ScoreProb
Frauen Bundesliga Germany Round 9 2026

Eintracht Frankfurt W vs VfL Wolfsburg W

Eintracht Frankfurt W Home · Elo 1,660
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
VfL Wolfsburg W Away · Elo 1,642
Stadion am Brentanobad, Frankfurt Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: VfL Wolfsburg W win
Eintracht Frankfurt W win
26.2%
Draw
21.1%
VfL Wolfsburg W winPick
52.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.1%
No39.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.573.2%
Under 2.526.8%

How much we know

Eintracht Frankfurt W history53 matches
VfL Wolfsburg W history57 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 17:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.7%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why VfL Wolfsburg W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,660 against 1,642. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    2.57 goals a game over 53 matches for Eintracht Frankfurt W, against 2.53 over 57 for VfL Wolfsburg W.

  • Defences are close

    Eintracht Frankfurt W concede 1.49 a game, VfL Wolfsburg W 1.47.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    77% of Eintracht Frankfurt W matches, against 75% for VfL Wolfsburg W. The model puts this match at 73% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Eintracht Frankfurt W
VfL Wolfsburg W
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1660.1
ELO
1641.7
53
ELO · Matches
57
1660.1
Current Team ELO
1641.7
1641.7
Current Opponent ELO
1660.1
18.42
Current ELO Difference
-18.42
0.53
Expected score
0.47
53
History Matches
57
0.15
Residual Mean
0.12
60.71
Overperformance
58.80
0.24
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.09
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
1.80
3.20
Goals for per game
3.00
0.80
Goals against per game
2.40
80.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
2.40
PPG
1.40
2.60
Goals for per game
1.90
1.00
Goals against per game
1.80
80.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.90
2.24
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.51
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.25
0.46
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
2.80
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.74
Overall performance9 signals
90
53
Matches
57
2.06
PPG
1.93
66.0%
Win rate
59.6%
7.5%
Draw rate
14.0%
26.4%
Loss rate
26.3%
92.5%
Over 1.5 rate
86.0%
77.4%
Over 2.5 rate
75.4%
58.5%
Over 3.5 rate
59.6%
2.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.82
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
30
2.46
PPG
1.67
80.8%
Win rate
50.0%
3.8%
Draw rate
16.7%
15.4%
Loss rate
33.3%
96.2%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
76.9%
Over 2.5 rate
63.3%
57.7%
Over 3.5 rate
53.3%
2.91
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.38
26
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.57
Goals for per game
2.53
86.8%
Scoring rate
86.0%
56.6%
BTTS rate
66.7%
2.96
Goals for per game
2.50
88.5%
Scoring rate
76.7%
46.2%
BTTS rate
53.3%
2.00
Goals for per game
8.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
53
History Matches
57
2.57
Goals Mean
2.53
1.86
Goals Std
2.19
86.8%
Scored 1+ rate
86.0%
71.7%
Scored 2+ rate
63.2%
47.2%
Scored 3+ rate
42.1%
2.96
Venue Goals Mean
2.50
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.49
Goals against per game
1.47
69.8%
Conceding rate
75.4%
1.08
Goals against per game
1.47
57.7%
Conceding rate
66.7%
0.00
Goals against per game
2.00
0.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
53
History Matches
57
1.49
Conceded Mean
1.47
1.47
Conceded Std
1.34
39.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
36.8%
22.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
22.8%
1.08
Venue Conceded Mean
1.47
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
30.2%
Clean-sheet rate
24.6%
13.2%
Failed-to-score rate
14.0%
42.3%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
11.5%
Failed-to-score rate
23.3%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
30.2%
Clean-sheet rate
24.6%
13.2%
Failed-to-score rate
14.0%
42.3%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
11.5%
Failed-to-score rate
23.3%
30.2%
Clean-sheet rate
24.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
53
History Matches
57
0.75
Result entropy
0.85
2.70
Goal Difference Std
2.82
25.30
Stability score
14.88
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
53
Eligible Matches
57
31
Lead Matches
26
90.3%
Lead Win Rate
88.5%
0.92
Lead Points Retention
0.91
13
Trailing Matches
17
23.1%
Non-loss rate
29.4%
15.4%
Trailing Win Rate
23.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
53
Halftime Coverage Matches
57
1.34
First Half Goals For Mean
0.93
0.77
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
1.23
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.60
0.72
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.86
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.31
Rest days
76.23
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
8
Short Rest History Matches
9
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.89
28
Normal Rest History Matches
32
2.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.94
16
Long Rest History Matches
15
2.13
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.87
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
3.00
PPG
3.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
3.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
6.00
8
Competition Season Count
9
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.27
Portability PPG Std
0.27
0.66
Portability PPG Range
0.70
65.22
Portability Score
64.65
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
53
Clean History Matches
57
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO18.42
PPG0.13
GF0.04
GA0.02
PPG0.00
PPG0.79
PPG0.60
PPG1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate5.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate9.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches-4
Goals Mean0.04
Goals Std-0.33
Scored 1+ rate0.8%
Scored 2+ rate8.5%
Scored 3+ rate5.1%
Venue Goals Mean0.46
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.26
History Matches-4
Conceded Mean0.02
Conceded Std0.14
Clean-sheet rate5.6%
Conceded 2+ rate2.8%
Conceded 3+ rate0.00
Venue Conceded Mean-0.39
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.25
History Matches-4
Result entropy-0.10
Goal Difference Std-0.11
Stability score10.42
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.50
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.06
Eligible Matches-4
Lead Matches5
Lead Win Rate1.9%
Lead Points Retention0.01
Trailing Matches-4
Non-loss rate-0.06
Trailing Win Rate-0.08
Halftime Coverage Matches-4
First Half Goals For Mean0.41
First Half Goals Against Mean0.16
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.37
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.14
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-4.00
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.01
Portability PPG Range-0.04
Portability Score0.57
Rest days0.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.11
Normal Rest History Matches-4
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.06
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.26
Current Team ELO18.42
Current Opponent ELO-18.42
Current ELO Difference36.83
Expected score0.05
History Matches-4
Residual Mean0.03
Overperformance1.91
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.33

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Eintracht Frankfurt W

W
Stuttgart W0–3Eintracht Frankfurt W24 Oct · away
Pick: Eintracht Frankfurt W 58% · hit
D
Bayer Leverkusen W1–1Eintracht Frankfurt W17 Oct · away
Pick: Eintracht Frankfurt W 42% · missed
D
Eintracht Frankfurt W1–1Nürnberg W30 Aug · home
Pick: Eintracht Frankfurt W 84% · missed
D
Eintracht Frankfurt W1–1Paris Saint Germain W26 Aug · home
Pick: Eintracht Frankfurt W 62% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

VfL Wolfsburg W

W
VfL Wolfsburg W8–01899 Hoffenheim W2 Nov · home
Pick: VfL Wolfsburg W 60% · hit
W
VfL Wolfsburg W3–0FC Koln W24 Oct · home
Pick: VfL Wolfsburg W 73% · hit
W
Mainz 05 W0–5VfL Wolfsburg W18 Oct · away
Pick: VfL Wolfsburg W 62% · hit
W
VfL Wolfsburg W2–1Hamburger SV W4 Oct · home
Pick: VfL Wolfsburg W 74% · hit
W
Bayer Leverkusen W1–2VfL Wolfsburg W30 Aug · away
Pick: VfL Wolfsburg W 54% · hit

About this match

Eintracht Frankfurt W and VfL Wolfsburg W meet in Frauen Bundesliga on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 17:30 UTC. The match is played at Stadion am Brentanobad, Frankfurt. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Eintracht Frankfurt W win 26.2%, draw 21.1%, VfL Wolfsburg W win 52.7%. The pick is VfL Wolfsburg W win. Over 2.5 goals: 73.2%. Both teams to score: 60.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.