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Eerste Divisie Suriname Group Stage 2026

PVV vs Robin Hood

PVV Home · Elo 1,515
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Robin Hood Away · Elo 1,630
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Robin Hood win
PVV win
23.8%
Draw
26.2%
Robin Hood winPick
50.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes47.9%
No52.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.549.5%
Under 2.550.5%

How much we know

PVV history7 matches
Robin Hood history29 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 14 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 23:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (50.0%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.

Why Robin Hood are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Robin Hood are rated 115 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,630 against 1,515. On rating alone Robin Hood would be expected to take 66% of the points on offer.

  • Robin Hood score more

    1.86 goals a game over 7 matches for PVV, against 2.38 over 29 for Robin Hood.

  • PVV concede fewer

    PVV concede 0.57 a game, Robin Hood 0.66.

  • Robin Hood games more often go over 2.5 goals

    43% of PVV matches, against 55% for Robin Hood. The model puts this match at 50% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 31 Jul 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
PVV
Robin Hood@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1514.8
ELO
1629.8
7
ELO · Matches
29
1514.8
Current Team ELO
1629.8
1629.8
Current Opponent ELO
1514.8
-115.0
Current ELO Difference
115.0
0.34
Expected score
0.66
7
History Matches
29
0.12
Residual Mean
0.21
53.06
Overperformance
62.15
0.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.18
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
2.00
2.20
Goals for per game
2.40
0.60
Goals against per game
1.00
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
7
Matches
10
1.86
PPG
2.30
1.86
Goals for per game
2.60
0.57
Goals against per game
0.80
57.1%
Win rate
70.0%
1.86
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.60
1.81
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.74
0.57
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.80
1.05
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.98
0.87
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
2.37
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.36
Overall performance9 signals
90
7
Matches
29
1.86
PPG
2.24
57.1%
Win rate
65.5%
14.3%
Draw rate
27.6%
28.6%
Loss rate
6.9%
57.1%
Over 1.5 rate
72.4%
42.9%
Over 2.5 rate
55.2%
42.9%
Over 3.5 rate
34.5%
2.37
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.33
Venue performance10 signals
100
4
Matches
17
2.25
PPG
2.18
75.0%
Win rate
64.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
23.5%
25.0%
Loss rate
11.8%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
64.7%
25.0%
Over 2.5 rate
47.1%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
23.5%
2.17
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.54
4
History Matches
17
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.86
Goals for per game
2.38
71.4%
Scoring rate
79.3%
14.3%
BTTS rate
41.4%
2.00
Goals for per game
2.18
75.0%
Scoring rate
70.6%
0.0%
BTTS rate
29.4%
7
History Matches
29
1.86
Goals Mean
2.38
1.81
Goals Std
2.25
71.4%
Scored 1+ rate
79.3%
42.9%
Scored 2+ rate
65.5%
28.6%
Scored 3+ rate
31.0%
2.00
Venue Goals Mean
2.18
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.57
Goals against per game
0.66
28.6%
Conceding rate
44.8%
0.25
Goals against per game
0.47
25.0%
Conceding rate
35.3%
7
History Matches
29
0.57
Conceded Mean
0.66
1.05
Conceded Std
0.84
14.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
17.2%
14.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
3.4%
0.25
Venue Conceded Mean
0.47
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
71.4%
Clean-sheet rate
55.2%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
20.7%
75.0%
Clean-sheet rate
64.7%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
29.4%
71.4%
Clean-sheet rate
55.2%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
20.7%
75.0%
Clean-sheet rate
64.7%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
29.4%
71.4%
Clean-sheet rate
55.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
7
History Matches
29
0.87
Result entropy
0.74
2.37
Goal Difference Std
2.33
13.01
Stability score
25.66
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
2
Eligible Matches
20
1
Lead Matches
10
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
1.00
0
Trailing Matches
4
—
Non-loss rate
50.0%
—
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
2
Halftime Coverage Matches
20
1.50
First Half Goals For Mean
0.95
0.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.25
0.50
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.10
0.50
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.30
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
517.1
Rest days
106.2
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
2
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
0
Normal Rest History Matches
9
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.11
6
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.67
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.35
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
1
Competition Season Count
4
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
—
Portability PPG Std
0.45
—
Portability PPG Range
1.17
—
Portability Score
52.81
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
7
Clean History Matches
29
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per Match
ELO-115.0
PPG-0.38
GF-0.52
GA-0.08
PPG0.07
PPG0.00
PPG-0.44
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-22
Clean-sheet rate16.3%
Failed-to-score rate7.9%
History Matches-13
Clean-sheet rate10.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.04
History Matches-22
Goals Mean-0.52
Goals Std-0.44
Scored 1+ rate-0.08
Scored 2+ rate-0.23
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean-0.18
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.74
Recent 10 Goals Std0.06
History Matches-22
Conceded Mean-0.08
Conceded Std0.21
Clean-sheet rate16.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.03
Conceded 3+ rate10.8%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.22
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.23
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.07
History Matches-22
Result entropy0.13
Goal Difference Std0.04
Stability score-12.65
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.02
Eligible Matches-18
Lead Matches-9
Lead Win Rate0.0%
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches-4
Halftime Coverage Matches-18
First Half Goals For Mean0.55
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.25
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.60
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.20
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-3
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Rest days410.9
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest History Matches-9
Long Rest History Matches-11
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.69
Current Team ELO-115.0
Current Opponent ELO115.0
Current ELO Difference-230.0
Expected score-0.32
History Matches-22
Residual Mean-0.09
Overperformance-9.09
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.06

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

PVV

L
Inter Moengotapoe5–0PVV31 Oct · away
Pick: Inter Moengotapoe 53% · hit
L
Transvaal3–0PVV24 Oct · away
Pick: Transvaal 50% · hit
L
PVV0–2Voorwaarts21 Oct · home
Pick: Voorwaarts 43% · hit
L
Notch4–0PVV17 Oct · away
Pick: Notch 47% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Robin Hood

D
Notch2–2Robin Hood31 Oct · away
Pick: Robin Hood 62% · missed
L
Leo Victor2–0Robin Hood25 Oct · away
Pick: Robin Hood 51% · missed
W
Robin Hood3–0Broki18 Oct · home
Pick: Robin Hood 51% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

PVV and Robin Hood meet in Eerste Divisie on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 23:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: PVV win 23.8%, draw 26.2%, Robin Hood win 50.0%. The pick is Robin Hood win. Over 2.5 goals: 49.5%. Both teams to score: 47.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.