ScoreProb
Regionalliga - West Austria West - 15 2026

Hohenems vs SK St. Johann

Hohenems Home · Elo 1,528
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
SK St. Johann Away · Elo 1,484
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Hohenems win
Hohenems winPick
67.2%
Draw
16.6%
SK St. Johann win
16.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes57.0%
No43.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.569.2%
Under 2.530.8%

How much we know

Hohenems history54 matches
SK St. Johann history4 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (67.2%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Hohenems are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Hohenems are rated 44 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,528 against 1,484. On rating alone Hohenems would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.

  • Hohenems score more

    1.94 goals a game over 54 matches for Hohenems, against 1.50 over 4 for SK St. Johann.

  • Hohenems concede fewer

    Hohenems concede 1.56 a game, SK St. Johann 1.75.

  • Hohenems games more often go over 2.5 goals

    67% of Hohenems matches, against 50% for SK St. Johann. The model puts this match at 69% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hohenems
SK St. Johann
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1528.1
ELO
1484.0
54
ELO · Matches
4
1528.1
Current Team ELO
1484.0
1484.0
Current Opponent ELO
1528.1
44.18
Current ELO Difference
-44.18
0.56
Expected score
0.44
54
History Matches
4
0.02
Residual Mean
-0.16
51.58
Overperformance
47.39
0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.16
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
4
1.80
PPG
1.00
2.60
Goals for per game
1.50
1.20
Goals against per game
1.75
60.0%
Win rate
25.0%
10
Matches
4
1.60
PPG
1.00
2.70
Goals for per game
1.50
1.70
Goals against per game
1.75
50.0%
Win rate
25.0%
2.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
2.19
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.12
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.75
1.19
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.30
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.95
2.61
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.48
Overall performance9 signals
90
54
Matches
4
1.52
PPG
1.00
40.7%
Win rate
25.0%
29.6%
Draw rate
25.0%
29.6%
Loss rate
50.0%
87.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
44.4%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.02
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.48
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
1
1.77
PPG
3.00
50.0%
Win rate
100.0%
26.9%
Draw rate
0.0%
23.1%
Loss rate
0.0%
92.3%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
65.4%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
42.3%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
2.17
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
26
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.94
Goals for per game
1.50
87.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
50.0%
2.27
Goals for per game
2.00
92.3%
Scoring rate
100.0%
69.2%
BTTS rate
0.0%
3.00
Goals for per game
1.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
54
History Matches
4
1.94
Goals Mean
1.50
1.54
Goals Std
1.12
87.0%
Scored 1+ rate
75.0%
51.9%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
29.6%
Scored 3+ rate
25.0%
2.27
Venue Goals Mean
2.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.56
Goals against per game
1.75
79.6%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.31
Goals against per game
0.00
76.9%
Conceding rate
0.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.75
50.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
54
History Matches
4
1.56
Conceded Mean
1.75
1.18
Conceded Std
1.30
46.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
22.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
50.0%
1.31
Venue Conceded Mean
0.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
20.4%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
13.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
7.7%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
20.4%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
13.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
7.7%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
20.4%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
54
History Matches
4
0.99
Result entropy
0.95
2.02
Goal Difference Std
1.48
1.09
Stability score
5.36
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
54
Eligible Matches
4
13
Lead Matches
2
92.3%
Lead Win Rate
50.0%
0.95
Lead Points Retention
0.67
19
Trailing Matches
1
52.6%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
5.3%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
54
Halftime Coverage Matches
4
0.74
First Half Goals For Mean
0.75
0.87
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.50
1.20
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.75
0.69
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.25
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.92
Rest days
77.81
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
0
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
31
Normal Rest History Matches
3
1.55
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.33
19
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.42
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
2.25
PPG
1.00
75.0%
Win rate
25.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.55
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.48
4
Current Competition Matches
4
2.25
Current Competition PPG
1.00
2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.25
7
Competition Season Count
1
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.32
Portability PPG Std
—
0.78
Portability PPG Range
—
61.05
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
54
Clean History Matches
4
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO44.18
PPG0.52
GF0.44
GA-0.19
PPG1.25
PPG-1.23
PPG0.80
PPG0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches50
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches25
Clean-sheet rate-0.77
Failed-to-score rate7.7%
History Matches50
Goals Mean0.44
Goals Std0.43
Scored 1+ rate12.0%
Scored 2+ rate1.9%
Scored 3+ rate4.6%
Venue Goals Mean0.27
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std1.08
History Matches50
Conceded Mean-0.19
Conceded Std-0.12
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Conceded 2+ rate-0.04
Conceded 3+ rate-0.28
Venue Conceded Mean1.31
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.05
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.11
History Matches50
Result entropy0.04
Goal Difference Std0.54
Stability score-4.27
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.09
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.13
Eligible Matches50
Lead Matches11
Lead Win Rate42.3%
Lead Points Retention0.28
Trailing Matches18
Non-loss rate52.6%
Trailing Win Rate5.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches50
First Half Goals For Mean-0.01
First Half Goals Against Mean0.37
Second Half Goals For Mean0.45
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.56
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.25
Competition Season Count6
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days-1.90
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest History Matches28
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.22
Long Rest History Matches19
Current Team ELO44.18
Current Opponent ELO-44.18
Current ELO Difference88.35
Expected score0.13
History Matches50
Residual Mean0.18
Overperformance4.18
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.18

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Hohenems

W
Wolfurt1–4Hohenems31 Oct · away
Pick: Hohenems 54% · hit
W
Hohenems5–2Swarovski Tirol II24 Oct · home
Pick: Hohenems 58% · hit
L
SVG Reichenau3–0Hohenems18 Oct · away
Pick: Hohenems 50% · missed
W
Lauterach1–3Hohenems29 Aug · away
Pick: Hohenems 70% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

SK St. Johann

W
SK St. Johann2–0Kitzbühel31 Oct · home
Pick: Kitzbühel 50% · missed
L
Schwaz3–1SK St. Johann23 Oct · away
Pick: Schwaz 51% · hit
L
SK St. Johann1–3Lauterach18 Oct · home
Pick: SK St. Johann 56% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Hohenems and SK St. Johann meet in Regionalliga - West on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Hohenems win 67.2%, draw 16.6%, SK St. Johann win 16.2%. The pick is Hohenems win. Over 2.5 goals: 69.2%. Both teams to score: 57.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.