Chippa United vs Sekhukhune United
Chippa United
Postponed
Wed 4 Nov
Was due at 17:30 UTC
Sekhukhune United
Match result probability Model pick: Sekhukhune United win
Chippa United win
31.6%
Draw
29.1%
Sekhukhune United winPick
39.3%
No match played
If the match is played on a new date, this page updates by itself.
Both teams to score
Yes44.3%
No55.7%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.541.5%
Under 2.558.5%
How much we know
Chippa United history52 matches
Sekhukhune United history62 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 10 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 31 Oct · 19:48 UTC
- Kickoff4 Nov · 17:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this match
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The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (39.3%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.
Why Sekhukhune United are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Sekhukhune United are rated 87 Elo points higher
Elo 1,532 against 1,445. On rating alone Sekhukhune United would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.
-
Sekhukhune United score far more
0.65 goals a game over 52 matches for Chippa United, against 1.19 over 62 for Sekhukhune United.
-
Sekhukhune United concede fewer
Chippa United concede 1.37 a game, Sekhukhune United 1.08.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
37% of Chippa United matches, against 31% for Sekhukhune United. The model puts this match at 41% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Chippa United
Sekhukhune United
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1445.1
ELO
1532.4
52
ELO · Matches
62
1445.1
Current Team ELO
1532.4
1532.4
Current Opponent ELO
1445.1
-87.29
Current ELO Difference
87.29
0.38
Expected score
0.62
52
History Matches
62
-0.06
Residual Mean
0.02
45.66
Overperformance
51.44
-0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.04
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
0.80
0.60
Goals for per game
1.00
1.00
Goals against per game
1.60
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.80
PPG
1.20
0.70
Goals for per game
1.20
1.70
Goals against per game
1.40
10.0%
Win rate
30.0%
0.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
0.46
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.17
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
1.49
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.92
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.55
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.47
Overall performance9 signals 90
52
Matches
62
0.87
PPG
1.48
17.3%
Win rate
38.7%
34.6%
Draw rate
32.3%
48.1%
Loss rate
29.0%
61.5%
Over 1.5 rate
69.4%
36.5%
Over 2.5 rate
30.6%
13.5%
Over 3.5 rate
19.4%
1.56
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.27
Venue performance10 signals 100
23
Matches
33
1.09
PPG
1.45
26.1%
Win rate
39.4%
30.4%
Draw rate
27.3%
43.5%
Loss rate
33.3%
69.6%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
43.5%
Over 2.5 rate
39.4%
13.0%
Over 3.5 rate
24.2%
1.77
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.30
23
History Matches
33
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
0.65
Goals for per game
1.19
50.0%
Scoring rate
79.0%
36.5%
BTTS rate
51.6%
0.78
Goals for per game
1.18
52.2%
Scoring rate
78.8%
34.8%
BTTS rate
54.5%
0.50
Goals for per game
0.75
50.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
52
History Matches
62
0.65
Goals Mean
1.19
0.76
Goals Std
0.91
50.0%
Scored 1+ rate
79.0%
13.5%
Scored 2+ rate
29.0%
1.9%
Scored 3+ rate
9.7%
0.78
Venue Goals Mean
1.18
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.37
Goals against per game
1.08
67.3%
Conceding rate
67.7%
1.35
Goals against per game
1.18
65.2%
Conceding rate
72.7%
1.25
Goals against per game
1.00
75.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
52
History Matches
62
1.37
Conceded Mean
1.08
1.33
Conceded Std
0.99
36.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
29.0%
23.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
9.7%
1.35
Venue Conceded Mean
1.18
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
32.7%
Clean-sheet rate
32.3%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
21.0%
34.8%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
47.8%
Failed-to-score rate
21.2%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
32.7%
Clean-sheet rate
32.3%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
21.0%
34.8%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
47.8%
Failed-to-score rate
21.2%
32.7%
Clean-sheet rate
32.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
52
History Matches
62
0.93
Result entropy
0.99
1.56
Goal Difference Std
1.27
6.89
Stability score
0.66
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
52
Eligible Matches
62
10
Lead Matches
15
50.0%
Lead Win Rate
86.7%
0.63
Lead Points Retention
0.87
18
Trailing Matches
14
11.1%
Non-loss rate
35.7%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
7.1%
Goal timing5 signals 50
52
Halftime Coverage Matches
62
0.31
First Half Goals For Mean
0.52
0.60
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.47
0.35
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.68
0.77
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
71.00
Rest days
71.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
7
0.67
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.57
27
Normal Rest History Matches
33
0.74
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.33
21
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.10
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.62
Competition & season17 signals 170
4
Matches
4
0.75
PPG
1.50
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
75.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
25.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.30
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.79
4
Current Competition Matches
4
0.75
Current Competition PPG
1.50
-0.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.25
6
Competition Season Count
8
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.08
Portability PPG Std
0.43
0.18
Portability PPG Range
1.00
86.84
Portability Score
53.95
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
52
Clean History Matches
62
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-87.29
PPG-0.62
GF-0.54
GA0.28
PPG-0.75
PPG-0.37
PPG0.40
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-10
Clean-sheet rate0.4%
Failed-to-score rate29.0%
History Matches-10
Clean-sheet rate7.5%
Failed-to-score rate26.6%
History Matches-10
Goals Mean-0.54
Goals Std-0.16
Scored 1+ rate-0.29
Scored 2+ rate-0.16
Scored 3+ rate-0.08
Venue Goals Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.71
History Matches-10
Conceded Mean0.28
Conceded Std0.34
Clean-sheet rate0.4%
Conceded 2+ rate7.5%
Conceded 3+ rate13.4%
Venue Conceded Mean0.17
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.57
History Matches-10
Result entropy-0.06
Goal Difference Std0.29
Stability score6.24
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.08
Eligible Matches-10
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate-0.37
Lead Points Retention-0.23
Trailing Matches4
Non-loss rate-0.25
Trailing Win Rate-0.07
Halftime Coverage Matches-10
First Half Goals For Mean-0.21
First Half Goals Against Mean0.13
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.33
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.16
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.50
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Portability PPG Std-0.35
Portability PPG Range-0.82
Portability Score32.89
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-4
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.90
Normal Rest History Matches-6
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.59
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.52
Current Team ELO-87.29
Current Opponent ELO87.29
Current ELO Difference-174.6
Expected score-0.25
History Matches-10
Residual Mean-0.08
Overperformance-5.78
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.00
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Chippa United
L
Golden Arrows4–0Chippa United24 Oct · away
Pick: Golden Arrows 58% · hit L
Chippa United0–1Kruger United17 Oct · home
Pick: Chippa United 42% · missed D
Siwelele1–1Chippa United25 Aug · away
Pick: Siwelele 43% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Sekhukhune United
W
Sekhukhune United3–1Richards Bay25 Oct · home
Pick: Sekhukhune United 49% · hit W
Sekhukhune United2–1Marumo Gallants17 Oct · home
Pick: Sekhukhune United 53% · hit L
Orlando Pirates3–0Sekhukhune United29 Aug · away
Pick: Orlando Pirates 58% · hit L
Orlando Pirates2–0Sekhukhune United25 Aug · away
Pick: Orlando Pirates 57% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Chippa United and Sekhukhune United were due to play in Premier Soccer League on Wednesday 4 November 2026, but the match was not played.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.