ScoreProb
1. Liga U19 Czechia Round 14 2026

Sigma Olomouc U19 vs Zbrojovka Brno U19

Sigma Olomouc U19 Home · Elo 1,517
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Zbrojovka Brno U19 Away · Elo 1,494
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Sigma Olomouc U19 win
Sigma Olomouc U19 winPick
62.0%
Draw
16.2%
Zbrojovka Brno U19 win
21.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.5%
No38.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.573.4%
Under 2.526.6%

How much we know

Sigma Olomouc U19 history49 matches
Zbrojovka Brno U19 history48 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 10:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (62.0%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Sigma Olomouc U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,517 against 1,494. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.65 goals a game over 49 matches for Sigma Olomouc U19, against 1.60 over 48 for Zbrojovka Brno U19.

  • Sigma Olomouc U19 concede fewer

    Sigma Olomouc U19 concede 1.49 a game, Zbrojovka Brno U19 1.88.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    65% of Sigma Olomouc U19 matches, against 71% for Zbrojovka Brno U19. The model puts this match at 73% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 26 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Sigma Olomouc U19
Zbrojovka Brno U19
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1516.8
ELO
1493.8
49
ELO · Matches
48
1516.8
Current Team ELO
1493.8
1493.8
Current Opponent ELO
1516.8
23.00
Current ELO Difference
-23.00
0.53
Expected score
0.47
49
History Matches
48
0.01
Residual Mean
-0.01
50.79
Overperformance
49.29
0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.15
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
0.80
2.60
Goals for per game
1.60
1.80
Goals against per game
3.00
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.70
PPG
0.90
2.20
Goals for per game
1.40
1.30
Goals against per game
2.40
50.0%
Win rate
20.0%
2.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
1.78
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.11
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.40
0.78
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.69
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.92
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.14
Overall performance9 signals
90
49
Matches
48
1.43
PPG
1.31
38.8%
Win rate
37.5%
26.5%
Draw rate
18.8%
34.7%
Loss rate
43.8%
81.6%
Over 1.5 rate
89.6%
65.3%
Over 2.5 rate
70.8%
40.8%
Over 3.5 rate
47.9%
1.96
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.35
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
25
1.83
PPG
1.00
52.2%
Win rate
28.0%
26.1%
Draw rate
16.0%
21.7%
Loss rate
56.0%
87.0%
Over 1.5 rate
92.0%
65.2%
Over 2.5 rate
72.0%
34.8%
Over 3.5 rate
52.0%
1.72
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.07
23
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.65
Goals for per game
1.60
77.6%
Scoring rate
81.3%
65.3%
BTTS rate
66.7%
1.87
Goals for per game
1.44
87.0%
Scoring rate
76.0%
69.6%
BTTS rate
68.0%
3.67
Goals for per game
1.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
49
History Matches
48
1.65
Goals Mean
1.60
1.36
Goals Std
1.29
77.6%
Scored 1+ rate
81.3%
44.9%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
28.6%
Scored 3+ rate
18.8%
1.87
Venue Goals Mean
1.44
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.49
Goals against per game
1.88
79.6%
Conceding rate
83.3%
1.13
Goals against per game
2.12
78.3%
Conceding rate
88.0%
1.67
Goals against per game
4.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
49
History Matches
48
1.49
Conceded Mean
1.88
1.26
Conceded Std
1.60
40.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
52.1%
16.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
25.0%
1.13
Venue Conceded Mean
2.12
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
20.4%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
22.4%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
21.7%
Clean-sheet rate
12.0%
13.0%
Failed-to-score rate
24.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
20.4%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
22.4%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
21.7%
Clean-sheet rate
12.0%
13.0%
Failed-to-score rate
24.0%
20.4%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
49
History Matches
48
0.99
Result entropy
0.95
1.96
Goal Difference Std
2.35
1.09
Stability score
5.03
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
49
Eligible Matches
48
17
Lead Matches
14
76.5%
Lead Win Rate
71.4%
0.80
Lead Points Retention
0.76
10
Trailing Matches
18
40.0%
Non-loss rate
22.2%
30.0%
Trailing Win Rate
11.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
49
Halftime Coverage Matches
48
0.76
First Half Goals For Mean
0.77
0.49
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.90
0.90
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.83
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.98
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
73.96
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
2
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
30
Normal Rest History Matches
25
1.23
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.40
17
Long Rest History Matches
20
1.88
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.10
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
2.33
PPG
0.33
66.7%
Win rate
0.0%
33.3%
Draw rate
33.3%
0.0%
Loss rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1.63
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.62
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.33
Current Competition PPG
0.33
2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.33
3
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.46
Portability PPG Std
0.52
1.13
Portability PPG Range
1.27
51.86
Portability Score
49.15
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
49
Clean History Matches
48
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO23.00
PPG0.12
GF0.05
GA-0.39
PPG2.00
PPG0.83
PPG0.80
PPG0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate3.7%
Failed-to-score rate3.7%
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate9.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches1
Goals Mean0.05
Goals Std0.08
Scored 1+ rate-0.04
Scored 2+ rate-0.05
Scored 3+ rate9.8%
Venue Goals Mean0.43
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std0.66
History Matches1
Conceded Mean-0.39
Conceded Std-0.34
Clean-sheet rate3.7%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.11
Conceded 3+ rate-0.09
Venue Conceded Mean-0.99
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.90
History Matches1
Result entropy0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.39
Stability score-3.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.22
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches3
Lead Win Rate5.0%
Lead Points Retention0.04
Trailing Matches-8
Non-loss rate17.8%
Trailing Win Rate18.9%
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean-0.02
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.41
Second Half Goals For Mean0.06
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.02
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean4.33
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.05
Portability PPG Range-0.13
Portability Score2.71
Rest days3.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match-3.00
Normal Rest History Matches5
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.17
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.78
Current Team ELO23.00
Current Opponent ELO-23.00
Current ELO Difference46.00
Expected score0.07
History Matches1
Residual Mean0.02
Overperformance1.50
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.21

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Sigma Olomouc U19

W
Opava U193–4Sigma Olomouc U1930 Oct · away
Pick: Sigma Olomouc U19 43% · hit
L
Sigma Olomouc U190–2Mladá Boleslav U1924 Oct · home
Pick: Sigma Olomouc U19 46% · missed
W
Slovácko U190–1Sigma Olomouc U1917 Oct · away
Pick: Sigma Olomouc U19 59% · hit
W
Sigma Olomouc U195–3Sparta Praha U191 Sep · home
Pick: Sigma Olomouc U19 52% · hit
L
Sigma Olomouc U190–3Viktoria Plzeň U1929 Aug · home
Pick: Sigma Olomouc U19 40% · missed

Zbrojovka Brno U19

W
Zbrojovka Brno U191–0Slavia Praha U1931 Oct · home
Pick: Zbrojovka Brno U19 51% · hit
L
Sparta Praha U193–1Zbrojovka Brno U1924 Oct · away
Pick: Sparta Praha U19 58% · hit
L
Opava U194–0Zbrojovka Brno U1917 Oct · away
Pick: Opava U19 47% · hit
W
Zbrojovka Brno U193–0Karviná U1929 Aug · home
Pick: Karviná U19 43% · missed
L
České Budějovice U194–3Zbrojovka Brno U1925 Aug · away
Pick: České Budějovice U19 54% · hit

About this match

Sigma Olomouc U19 and Zbrojovka Brno U19 meet in 1. Liga U19 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Sigma Olomouc U19 win 62.0%, draw 16.2%, Zbrojovka Brno U19 win 21.8%. The pick is Sigma Olomouc U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 73.4%. Both teams to score: 61.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.