Kaizer Chiefs vs Amazulu
Kaizer Chiefs
Postponed
Wed 4 Nov
Was due at 17:30 UTC
Amazulu
Match result probability Model pick: Kaizer Chiefs win
Kaizer Chiefs winPick
48.8%
Draw
31.4%
Amazulu win
19.8%
No match played
If the match is played on a new date, this page updates by itself.
Both teams to score
Yes45.4%
No54.6%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.538.3%
Under 2.561.7%
How much we know
Kaizer Chiefs history68 matches
Amazulu history55 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 13 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 1 Nov · 19:24 UTC
- Kickoff4 Nov · 17:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this match
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (48.8%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.
Why Kaizer Chiefs are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,574 against 1,556. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Scoring rates are level
1.13 goals a game over 68 matches for Kaizer Chiefs, against 1.25 over 55 for Amazulu.
-
Kaizer Chiefs concede fewer
Kaizer Chiefs concede 0.84 a game, Amazulu 1.04.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
35% of Kaizer Chiefs matches, against 33% for Amazulu. The model puts this match at 38% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 15 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Kaizer Chiefs
Amazulu
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1574.0
ELO
1556.0
68
ELO · Matches
55
1574.0
Current Team ELO
1556.0
1556.0
Current Opponent ELO
1574.0
17.98
Current ELO Difference
-17.98
0.53
Expected score
0.47
68
History Matches
55
0.05
Residual Mean
0.05
54.17
Overperformance
53.83
-0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.11
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
2.20
1.40
Goals for per game
1.60
1.00
Goals against per game
0.80
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
1.60
1.10
Goals for per game
1.40
0.90
Goals against per game
1.00
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
0.94
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.50
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.10
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.40
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.74
Overall performance9 signals 90
68
Matches
55
1.56
PPG
1.51
42.6%
Win rate
40.0%
27.9%
Draw rate
30.9%
29.4%
Loss rate
29.1%
57.4%
Over 1.5 rate
65.5%
35.3%
Over 2.5 rate
32.7%
14.7%
Over 3.5 rate
18.2%
1.40
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.47
Venue performance10 signals 100
34
Matches
27
1.71
PPG
1.22
47.1%
Win rate
29.6%
29.4%
Draw rate
33.3%
23.5%
Loss rate
37.0%
61.8%
Over 1.5 rate
55.6%
38.2%
Over 2.5 rate
25.9%
17.6%
Over 3.5 rate
14.8%
1.54
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.32
34
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.13
Goals for per game
1.25
72.1%
Scoring rate
74.5%
42.6%
BTTS rate
45.5%
1.26
Goals for per game
0.85
79.4%
Scoring rate
66.7%
44.1%
BTTS rate
37.0%
2.00
Goals for per game
1.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
33.3%
68
History Matches
55
1.13
Goals Mean
1.25
1.04
Goals Std
1.13
72.1%
Scored 1+ rate
74.5%
25.0%
Scored 2+ rate
32.7%
11.8%
Scored 3+ rate
10.9%
1.26
Venue Goals Mean
0.85
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
0.84
Goals against per game
1.04
55.9%
Conceding rate
65.5%
0.85
Goals against per game
1.11
52.9%
Conceding rate
63.0%
0.67
Goals against per game
0.33
66.7%
Conceding rate
33.3%
68
History Matches
55
0.84
Conceded Mean
1.04
0.92
Conceded Std
0.99
22.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
27.3%
4.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
9.1%
0.85
Venue Conceded Mean
1.11
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
44.1%
Clean-sheet rate
34.5%
27.9%
Failed-to-score rate
25.5%
47.1%
Clean-sheet rate
37.0%
20.6%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
66.7%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
44.1%
Clean-sheet rate
34.5%
27.9%
Failed-to-score rate
25.5%
47.1%
Clean-sheet rate
37.0%
20.6%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
44.1%
Clean-sheet rate
34.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
68
History Matches
55
0.98
Result entropy
0.99
1.40
Goal Difference Std
1.47
1.73
Stability score
0.91
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
68
Eligible Matches
55
19
Lead Matches
15
78.9%
Lead Win Rate
73.3%
0.84
Lead Points Retention
0.82
10
Trailing Matches
13
20.0%
Non-loss rate
15.4%
10.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
68
Halftime Coverage Matches
55
0.50
First Half Goals For Mean
0.58
0.37
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.51
0.63
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.47
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.53
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
81.19
Rest days
81.19
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
5
Short Rest History Matches
9
2.20
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.11
42
Normal Rest History Matches
26
1.52
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.23
20
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.40
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.00
Competition & season17 signals 170
3
Matches
3
2.33
PPG
2.33
66.7%
Win rate
66.7%
33.3%
Draw rate
33.3%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.82
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.33
Current Competition PPG
2.33
1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
10
Competition Season Count
8
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.73
Portability PPG Std
0.37
2.20
Portability PPG Range
0.98
40.70
Portability Score
57.78
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
68
Clean History Matches
55
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO17.98
PPG0.05
GF-0.12
GA-0.20
PPG0.00
PPG0.48
PPG-0.80
PPG-0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches13
Clean-sheet rate9.6%
Failed-to-score rate2.5%
History Matches7
Clean-sheet rate10.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches13
Goals Mean-0.12
Goals Std-0.09
Scored 1+ rate-0.02
Scored 2+ rate-0.08
Scored 3+ rate0.9%
Venue Goals Mean0.41
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.55
History Matches13
Conceded Mean-0.20
Conceded Std-0.07
Clean-sheet rate9.6%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.05
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean-0.26
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.40
History Matches13
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.07
Stability score0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.34
Eligible Matches13
Lead Matches4
Lead Win Rate5.6%
Lead Points Retention0.02
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate4.6%
Trailing Win Rate10.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches13
First Half Goals For Mean-0.08
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.14
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.33
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.36
Portability PPG Range1.22
Portability Score-17.09
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-4
Short Rest Points Per Match1.09
Normal Rest History Matches16
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.29
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.60
Current Team ELO17.98
Current Opponent ELO-17.98
Current ELO Difference35.97
Expected score0.05
History Matches13
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance0.34
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.13
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Kaizer Chiefs
L
Orlando Pirates2–1Kaizer Chiefs31 Oct · away
Pick: Orlando Pirates 42% · hit W
Kaizer Chiefs3–0TS Galaxy27 Oct · home
Pick: Kaizer Chiefs 59% · hit L
Red Arrows1–0Kaizer Chiefs17 Oct · away
Pick: Kaizer Chiefs 46% · missed D
Kaizer Chiefs1–1Stellenbosch13 Oct · home
Pick: Kaizer Chiefs 56% · missed D
Richards Bay2–2Kaizer Chiefs26 Aug · away
Pick: Kaizer Chiefs 43% · missed Amazulu
W
Amazulu1–0Golden Arrows31 Oct · home
Pick: Amazulu 47% · hit W
Kruger United0–1Amazulu25 Oct · away
Pick: Kruger United 38% · missed W
Durban City1–2Amazulu13 Oct · away
Pick: Amazulu 36% · hit L
Mamelodi Sundowns5–2Amazulu26 Aug · away
Pick: Mamelodi Sundowns 53% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Kaizer Chiefs and Amazulu were due to play in Premier Soccer League on Wednesday 4 November 2026, but the match was not played.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.