ScoreProb
Botola Pro Morocco Round 7 2026

UTS Rabat vs Amal Tiznit

UTS Rabat Home · Elo 1,519
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Amal Tiznit Away · Elo 1,533
Al-Fateh Stadium, Rabat Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: UTS Rabat win
UTS Rabat winPick
43.7%
Draw
33.3%
Amal Tiznit win
23.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes49.4%
No50.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.536.5%
Under 2.563.5%

How much we know

UTS Rabat history46 matches
Amal Tiznit history30 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 11 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 20:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.7%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why UTS Rabat are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,519 against 1,533. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Amal Tiznit score more

    0.96 goals a game over 46 matches for UTS Rabat, against 1.13 over 30 for Amal Tiznit.

  • Amal Tiznit concede fewer

    UTS Rabat concede 1.07 a game, Amal Tiznit 0.83.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    28% of UTS Rabat matches, against 30% for Amal Tiznit. The model puts this match at 37% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 21 Jul 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
UTS Rabat
Amal Tiznit
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1519.2
ELO
1533.4
46
ELO · Matches
30
1519.2
Current Team ELO
1533.4
1533.4
Current Opponent ELO
1519.2
-14.20
Current ELO Difference
14.20
0.48
Expected score
0.52
46
History Matches
30
0.02
Residual Mean
0.07
51.54
Overperformance
53.93
0.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.03
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
1.20
1.80
Goals for per game
0.80
0.80
Goals against per game
1.00
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
1.20
1.40
Goals for per game
0.80
0.80
Goals against per game
1.10
50.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.80
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.60
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
0.75
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.04
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.20
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.19
Overall performance9 signals
90
46
Matches
30
1.24
PPG
1.57
28.3%
Win rate
33.3%
39.1%
Draw rate
56.7%
32.6%
Loss rate
10.0%
67.4%
Over 1.5 rate
70.0%
28.3%
Over 2.5 rate
30.0%
6.5%
Over 3.5 rate
16.7%
1.20
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.10
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
13
1.26
PPG
1.15
30.4%
Win rate
15.4%
34.8%
Draw rate
69.2%
34.8%
Loss rate
15.4%
65.2%
Over 1.5 rate
76.9%
26.1%
Over 2.5 rate
30.8%
4.3%
Over 3.5 rate
23.1%
1.23
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.73
23
History Matches
13
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.96
Goals for per game
1.13
67.4%
Scoring rate
76.7%
50.0%
BTTS rate
53.3%
0.91
Goals for per game
1.08
65.2%
Scoring rate
92.3%
43.5%
BTTS rate
76.9%
46
History Matches
30
0.96
Goals Mean
1.13
0.83
Goals Std
0.81
67.4%
Scored 1+ rate
76.7%
23.9%
Scored 2+ rate
33.3%
4.3%
Scored 3+ rate
3.3%
0.91
Venue Goals Mean
1.08
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.07
Goals against per game
0.83
76.1%
Conceding rate
56.7%
0.96
Goals against per game
1.15
69.6%
Conceding rate
76.9%
46
History Matches
30
1.07
Conceded Mean
0.83
0.87
Conceded Std
0.90
21.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
20.0%
6.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
6.7%
0.96
Venue Conceded Mean
1.15
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
23.9%
Clean-sheet rate
43.3%
32.6%
Failed-to-score rate
23.3%
30.4%
Clean-sheet rate
23.1%
34.8%
Failed-to-score rate
7.7%
23.9%
Clean-sheet rate
43.3%
32.6%
Failed-to-score rate
23.3%
30.4%
Clean-sheet rate
23.1%
34.8%
Failed-to-score rate
7.7%
23.9%
Clean-sheet rate
43.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
46
History Matches
30
0.99
Result entropy
0.84
1.20
Goal Difference Std
1.10
0.81
Stability score
16.41
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
46
Eligible Matches
29
6
Lead Matches
9
66.7%
Lead Win Rate
88.9%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.93
11
Trailing Matches
5
36.4%
Non-loss rate
60.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
46
Halftime Coverage Matches
29
0.30
First Half Goals For Mean
0.45
0.43
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.38
0.65
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.66
0.63
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.41
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
108.1
Rest days
108.1
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
5
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.40
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
20
Normal Rest History Matches
18
0.95
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.56
20
Long Rest History Matches
11
1.50
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.45
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.40
Portability PPG Std
—
0.87
Portability PPG Range
—
55.63
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
46
Clean History Matches
30
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-14.20
PPG-0.33
GF-0.18
GA0.23
PPG0.11
PPG1.00
PPG0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches16
Clean-sheet rate-0.19
Failed-to-score rate9.3%
History Matches10
Clean-sheet rate7.4%
Failed-to-score rate27.1%
History Matches16
Goals Mean-0.18
Goals Std0.03
Scored 1+ rate-0.09
Scored 2+ rate-0.09
Scored 3+ rate1.0%
Venue Goals Mean-0.16
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.20
History Matches16
Conceded Mean0.23
Conceded Std-0.03
Clean-sheet rate-0.19
Conceded 2+ rate1.7%
Conceded 3+ rate0.00
Venue Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.30
History Matches16
Result entropy0.16
Goal Difference Std0.10
Stability score-15.60
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.07
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.01
Eligible Matches17
Lead Matches-3
Lead Win Rate-0.22
Lead Points Retention-0.15
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate-0.24
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches17
First Half Goals For Mean-0.14
First Half Goals Against Mean0.06
Second Half Goals For Mean0.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.22
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches5
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.61
Long Rest History Matches9
Long Rest Points Per Match0.05
Current Team ELO-14.20
Current Opponent ELO14.20
Current ELO Difference-28.39
Expected score-0.04
History Matches16
Residual Mean-0.04
Overperformance-2.39
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.24

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

UTS Rabat

D
Difaa EL Jadida1–1UTS Rabat30 Oct · away
Pick: Difaa EL Jadida 36% · missed
L
UTS Rabat0–1Wydad AC24 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 39% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Amal Tiznit

L
Amal Tiznit0–1Kawkab Marrakech31 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 38% · missed
L
Amal Tiznit1–2CODM Meknès24 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 36% · missed
D
Wydad AC1–1Amal Tiznit18 Oct · away
Pick: Wydad AC 57% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

UTS Rabat and Amal Tiznit meet in Botola Pro on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 20:00 UTC. The match is played at Al-Fateh Stadium, Rabat. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: UTS Rabat win 43.7%, draw 33.3%, Amal Tiznit win 23.0%. The pick is UTS Rabat win. Over 2.5 goals: 36.5%. Both teams to score: 49.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.