ScoreProb
National 2 - Group B France Group B - 9 2026

Dinan Léhon vs Le Poiré sur Vie

Dinan Léhon Home · Elo 1,496
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Le Poiré sur Vie Away · Elo 1,546
Stade du Clos Gastel, Dinan Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Dinan Léhon win
Dinan Léhon winPick
40.3%
Draw
23.1%
Le Poiré sur Vie win
36.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes56.8%
No43.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.559.1%
Under 2.540.9%

How much we know

Dinan Léhon history45 matches
Le Poiré sur Vie history39 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 17:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (40.3%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Dinan Léhon are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Le Poiré sur Vie are rated 50 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,546 against 1,496. On rating alone Le Poiré sur Vie would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Dinan Léhon score more

    1.56 goals a game over 45 matches for Dinan Léhon, against 1.31 over 39 for Le Poiré sur Vie.

  • Le Poiré sur Vie concede fewer

    Dinan Léhon concede 1.76 a game, Le Poiré sur Vie 1.28.

  • Dinan Léhon games more often go over 2.5 goals

    64% of Dinan Léhon matches, against 44% for Le Poiré sur Vie. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Dinan Léhon
Le Poiré sur Vie@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1495.7
ELO
1545.8
45
ELO · Matches
39
1495.7
Current Team ELO
1545.8
1545.8
Current Opponent ELO
1495.7
-50.15
Current ELO Difference
50.15
0.43
Expected score
0.57
45
History Matches
39
-0.01
Residual Mean
0.07
48.98
Overperformance
54.38
-0.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.18
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
1.80
2.20
Goals for per game
1.60
1.00
Goals against per game
0.60
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
2.20
1.50
Goals for per game
1.60
1.40
Goals against per game
0.60
40.0%
Win rate
70.0%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
1.69
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.20
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.60
1.11
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.80
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
2.39
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.61
Overall performance9 signals
90
45
Matches
39
1.33
PPG
1.51
40.0%
Win rate
43.6%
13.3%
Draw rate
20.5%
46.7%
Loss rate
35.9%
82.2%
Over 1.5 rate
71.8%
64.4%
Over 2.5 rate
43.6%
48.9%
Over 3.5 rate
30.8%
1.98
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.70
Venue performance10 signals
100
20
Matches
18
1.35
PPG
1.44
40.0%
Win rate
38.9%
15.0%
Draw rate
27.8%
45.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
72.2%
70.0%
Over 2.5 rate
44.4%
55.0%
Over 3.5 rate
38.9%
2.01
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.83
20
History Matches
18
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.56
Goals for per game
1.31
82.2%
Scoring rate
71.8%
64.4%
BTTS rate
46.2%
1.85
Goals for per game
1.33
80.0%
Scoring rate
61.1%
70.0%
BTTS rate
44.4%
0.00
Goals for per game
0.00
0.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
45
History Matches
39
1.56
Goals Mean
1.31
1.29
Goals Std
1.18
82.2%
Scored 1+ rate
71.8%
40.0%
Scored 2+ rate
35.9%
20.0%
Scored 3+ rate
15.4%
1.85
Venue Goals Mean
1.33
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.76
Goals against per game
1.28
82.2%
Conceding rate
69.2%
1.80
Goals against per game
1.17
90.0%
Conceding rate
72.2%
2.00
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
45
History Matches
39
1.76
Conceded Mean
1.28
1.27
Conceded Std
1.15
53.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
38.5%
28.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
15.4%
1.80
Venue Conceded Mean
1.17
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
17.8%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
17.8%
Failed-to-score rate
28.2%
10.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.8%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
38.9%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
17.8%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
17.8%
Failed-to-score rate
28.2%
10.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.8%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
38.9%
17.8%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
45
History Matches
39
0.90
Result entropy
0.96
1.98
Goal Difference Std
1.70
9.81
Stability score
4.00
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
43
Eligible Matches
26
13
Lead Matches
8
69.2%
Lead Win Rate
37.5%
0.77
Lead Points Retention
0.54
14
Trailing Matches
8
28.6%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
14.3%
Trailing Win Rate
25.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
43
Halftime Coverage Matches
26
0.81
First Half Goals For Mean
0.42
0.74
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.46
0.79
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.50
1.05
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.77
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
77.04
Rest days
77.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
34
Normal Rest History Matches
23
1.56
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.61
10
Long Rest History Matches
15
0.70
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.47
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
0.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.00
4
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.02
Portability PPG Std
0.89
0.05
Portability PPG Range
1.78
95.31
Portability Score
36.03
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
45
Clean History Matches
39
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-50.15
PPG-0.18
GF0.25
GA0.47
PPG0.00
PPG-0.09
PPG0.00
PPG-1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches6
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.18
Failed-to-score rate-0.19
History Matches6
Goals Mean0.25
Goals Std0.11
Scored 1+ rate10.4%
Scored 2+ rate4.1%
Scored 3+ rate4.6%
Venue Goals Mean0.52
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.49
History Matches6
Conceded Mean0.47
Conceded Std0.11
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Conceded 2+ rate14.9%
Conceded 3+ rate13.5%
Venue Conceded Mean0.63
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.31
History Matches6
Result entropy-0.06
Goal Difference Std0.28
Stability score5.81
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.77
Eligible Matches17
Lead Matches5
Lead Win Rate31.7%
Lead Points Retention0.23
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate3.6%
Trailing Win Rate-0.11
Halftime Coverage Matches17
First Half Goals For Mean0.39
First Half Goals Against Mean0.28
Second Half Goals For Mean0.29
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.28
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.00
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.86
Portability PPG Range-1.73
Portability Score59.27
Rest days0.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches11
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.05
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.77
Current Team ELO-50.15
Current Opponent ELO50.15
Current ELO Difference-100.3
Expected score-0.14
History Matches6
Residual Mean-0.08
Overperformance-5.40
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.26

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Dinan Léhon

D
Pontivy GSI2–2Dinan Léhon31 Oct · away
Pick: Pontivy GSI 55% · missed
L
Dinan Léhon0–2Bayonne17 Oct · home
Pick: Bayonne 48% · hit
W
Dinan Léhon2–0Les Herbiers29 Aug · home
Pick: Les Herbiers 48% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Le Poiré sur Vie

L
Angoulême2–1Le Poiré sur Vie17 Oct · away
Pick: Angoulême 53% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Dinan Léhon and Le Poiré sur Vie meet in National 2 - Group B on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 17:00 UTC. The match is played at Stade du Clos Gastel, Dinan. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Dinan Léhon win 40.3%, draw 23.1%, Le Poiré sur Vie win 36.6%. The pick is Dinan Léhon win. Over 2.5 goals: 59.1%. Both teams to score: 56.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.