ScoreProb
Ettan - Södra Sweden Södra - 30 2026

Hässleholms IF vs Angelholms FF

Hässleholms IF Home · Elo 1,597
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Angelholms FF Away · Elo 1,442
Osteras IP, Hassleholm Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Hässleholms IF win
Hässleholms IF winPick
61.6%
Draw
20.9%
Angelholms FF win
17.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes56.1%
No43.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.561.8%
Under 2.538.2%

How much we know

Hässleholms IF history59 matches
Angelholms FF history62 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (61.6%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Hässleholms IF are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Hässleholms IF are rated 155 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,597 against 1,442. On rating alone Hässleholms IF would be expected to take 71% of the points on offer.

  • Hässleholms IF score more

    1.85 goals a game over 59 matches for Hässleholms IF, against 1.47 over 62 for Angelholms FF.

  • Hässleholms IF concede fewer

    Hässleholms IF concede 1.12 a game, Angelholms FF 1.73.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    63% of Hässleholms IF matches, against 63% for Angelholms FF. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hässleholms IF
Angelholms FF
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1597.3
ELO
1442.4
59
ELO · Matches
62
1597.3
Current Team ELO
1442.4
1442.4
Current Opponent ELO
1597.3
154.9
Current ELO Difference
-154.9
0.71
Expected score
0.29
59
History Matches
62
0.08
Residual Mean
-0.05
56.15
Overperformance
46.35
0.14
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.08
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
0.20
2.00
Goals for per game
0.60
0.60
Goals against per game
3.00
80.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
0.90
1.90
Goals for per game
1.40
1.10
Goals against per game
2.20
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
1.04
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.28
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.20
0.83
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.94
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.47
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.60
Overall performance9 signals
90
59
Matches
62
1.86
PPG
1.10
57.6%
Win rate
27.4%
13.6%
Draw rate
27.4%
28.8%
Loss rate
45.2%
83.1%
Over 1.5 rate
79.0%
62.7%
Over 2.5 rate
62.9%
30.5%
Over 3.5 rate
35.5%
1.90
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.47
Venue performance10 signals
100
30
Matches
32
1.83
PPG
1.16
56.7%
Win rate
28.1%
13.3%
Draw rate
31.3%
30.0%
Loss rate
40.6%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
53.3%
Over 2.5 rate
56.3%
30.0%
Over 3.5 rate
34.4%
1.90
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.29
30
History Matches
32
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.85
Goals for per game
1.47
84.7%
Scoring rate
66.1%
54.2%
BTTS rate
54.8%
1.77
Goals for per game
1.28
83.3%
Scoring rate
59.4%
53.3%
BTTS rate
46.9%
2.00
Goals for per game
1.39
83.3%
Scoring rate
72.2%
55.6%
BTTS rate
66.7%
59
History Matches
62
1.85
Goals Mean
1.47
1.33
Goals Std
1.73
84.7%
Scored 1+ rate
66.1%
54.2%
Scored 2+ rate
35.5%
28.8%
Scored 3+ rate
17.7%
1.77
Venue Goals Mean
1.28
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.12
Goals against per game
1.73
69.5%
Conceding rate
80.6%
1.03
Goals against per game
1.56
70.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.28
Goals against per game
1.67
72.2%
Conceding rate
88.9%
59
History Matches
62
1.12
Conceded Mean
1.73
1.01
Conceded Std
1.46
28.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
46.8%
11.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
25.8%
1.03
Venue Conceded Mean
1.56
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
30.5%
Clean-sheet rate
19.4%
15.3%
Failed-to-score rate
33.9%
30.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
40.6%
27.8%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
27.8%
30.5%
Clean-sheet rate
19.4%
15.3%
Failed-to-score rate
33.9%
30.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
40.6%
30.5%
Clean-sheet rate
19.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
59
History Matches
62
0.86
Result entropy
0.97
1.90
Goal Difference Std
2.47
13.79
Stability score
2.73
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
58
Eligible Matches
60
30
Lead Matches
15
86.7%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.91
Lead Points Retention
0.84
16
Trailing Matches
24
6.3%
Non-loss rate
8.3%
6.3%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
58
Halftime Coverage Matches
60
0.91
First Half Goals For Mean
0.63
0.57
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.77
0.97
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.88
0.55
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.90
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
74.88
Rest days
77.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
3
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
32
Normal Rest History Matches
37
2.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.11
26
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.65
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.14
Competition & season17 signals
170
18
Matches
18
1.83
PPG
0.94
55.6%
Win rate
16.7%
16.7%
Draw rate
44.4%
27.8%
Loss rate
38.9%
94.4%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
61.1%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
38.9%
Over 3.5 rate
38.9%
1.79
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.08
18
Current Competition Matches
18
1.83
Current Competition PPG
0.94
0.72
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.28
5
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.15
Portability PPG Std
0.13
0.37
Portability PPG Range
0.30
76.79
Portability Score
79.09
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
59
Clean History Matches
62
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO154.9
PPG0.77
GF0.38
GA-0.61
PPG0.89
PPG0.68
PPG2.20
PPG1.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate11.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.19
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate5.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.24
History Matches-3
Goals Mean0.38
Goals Std-0.40
Scored 1+ rate18.6%
Scored 2+ rate18.8%
Scored 3+ rate11.1%
Venue Goals Mean0.49
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.24
History Matches-3
Conceded Mean-0.61
Conceded Std-0.45
Clean-sheet rate11.2%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.18
Conceded 3+ rate-0.14
Venue Conceded Mean-0.53
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-1.11
History Matches-3
Result entropy-0.11
Goal Difference Std-0.57
Stability score11.06
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.07
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.13
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches15
Lead Win Rate6.7%
Lead Points Retention0.07
Trailing Matches-8
Non-loss rate-0.02
Trailing Win Rate6.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean0.28
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.20
Second Half Goals For Mean0.08
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.35
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.89
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.02
Portability PPG Range0.07
Portability Score-2.30
Rest days-2.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.89
Long Rest History Matches5
Long Rest Points Per Match0.51
Current Team ELO154.9
Current Opponent ELO-154.9
Current ELO Difference309.8
Expected score0.42
History Matches-3
Residual Mean0.13
Overperformance9.79
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.22

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Hässleholms IF

D
Olympic1–1Hässleholms IF30 Oct · away
Pick: Hässleholms IF 47% · missed
D
Hässleholms IF1–1Skövde AIK24 Oct · home
Pick: Hässleholms IF 62% · missed
W
Atvidabergs FF1–2Hässleholms IF17 Oct · away
Pick: Atvidabergs FF 42% · missed
W
Eskilsminne0–2Hässleholms IF29 Aug · away
Pick: Hässleholms IF 45% · hit
W
Hässleholms IF2–1Laholm24 Aug · home
Pick: Hässleholms IF 62% · hit

Angelholms FF

W
Angelholms FF1–0Tvååker31 Oct · home
Pick: Angelholms FF 39% · hit
W
AFC Malmo2–3Angelholms FF24 Oct · away
Pick: AFC Malmo 51% · missed
L
Angelholms FF0–1Laholm17 Oct · home
Pick: Angelholms FF 50% · missed
L
Angelholms FF0–1Jonkopings Sodra29 Aug · home
Pick: Jonkopings Sodra 42% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Hässleholms IF and Angelholms FF meet in Ettan - Södra on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. The match is played at Osteras IP, Hassleholm. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Hässleholms IF win 61.6%, draw 20.9%, Angelholms FF win 17.5%. The pick is Hässleholms IF win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.8%. Both teams to score: 56.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.