8%
15.4%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
48
Halftime Coverage Matches
47
0.88
First Half Goals For Mean
0.64
0.83
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.17
1.27
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.62
0.79
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.94
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.25
Rest days
77.27
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
24
Normal Rest History Matches
22
1.63
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.68
23
Long Rest History Matches
23
1.83
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.17
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
2.00
PPG
0.00
66.7%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
3.86
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.94
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
2.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.33
5
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.25
Portability PPG Std
0.52
0.60
Portability PPG Range
1.24
66.98
Portability Score
49.15
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
49
Clean History Matches
47
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO141.6
PPG0.76
GF0.91
GA-0.47
PPG2.00
PPG1.00
PPG2.40
PPG1.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate2.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.21
History Matches2
Goals Mean0.91
Goals Std0.42
Scored 1+ rate13.5%
Scored 2+ rate31.1%
Scored 3+ rate19.8%
Venue Goals Mean1.34
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.76
History Matches2
Conceded Mean-0.47
Conceded Std-0.12
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Conceded 2+ rate-0.25
Conceded 3+ rate-0.14
Venue Conceded Mean-0.53
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.38
History Matches2
Result entropy0.05
Goal Difference Std0.17
Stability score-4.69
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.72
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches9
Lead Win Rate7.4%
Lead Points Retention-0.01
Trailing Matches-8
Non-loss rate26.0%
Trailing Win Rate15.4%
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean0.24
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.34
Second Half Goals For Mean0.65
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.14
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean4.67
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.27
Portability PPG Range-0.64
Portability Score17.83
Rest days-0.02
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.94
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match0.65
Current Team ELO141.6
Current Opponent ELO-141.6
Current ELO Difference283.2
Expected score0.39
History Matches2
Residual Mean0.16
Overperformance11.27
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.22

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Viktoria Plzeň U19

W
Teplice U190–6Viktoria Plzeň U1931 Oct · away
Pick: Viktoria Plzeň U19 49% · hit
W
Viktoria Plzeň U193–2České Budějovice U1928 Oct · home
Pick: Viktoria Plzeň U19 66% · hit
L
Viktoria Plzeň U191–2Zlín U1924 Oct · home
Pick: Viktoria Plzeň U19 67% · missed
W
Sigma Olomouc U190–3Viktoria Plzeň U1929 Aug · away
Pick: Sigma Olomouc U19 40% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Slovácko U19

L
Slovácko U190–4Pardubice U1930 Oct · home
Pick: Pardubice U19 50% · hit
L
Hradec Králové U193–0Slovácko U1924 Oct · away
Pick: Hradec Králové U19 76% · hit
L
Slovácko U190–1Sigma Olomouc U1917 Oct · home
Pick: Sigma Olomouc U19 59% · hit
W
Slovácko U195–2Zlín U1929 Aug · home
Pick: Slovácko U19 55% · hit
L
Teplice U196–2Slovácko U1926 Aug · away
Pick: Teplice U19 63% · hit

About this match

Viktoria Plzeň U19 and Slovácko U19 meet in 1. Liga U19 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 14:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 4 Nov, 07:21 UTC: Viktoria Plzeň U19 win 73.8%, draw 14.9%, Slovácko U19 win 11.3%. The pick is Viktoria Plzeň U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 77.2%. Both teams to score: 64.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.