Clermont U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19
Clermont U19
Wed 4 Nov
UTC
Not started
Legia Warszawa U19
Match result probability Model pick: Legia Warszawa U19 win
Clermont U19 win
34.3%
Draw
23.9%
Legia Warszawa U19 winPick
41.8%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes55.2%
No44.8%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.558.9%
Under 2.541.1%
How much we know
Clermont U19 history0 matches
Legia Warszawa U19 history54 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Legia Warszawa U19
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 17:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre4 Nov · 18:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (41.8%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.
Why Legia Warszawa U19 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Legia Warszawa U19 are rated 163 Elo points higher
Elo 1,663 against 1,500. On rating alone Legia Warszawa U19 would be expected to take 72% of the points on offer.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Clermont U19
Legia Warszawa U19
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1500.0
ELO
1662.5
0
ELO · Matches
54
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1662.5
1662.5
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
-162.5
Current ELO Difference
162.5
0.28
Expected score
0.72
0
History Matches
54
—
Residual Mean
0.15
—
Overperformance
60.80
—
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.13
Recent form16 signals 160
0
Matches
5
—
PPG
2.60
—
Goals for per game
3.20
—
Goals against per game
1.40
—
Win rate
80.0%
0
Matches
10
—
PPG
2.50
—
Goals for per game
2.90
—
Goals against per game
1.60
—
Win rate
80.0%
—
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.90
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.45
—
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.02
—
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.58
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.73
Overall performance9 signals 90
0
Matches
54
—
PPG
2.22
—
Win rate
70.4%
—
Draw rate
11.1%
—
Loss rate
18.5%
—
Over 1.5 rate
94.4%
—
Over 2.5 rate
85.2%
—
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.14
Venue performance10 signals 100
0
Matches
27
—
PPG
1.96
—
Win rate
59.3%
—
Draw rate
18.5%
—
Loss rate
22.2%
—
Over 1.5 rate
88.9%
—
Over 2.5 rate
81.5%
—
Over 3.5 rate
59.3%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.99
0
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
—
Goals for per game
2.83
—
Scoring rate
94.4%
—
BTTS rate
77.8%
—
Goals for per game
2.52
—
Scoring rate
92.6%
—
BTTS rate
77.8%
0
History Matches
54
—
Goals Mean
2.83
—
Goals Std
1.62
—
Scored 1+ rate
94.4%
—
Scored 2+ rate
77.8%
—
Scored 3+ rate
55.6%
—
Venue Goals Mean
2.52
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
—
Goals against per game
1.44
—
Conceding rate
81.5%
—
Goals against per game
1.63
—
Conceding rate
81.5%
0
History Matches
54
—
Conceded Mean
1.44
—
Conceded Std
1.18
—
Conceded 2+ rate
37.0%
—
Conceded 3+ rate
18.5%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
1.63
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
—
Clean-sheet rate
18.5%
—
Failed-to-score rate
5.6%
—
Clean-sheet rate
18.5%
—
Failed-to-score rate
7.4%
—
Clean-sheet rate
18.5%
—
Failed-to-score rate
5.6%
—
Clean-sheet rate
18.5%
—
Failed-to-score rate
7.4%
—
Clean-sheet rate
18.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
0
History Matches
54
—
Result entropy
0.73
—
Goal Difference Std
2.14
—
Stability score
26.84
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
0
Eligible Matches
50
0
Lead Matches
25
—
Lead Win Rate
96.0%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.96
0
Trailing Matches
7
—
Non-loss rate
42.9%
—
Trailing Win Rate
28.6%
Goal timing5 signals 50
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
50
—
First Half Goals For Mean
1.26
—
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.48
—
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.64
—
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.84
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
—
Rest days
74.27
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
3
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.67
0
Normal Rest History Matches
27
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.04
0
Long Rest History Matches
23
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.61
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
6
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
—
Portability PPG Std
0.15
—
Portability PPG Range
0.38
—
Portability Score
77.20
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
0
Clean History Matches
54
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO-162.5
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-54
History Matches-27
History Matches-54
History Matches-54
History Matches-54
Eligible Matches-50
Lead Matches-25
Trailing Matches-7
Halftime Coverage Matches-50
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-6
Eligible Competition Season Count-4
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest History Matches-27
Long Rest History Matches-23
Current Team ELO-162.5
Current Opponent ELO162.5
Current ELO Difference-325.1
Expected score-0.44
History Matches-54
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Clermont U19
L
Legia Warszawa U193–1Clermont U1928 Oct · away
Pick: Legia Warszawa U19 74% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Legia Warszawa U19
W
Legia Warszawa U195–1Śląsk Wrocław U1931 Oct · home
Pick: Legia Warszawa U19 70% · hit W
Legia Warszawa U193–1Clermont U1928 Oct · home
Pick: Legia Warszawa U19 74% · hit D
Escola Varsovia U191–1Legia Warszawa U1925 Oct · away
Pick: Legia Warszawa U19 62% · missed W
Wisła Kraków U193–4Legia Warszawa U1917 Oct · away
Pick: Legia Warszawa U19 55% · hit L
Polonia Warszawa U193–2Legia Warszawa U194 Oct · away
Pick: Legia Warszawa U19 53% · missed About this match
Clermont U19 and Legia Warszawa U19 meet in UEFA Youth League on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kickoff 18:00 UTC. The match is played at Stade Gabriel Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC: Clermont U19 win 34.3%, draw 23.9%, Legia Warszawa U19 win 41.8%. The pick is Legia Warszawa U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 58.9%. Both teams to score: 55.2%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.