Coronie Boys vs Broki
Match result probability Model pick: Coronie Boys win
Coronie Boys winPick
38.1%
Draw
26.4%
Broki win
35.5%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes59.1%
No40.9%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.557.8%
Under 2.542.2%
How much we know
Coronie Boys history0 matches
Broki history30 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Coronie Boys
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 11 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 19:30 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 20:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.1%). Picks in that band won 39.9% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,949 matches.
Why Coronie Boys are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Coronie Boys are rated 26 Elo points higher
Elo 1,500 against 1,474. On rating alone Coronie Boys would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Broki@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1500.0
ELO
1474.1
0
ELO · Matches
30
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1474.1
1474.1
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
25.89
Current ELO Difference
-25.89
0.54
Expected score
0.46
0
History Matches
30
—
Residual Mean
-0.05
—
Overperformance
47.20
—
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.23
Recent form16 signals 160
0
Matches
5
—
PPG
1.60
—
Goals for per game
2.00
—
Goals against per game
1.00
—
Win rate
40.0%
0
Matches
10
—
PPG
1.80
—
Goals for per game
2.20
—
Goals against per game
1.30
—
Win rate
50.0%
—
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.20
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.17
—
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.19
—
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.51
Overall performance9 signals 90
0
Matches
30
—
PPG
1.03
—
Win rate
26.7%
—
Draw rate
23.3%
—
Loss rate
50.0%
—
Over 1.5 rate
73.3%
—
Over 2.5 rate
63.3%
—
Over 3.5 rate
43.3%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.47
Venue performance10 signals 100
0
Matches
16
—
PPG
1.19
—
Win rate
31.3%
—
Draw rate
25.0%
—
Loss rate
43.8%
—
Over 1.5 rate
68.8%
—
Over 2.5 rate
56.3%
—
Over 3.5 rate
31.3%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.85
0
History Matches
16
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
—
Goals for per game
1.53
—
Scoring rate
66.7%
—
BTTS rate
53.3%
—
Goals for per game
1.38
—
Scoring rate
68.8%
—
BTTS rate
50.0%
0
History Matches
30
—
Goals Mean
1.53
—
Goals Std
1.52
—
Scored 1+ rate
66.7%
—
Scored 2+ rate
40.0%
—
Scored 3+ rate
30.0%
—
Venue Goals Mean
1.38
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
—
Goals against per game
1.87
—
Conceding rate
76.7%
—
Goals against per game
1.31
—
Conceding rate
75.0%
0
History Matches
30
—
Conceded Mean
1.87
—
Conceded Std
1.87
—
Conceded 2+ rate
46.7%
—
Conceded 3+ rate
30.0%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
1.31
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
—
Clean-sheet rate
23.3%
—
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
—
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
31.3%
—
Clean-sheet rate
23.3%
—
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
—
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
31.3%
—
Clean-sheet rate
23.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
0
History Matches
30
—
Result entropy
0.95
—
Goal Difference Std
2.47
—
Stability score
5.46
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
0
Eligible Matches
21
0
Lead Matches
5
—
Lead Win Rate
60.0%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.67
0
Trailing Matches
8
—
Non-loss rate
12.5%
—
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
21
—
First Half Goals For Mean
0.76
—
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.95
—
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.81
—
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.90
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
—
Rest days
99.94
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
2
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
0
Normal Rest History Matches
9
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.78
0
Long Rest History Matches
18
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.94
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
3
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.39
—
Portability PPG Range
0.79
—
Portability Score
56.00
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
0
Clean History Matches
30
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO25.89
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-30
History Matches-16
History Matches-30
History Matches-30
History Matches-30
Eligible Matches-21
Lead Matches-5
Trailing Matches-8
Halftime Coverage Matches-21
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-3
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest History Matches-9
Long Rest History Matches-18
Current Team ELO25.89
Current Opponent ELO-25.89
Current ELO Difference51.78
Expected score0.07
History Matches-30
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Coronie Boys
L
Voorwaarts3–1Coronie Boys7 Nov · away
Pick: Voorwaarts 60% · hit L
Coronie Boys0–3Transvaal4 Nov · home
Pick: Transvaal 36% · hit L
Coronie Boys0–3Leo Victor1 Nov · home
Pick: Coronie Boys 38% · missed L
FC Inter Wanica1–0Coronie Boys25 Oct · away
Pick: FC Inter Wanica 55% · hit L
Coronie Boys0–3Inter Moengotapoe17 Oct · home
Pick: Coronie Boys 37% · missed Broki
W
FC Inter Wanica0–3Broki1 Nov · away
Pick: Broki 64% · hit D
Flora0–0Broki24 Oct · away
Pick: Broki 56% · missed L
Robin Hood3–0Broki18 Oct · away
Pick: Robin Hood 51% · hit D
Broki1–1Voorwaarts14 Oct · home
Pick: Broki 43% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Coronie Boys and Broki meet in Eerste Divisie on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 20:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Coronie Boys win 38.1%, draw 26.4%, Broki win 35.5%. The pick is Coronie Boys win. Over 2.5 goals: 57.8%. Both teams to score: 59.1%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.