Crişul Sântandrei vs Sighetu Marmaţiei
Match result probability Model pick: Sighetu Marmaţiei win
Crişul Sântandrei win
36.1%
Draw
24.7%
Sighetu Marmaţiei winPick
39.1%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes57.6%
No42.4%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.557.5%
Under 2.542.5%
How much we know
Crişul Sântandrei history33 matches
Sighetu Marmaţiei history33 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Sighetu Marmaţiei
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 12:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (39.1%). Picks in that band won 39.9% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,949 matches.
Why Sighetu Marmaţiei are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,510 against 1,532. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Sighetu Marmaţiei score more
1.52 goals a game over 33 matches for Crişul Sântandrei, against 1.85 over 33 for Sighetu Marmaţiei.
-
Sighetu Marmaţiei concede fewer
Crişul Sântandrei concede 1.55 a game, Sighetu Marmaţiei 1.09.
-
Crişul Sântandrei games more often go over 2.5 goals
64% of Crişul Sântandrei matches, against 55% for Sighetu Marmaţiei. The model puts this match at 58% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 13 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Sighetu Marmaţiei@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1510.1
ELO
1531.8
33
ELO · Matches
33
1510.1
Current Team ELO
1531.8
1531.8
Current Opponent ELO
1510.1
-21.69
Current ELO Difference
21.69
0.47
Expected score
0.53
33
History Matches
33
0.02
Residual Mean
0.05
51.28
Overperformance
53.37
0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.12
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.00
1.00
Goals for per game
1.60
1.40
Goals against per game
1.60
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
1.20
1.50
Goals for per game
1.30
1.40
Goals against per game
1.30
40.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.69
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.19
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.28
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.10
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
2.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.84
Overall performance9 signals 90
33
Matches
33
1.33
PPG
1.76
39.4%
Win rate
48.5%
15.2%
Draw rate
30.3%
45.5%
Loss rate
21.2%
78.8%
Over 1.5 rate
69.7%
63.6%
Over 2.5 rate
54.5%
42.4%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.98
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.94
Venue performance10 signals 100
17
Matches
15
1.12
PPG
2.00
35.3%
Win rate
60.0%
5.9%
Draw rate
20.0%
58.8%
Loss rate
20.0%
82.4%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
58.8%
Over 2.5 rate
46.7%
35.3%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
1.91
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.93
17
History Matches
15
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.52
Goals for per game
1.85
69.7%
Scoring rate
78.8%
57.6%
BTTS rate
57.6%
1.18
Goals for per game
1.93
64.7%
Scoring rate
80.0%
47.1%
BTTS rate
46.7%
33
History Matches
33
1.52
Goals Mean
1.85
1.40
Goals Std
1.81
69.7%
Scored 1+ rate
78.8%
42.4%
Scored 2+ rate
42.4%
27.3%
Scored 3+ rate
24.2%
1.18
Venue Goals Mean
1.93
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.55
Goals against per game
1.09
81.8%
Conceding rate
69.7%
1.76
Goals against per game
0.93
82.4%
Conceding rate
60.0%
33
History Matches
33
1.55
Conceded Mean
1.09
1.16
Conceded Std
0.93
45.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
30.3%
18.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
9.1%
1.76
Venue Conceded Mean
0.93
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
18.2%
Clean-sheet rate
30.3%
30.3%
Failed-to-score rate
21.2%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
35.3%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
18.2%
Clean-sheet rate
30.3%
30.3%
Failed-to-score rate
21.2%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
35.3%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
18.2%
Clean-sheet rate
30.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
33
History Matches
33
0.92
Result entropy
0.95
1.98
Goal Difference Std
1.94
7.95
Stability score
5.18
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
26
Eligible Matches
24
8
Lead Matches
9
87.5%
Lead Win Rate
88.9%
0.88
Lead Points Retention
0.93
6
Trailing Matches
6
16.7%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
16.7%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
26
Halftime Coverage Matches
24
0.77
First Half Goals For Mean
0.75
0.54
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.58
0.62
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.83
1.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.46
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
93.90
Rest days
100.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
19
Normal Rest History Matches
15
1.47
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.53
13
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.23
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.88
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
4
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.43
Portability PPG Std
0.76
1.03
Portability PPG Range
1.79
53.89
Portability Score
39.71
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
33
Clean History Matches
33
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-21.69
PPG-0.42
GF-0.33
GA0.45
PPG-0.88
PPG0.40
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate9.1%
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.22
Failed-to-score rate15.3%
History Matches0
Goals Mean-0.33
Goals Std-0.42
Scored 1+ rate-0.09
Scored 2+ rate0.0%
Scored 3+ rate3.0%
Venue Goals Mean-0.76
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std0.50
History Matches0
Conceded Mean0.45
Conceded Std0.22
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Conceded 2+ rate15.2%
Conceded 3+ rate9.1%
Venue Conceded Mean0.83
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.18
History Matches0
Result entropy-0.03
Goal Difference Std0.04
Stability score2.77
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.03
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.28
Eligible Matches2
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate-0.01
Lead Points Retention-0.05
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate-0.17
Trailing Win Rate16.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches2
First Half Goals For Mean0.02
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.04
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.22
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.58
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.33
Portability PPG Range-0.76
Portability Score14.19
Rest days-7.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.06
Long Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.65
Current Team ELO-21.69
Current Opponent ELO21.69
Current ELO Difference-43.37
Expected score-0.06
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.03
Overperformance-2.09
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.13
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Crişul Sântandrei
D
Transilvania Sport Academy2–2Crişul Sântandrei31 Oct · away
Pick: Transilvania Sport Academy 39% · missed W
Crişul Sântandrei3–1Viitorul Cluj24 Oct · home
Pick: Crişul Sântandrei 49% · hit W
Unirea Dej1–2Crişul Sântandrei16 Oct · away
Pick: Crişul Sântandrei 45% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Sighetu Marmaţiei
D
Unirea Tășnad3–3Sighetu Marmaţiei31 Oct · away
Pick: Sighetu Marmaţiei 48% · missed W
Sighetu Marmaţiei5–0Transilvania Sport Academy24 Oct · home
Pick: Sighetu Marmaţiei 64% · hit W
Viitorul Cluj1–2Sighetu Marmaţiei16 Oct · away
Pick: Sighetu Marmaţiei 42% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Crişul Sântandrei and Sighetu Marmaţiei meet in Liga III - Serie 8 on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Crişul Sântandrei win 36.1%, draw 24.7%, Sighetu Marmaţiei win 39.1%. The pick is Sighetu Marmaţiei win. Over 2.5 goals: 57.5%. Both teams to score: 57.6%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.