ScoreProb
1. Liga U19 Czechia Round 14 2026

Sparta Praha U19 vs Slavia Praha U19

Sparta Praha U19 Home · Elo 1,527
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Slavia Praha U19 Away · Elo 1,443
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Sparta Praha U19 win
Sparta Praha U19 winPick
74.3%
Draw
12.6%
Slavia Praha U19 win
13.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes62.6%
No37.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.577.6%
Under 2.522.4%

How much we know

Sparta Praha U19 history48 matches
Slavia Praha U19 history29 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 10:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (74.3%). Picks in that band won 76.2% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 583 matches.

Why Sparta Praha U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Sparta Praha U19 are rated 84 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,527 against 1,443. On rating alone Sparta Praha U19 would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.

  • Sparta Praha U19 score more

    2.06 goals a game over 48 matches for Sparta Praha U19, against 1.79 over 29 for Slavia Praha U19.

  • Sparta Praha U19 concede fewer

    Sparta Praha U19 concede 1.58 a game, Slavia Praha U19 2.69.

  • Slavia Praha U19 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    69% of Sparta Praha U19 matches, against 79% for Slavia Praha U19. The model puts this match at 78% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Sparta Praha U19
Slavia Praha U19
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1527.0
ELO
1443.1
48
ELO · Matches
29
1527.0
Current Team ELO
1443.1
1443.1
Current Opponent ELO
1527.0
83.88
Current ELO Difference
-83.88
0.62
Expected score
0.38
48
History Matches
29
0.03
Residual Mean
-0.11
51.89
Overperformance
43.77
-0.09
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.18
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
0.40
4.00
Goals for per game
1.00
1.40
Goals against per game
3.00
80.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
0.60
2.50
Goals for per game
0.80
2.10
Goals against per game
2.40
40.0%
Win rate
10.0%
2.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.80
2.11
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.98
2.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.40
1.51
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.91
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
3.23
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.91
Overall performance9 signals
90
48
Matches
29
1.71
PPG
1.00
52.1%
Win rate
27.6%
14.6%
Draw rate
17.2%
33.3%
Loss rate
55.2%
89.6%
Over 1.5 rate
86.2%
68.8%
Over 2.5 rate
79.3%
45.8%
Over 3.5 rate
55.2%
2.29
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.48
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
16
2.08
PPG
0.63
62.5%
Win rate
18.8%
20.8%
Draw rate
6.3%
16.7%
Loss rate
75.0%
91.7%
Over 1.5 rate
93.8%
70.8%
Over 2.5 rate
87.5%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
62.5%
1.85
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.62
24
History Matches
16
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.06
Goals for per game
1.79
83.3%
Scoring rate
79.3%
58.3%
BTTS rate
72.4%
2.50
Goals for per game
1.81
91.7%
Scoring rate
81.3%
58.3%
BTTS rate
75.0%
4.00
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
48
History Matches
29
2.06
Goals Mean
1.79
1.57
Goals Std
1.45
83.3%
Scored 1+ rate
79.3%
60.4%
Scored 2+ rate
48.3%
31.3%
Scored 3+ rate
34.5%
2.50
Venue Goals Mean
1.81
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.58
Goals against per game
2.69
72.9%
Conceding rate
86.2%
1.29
Goals against per game
3.25
62.5%
Conceding rate
93.8%
2.50
Goals against per game
3.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
48
History Matches
29
1.58
Conceded Mean
2.69
1.41
Conceded Std
2.10
45.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
72.4%
22.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
41.4%
1.29
Venue Conceded Mean
3.25
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
27.1%
Clean-sheet rate
13.8%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
20.7%
37.5%
Clean-sheet rate
6.3%
8.3%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
27.1%
Clean-sheet rate
13.8%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
20.7%
37.5%
Clean-sheet rate
6.3%
8.3%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
27.1%
Clean-sheet rate
13.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
48
History Matches
29
0.90
Result entropy
0.90
2.29
Goal Difference Std
2.48
10.18
Stability score
10.21
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
48
Eligible Matches
29
15
Lead Matches
6
93.3%
Lead Win Rate
50.0%
0.96
Lead Points Retention
0.61
17
Trailing Matches
10
29.4%
Non-loss rate
10.0%
23.5%
Trailing Win Rate
10.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
48
Halftime Coverage Matches
29
0.83
First Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.79
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.28
1.23
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.79
0.79
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.41
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.08
Rest days
77.06
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
4
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.75
24
Normal Rest History Matches
13
1.63
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.08
21
Long Rest History Matches
11
1.81
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
1.50
PPG
0.50
50.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
4.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
1.50
Current Competition PPG
0.50
1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.00
3
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.17
Portability PPG Std
0.13
0.34
Portability PPG Range
0.26
74.77
Portability Score
79.25
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
48
Clean History Matches
29
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO83.88
PPG0.71
GF0.27
GA-1.11
PPG1.00
PPG1.46
PPG2.00
PPG0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches19
Clean-sheet rate13.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.04
History Matches8
Clean-sheet rate31.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches19
Goals Mean0.27
Goals Std0.13
Scored 1+ rate4.0%
Scored 2+ rate12.1%
Scored 3+ rate-0.03
Venue Goals Mean0.69
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.70
Recent 10 Goals Std1.13
History Matches19
Conceded Mean-1.11
Conceded Std-0.69
Clean-sheet rate13.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.27
Conceded 3+ rate-0.18
Venue Conceded Mean-1.96
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.39
History Matches19
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std-0.19
Stability score-0.02
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.04
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.32
Eligible Matches19
Lead Matches9
Lead Win Rate43.3%
Lead Points Retention0.34
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate19.4%
Trailing Win Rate13.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches19
First Half Goals For Mean-0.17
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.48
Second Half Goals For Mean0.44
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.62
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.50
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.04
Portability PPG Range0.08
Portability Score-4.48
Rest days0.02
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match1.25
Normal Rest History Matches11
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.55
Long Rest History Matches10
Long Rest Points Per Match0.81
Current Team ELO83.88
Current Opponent ELO-83.88
Current ELO Difference167.8
Expected score0.24
History Matches19
Residual Mean0.13
Overperformance8.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.09

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Sparta Praha U19

W
Dukla Praha U190–3Sparta Praha U1930 Oct · away
Pick: Dukla Praha U19 43% · missed
W
Sparta Praha U193–1Zbrojovka Brno U1924 Oct · home
Pick: Sparta Praha U19 58% · hit
W
Karviná U191–2Sparta Praha U1917 Oct · away
Pick: Sparta Praha U19 51% · hit
L
Sigma Olomouc U195–3Sparta Praha U191 Sep · away
Pick: Sigma Olomouc U19 52% · hit
L
Sparta Praha U191–2Teplice U1929 Aug · home
Pick: Sparta Praha U19 57% · missed

Slavia Praha U19

L
Zbrojovka Brno U191–0Slavia Praha U1931 Oct · away
Pick: Zbrojovka Brno U19 51% · hit
W
Slavia Praha U193–2Zlín U1928 Oct · home
Pick: Slavia Praha U19 51% · hit
L
Slavia Praha U192–3Opava U1924 Oct · home
Pick: Opava U19 44% · hit
W
Fenerbahce U191–3Slavia Praha U1920 Oct · away
Pick: Fenerbahce U19 43% · missed
D
Mladá Boleslav U191–1Slavia Praha U1917 Oct · away
Pick: Mladá Boleslav U19 76% · missed

About this match

Sparta Praha U19 and Slavia Praha U19 meet in 1. Liga U19 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Sparta Praha U19 win 74.3%, draw 12.6%, Slavia Praha U19 win 13.1%. The pick is Sparta Praha U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 77.6%. Both teams to score: 62.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.