ScoreProb
Regionalliga - West Austria West - 15 2026

Dornbirn vs SVG Reichenau

Dornbirn Home · Elo 1,532
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
SVG Reichenau Away · Elo 1,511
Stadion Birkenwiese, Dornbirn Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Dornbirn win
Dornbirn winPick
61.1%
Draw
19.3%
SVG Reichenau win
19.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.9%
No46.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.567.5%
Under 2.532.5%

How much we know

Dornbirn history54 matches
SVG Reichenau history50 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (61.1%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Dornbirn are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,532 against 1,511. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Dornbirn score more

    1.87 goals a game over 54 matches for Dornbirn, against 1.50 over 50 for SVG Reichenau.

  • Defences are close

    Dornbirn concede 1.54 a game, SVG Reichenau 1.62.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    67% of Dornbirn matches, against 60% for SVG Reichenau. The model puts this match at 67% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Dornbirn
SVG Reichenau
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1531.8
ELO
1511.0
54
ELO · Matches
50
1531.8
Current Team ELO
1511.0
1511.0
Current Opponent ELO
1531.8
20.82
Current ELO Difference
-20.82
0.53
Expected score
0.47
54
History Matches
50
0.03
Residual Mean
0.01
52.37
Overperformance
50.85
-0.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.02
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
0.80
2.60
Goals for per game
1.00
1.40
Goals against per game
2.20
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
1.30
2.00
Goals for per game
1.60
1.90
Goals against per game
1.90
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.50
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.90
1.76
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.22
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
3.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.05
Overall performance9 signals
90
54
Matches
50
1.56
PPG
1.44
46.3%
Win rate
44.0%
16.7%
Draw rate
12.0%
37.0%
Loss rate
44.0%
79.6%
Over 1.5 rate
76.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
44.4%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
2.55
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.44
Venue performance10 signals
100
28
Matches
25
2.00
PPG
0.84
64.3%
Win rate
24.0%
7.1%
Draw rate
12.0%
28.6%
Loss rate
64.0%
78.6%
Over 1.5 rate
84.0%
71.4%
Over 2.5 rate
64.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
36.0%
2.56
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.89
28
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.87
Goals for per game
1.50
77.8%
Scoring rate
68.0%
48.1%
BTTS rate
38.0%
2.32
Goals for per game
1.00
82.1%
Scoring rate
60.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
44.0%
3.00
Goals for per game
1.25
100.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
54
History Matches
50
1.87
Goals Mean
1.50
1.68
Goals Std
1.50
77.8%
Scored 1+ rate
68.0%
46.3%
Scored 2+ rate
38.0%
33.3%
Scored 3+ rate
24.0%
2.32
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.54
Goals against per game
1.62
64.8%
Conceding rate
62.0%
1.36
Goals against per game
2.04
64.3%
Conceding rate
80.0%
0.50
Goals against per game
2.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
54
History Matches
50
1.54
Conceded Mean
1.62
1.56
Conceded Std
1.61
42.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
48.0%
25.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
32.0%
1.36
Venue Conceded Mean
2.04
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
35.2%
Clean-sheet rate
38.0%
22.2%
Failed-to-score rate
32.0%
35.7%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
17.9%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
35.2%
Clean-sheet rate
38.0%
22.2%
Failed-to-score rate
32.0%
35.7%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
17.9%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
35.2%
Clean-sheet rate
38.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
54
History Matches
50
0.93
Result entropy
0.89
2.55
Goal Difference Std
2.44
6.88
Stability score
11.08
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
53
Eligible Matches
50
17
Lead Matches
14
94.1%
Lead Win Rate
78.6%
0.96
Lead Points Retention
0.81
19
Trailing Matches
15
15.8%
Non-loss rate
13.3%
15.8%
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
53
Halftime Coverage Matches
50
0.91
First Half Goals For Mean
0.66
0.72
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.68
0.94
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.84
0.77
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.94
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.85
Rest days
77.81
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
2
1.25
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
29
Normal Rest History Matches
26
1.66
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.31
20
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.55
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.52
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
2.50
PPG
1.00
75.0%
Win rate
25.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
2.69
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.48
4
Current Competition Matches
4
2.50
Current Competition PPG
1.00
2.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.75
7
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.48
Portability PPG Std
0.24
1.14
Portability PPG Range
0.52
50.95
Portability Score
67.58
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
54
Clean History Matches
50
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO20.82
PPG0.12
GF0.37
GA-0.08
PPG1.50
PPG1.16
PPG1.20
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate15.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.22
History Matches4
Goals Mean0.37
Goals Std0.18
Scored 1+ rate9.8%
Scored 2+ rate8.3%
Scored 3+ rate9.3%
Venue Goals Mean1.32
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std0.40
History Matches4
Conceded Mean-0.08
Conceded Std-0.05
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Conceded 2+ rate-0.05
Conceded 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Conceded Mean-0.68
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.54
History Matches4
Result entropy0.04
Goal Difference Std0.11
Stability score-4.20
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.00
Eligible Matches3
Lead Matches3
Lead Win Rate15.5%
Lead Points Retention0.15
Trailing Matches4
Non-loss rate2.5%
Trailing Win Rate9.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches3
First Half Goals For Mean0.25
First Half Goals Against Mean0.04
Second Half Goals For Mean0.10
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.17
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.25
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.24
Portability PPG Range0.63
Portability Score-16.63
Rest days0.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.75
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.35
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.03
Current Team ELO20.82
Current Opponent ELO-20.82
Current ELO Difference41.64
Expected score0.06
History Matches4
Residual Mean0.02
Overperformance1.51
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.06

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Dornbirn

L
Imst3–0Dornbirn31 Oct · away
Pick: Imst 49% · hit
L
Dornbirn0–2Rheindorf Altach II23 Oct · home
Pick: Dornbirn 66% · missed
D
Dornbirn0–0Kufstein17 Oct · home
Pick: Dornbirn 63% · missed
W
Lustenau1–4Dornbirn29 Aug · away
Pick: Dornbirn 59% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

SVG Reichenau

D
SVG Reichenau0–0Rheindorf Altach II30 Oct · home
Pick: SVG Reichenau 47% · missed
L
Kufstein3–1SVG Reichenau23 Oct · away
Pick: Kufstein 46% · hit
W
SVG Reichenau3–0Hohenems18 Oct · home
Pick: Hohenems 50% · missed
W
Lochau1–2SVG Reichenau29 Aug · away
Pick: SVG Reichenau 39% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Dornbirn and SVG Reichenau meet in Regionalliga - West on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. The match is played at Stadion Birkenwiese, Dornbirn. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Dornbirn win 61.1%, draw 19.3%, SVG Reichenau win 19.7%. The pick is Dornbirn win. Over 2.5 goals: 67.5%. Both teams to score: 53.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.