ScoreProb
Botola Pro Morocco Round 7 2026

Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane

Hassania Agadir Home · Elo 1,469
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Renaissance Berkane Away · Elo 1,665
Stade Al Inbiaâte, Agadir Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Renaissance Berkane win
Hassania Agadir win
19.6%
Draw
32.9%
Renaissance Berkane winPick
47.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes45.0%
No55.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.544.3%
Under 2.555.7%

How much we know

Hassania Agadir history45 matches
Renaissance Berkane history68 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 18:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (47.6%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Renaissance Berkane are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Renaissance Berkane are rated 195 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,665 against 1,469. On rating alone Renaissance Berkane would be expected to take 75% of the points on offer.

  • Renaissance Berkane score far more

    0.91 goals a game over 45 matches for Hassania Agadir, against 1.54 over 68 for Renaissance Berkane.

  • Renaissance Berkane concede fewer

    Hassania Agadir concede 1.38 a game, Renaissance Berkane 0.74.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    44% of Hassania Agadir matches, against 40% for Renaissance Berkane. The model puts this match at 44% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 5 Jul 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hassania Agadir
Renaissance Berkane
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1469.3
ELO
1664.7
45
ELO · Matches
68
1469.3
Current Team ELO
1664.7
1664.7
Current Opponent ELO
1469.3
-195.4
Current ELO Difference
195.4
0.25
Expected score
0.75
45
History Matches
68
-0.03
Residual Mean
0.11
47.97
Overperformance
58.66
0.09
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.04
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
2.00
0.60
Goals for per game
2.00
0.80
Goals against per game
1.20
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
2.00
0.80
Goals for per game
1.30
0.90
Goals against per game
0.70
30.0%
Win rate
60.0%
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.90
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.70
1.04
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.78
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
0.94
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.02
Overall performance9 signals
90
45
Matches
68
0.98
PPG
2.03
22.2%
Win rate
58.8%
31.1%
Draw rate
26.5%
46.7%
Loss rate
14.7%
73.3%
Over 1.5 rate
67.6%
44.4%
Over 2.5 rate
39.7%
15.6%
Over 3.5 rate
19.1%
1.34
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.46
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
36
1.30
PPG
1.81
30.4%
Win rate
52.8%
39.1%
Draw rate
22.2%
30.4%
Loss rate
25.0%
78.3%
Over 1.5 rate
69.4%
39.1%
Over 2.5 rate
41.7%
17.4%
Over 3.5 rate
19.4%
1.34
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.70
23
History Matches
36
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.91
Goals for per game
1.54
64.4%
Scoring rate
80.9%
48.9%
BTTS rate
42.6%
1.09
Goals for per game
1.44
73.9%
Scoring rate
75.0%
52.2%
BTTS rate
41.7%
45
History Matches
68
0.91
Goals Mean
1.54
0.78
Goals Std
1.17
64.4%
Scored 1+ rate
80.9%
26.7%
Scored 2+ rate
44.1%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
22.1%
1.09
Venue Goals Mean
1.44
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.38
Goals against per game
0.74
73.3%
Conceding rate
55.9%
1.26
Goals against per game
0.83
69.6%
Conceding rate
63.9%
45
History Matches
68
1.38
Conceded Mean
0.74
1.08
Conceded Std
0.80
46.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
13.2%
15.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
4.4%
1.26
Venue Conceded Mean
0.83
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
44.1%
35.6%
Failed-to-score rate
19.1%
30.4%
Clean-sheet rate
36.1%
26.1%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
44.1%
35.6%
Failed-to-score rate
19.1%
30.4%
Clean-sheet rate
36.1%
26.1%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
44.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
45
History Matches
68
0.96
Result entropy
0.86
1.34
Goal Difference Std
1.46
4.14
Stability score
13.90
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
45
Eligible Matches
68
6
Lead Matches
26
50.0%
Lead Win Rate
84.6%
0.67
Lead Points Retention
0.90
14
Trailing Matches
8
21.4%
Non-loss rate
62.5%
14.3%
Trailing Win Rate
12.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
45
Halftime Coverage Matches
68
0.44
First Half Goals For Mean
0.72
0.71
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.26
0.47
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.82
0.67
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.47
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
124.0
Rest days
124.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
8
Short Rest History Matches
8
0.75
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.38
17
Normal Rest History Matches
38
1.47
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.87
19
Long Rest History Matches
21
0.68
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.14
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
5
Competition Season Count
7
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.19
Portability PPG Std
0.17
0.39
Portability PPG Range
0.46
72.05
Portability Score
74.92
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
45
Clean History Matches
68
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-195.4
PPG-1.05
GF-0.63
GA0.64
PPG-0.50
PPG-0.80
PPG-0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-23
Clean-sheet rate-0.17
Failed-to-score rate16.4%
History Matches-13
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Failed-to-score rate1.1%
History Matches-23
Goals Mean-0.63
Goals Std-0.38
Scored 1+ rate-0.16
Scored 2+ rate-0.17
Scored 3+ rate-0.22
Venue Goals Mean-0.36
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.30
History Matches-23
Conceded Mean0.64
Conceded Std0.28
Clean-sheet rate-0.17
Conceded 2+ rate33.4%
Conceded 3+ rate11.1%
Venue Conceded Mean0.43
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.26
History Matches-23
Result entropy0.10
Goal Difference Std-0.11
Stability score-9.77
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.08
Eligible Matches-23
Lead Matches-20
Lead Win Rate-0.35
Lead Points Retention-0.23
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate-0.41
Trailing Win Rate1.8%
Halftime Coverage Matches-23
First Half Goals For Mean-0.28
First Half Goals Against Mean0.45
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.36
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.20
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Portability PPG Std0.03
Portability PPG Range-0.07
Portability Score-2.87
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.63
Normal Rest History Matches-21
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.40
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.46
Current Team ELO-195.4
Current Opponent ELO195.4
Current ELO Difference-390.8
Expected score-0.51
History Matches-23
Residual Mean-0.14
Overperformance-10.69
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Hassania Agadir

L
FUS Rabat1–0Hassania Agadir31 Oct · away
Pick: FUS Rabat 42% · hit
D
Raja Casablanca1–1Hassania Agadir28 Oct · away
Pick: Raja Casablanca 47% · missed
D
Hassania Agadir2–2FAR Rabat12 Oct · home
Pick: FAR Rabat 41% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Renaissance Berkane

W
Renaissance Berkane2–0Raja Casablanca1 Nov · home
Pick: Renaissance Berkane 51% · hit
D
Maghreb Fès0–0Renaissance Berkane29 Oct · away
Pick: Renaissance Berkane 48% · missed
W
Renaissance Berkane1–0Star Sport Academy24 Oct · home
Pick: Renaissance Berkane 58% · hit
D
Renaissance Berkane2–2CR Khemis Zemamra13 Oct · home
Pick: Renaissance Berkane 61% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Hassania Agadir and Renaissance Berkane meet in Botola Pro on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 18:00 UTC. The match is played at Stade Al Inbiaâte, Agadir. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Hassania Agadir win 19.6%, draw 32.9%, Renaissance Berkane win 47.6%. The pick is Renaissance Berkane win. Over 2.5 goals: 44.3%. Both teams to score: 45.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.