ScoreProb
Ettan - Södra Sweden Södra - 30 2026

Laholm vs Skövde AIK

Laholm Home · Elo 1,505
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Skövde AIK Away · Elo 1,497
Glanninge Park, Laholm Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Laholm win
Laholm winPick
41.4%
Draw
23.2%
Skövde AIK win
35.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.6%
No38.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.567.0%
Under 2.533.0%

How much we know

Laholm history52 matches
Skövde AIK history60 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (41.4%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Laholm are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,505 against 1,497. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Laholm score more

    1.92 goals a game over 52 matches for Laholm, against 1.43 over 60 for Skövde AIK.

  • Defences are close

    Laholm concede 1.69 a game, Skövde AIK 1.87.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    71% of Laholm matches, against 65% for Skövde AIK. The model puts this match at 67% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Laholm
Skövde AIK
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1504.7
ELO
1497.4
52
ELO · Matches
60
1504.7
Current Team ELO
1497.4
1497.4
Current Opponent ELO
1504.7
7.22
Current ELO Difference
-7.22
0.51
Expected score
0.49
52
History Matches
60
0.00
Residual Mean
0.00
50.18
Overperformance
49.98
-0.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
0.80
0.40
Goals for per game
1.40
1.80
Goals against per game
1.80
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
1.10
1.30
Goals for per game
1.30
1.90
Goals against per game
2.00
30.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.00
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
1.87
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.10
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.33
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.79
Overall performance9 signals
90
52
Matches
60
1.60
PPG
1.23
50.0%
Win rate
31.7%
9.6%
Draw rate
28.3%
40.4%
Loss rate
40.0%
86.5%
Over 1.5 rate
81.7%
71.2%
Over 2.5 rate
65.0%
46.2%
Over 3.5 rate
45.0%
2.34
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.13
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
30
1.77
PPG
0.90
53.8%
Win rate
23.3%
15.4%
Draw rate
20.0%
30.8%
Loss rate
56.7%
92.3%
Over 1.5 rate
93.3%
73.1%
Over 2.5 rate
73.3%
53.8%
Over 3.5 rate
43.3%
2.32
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.05
26
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.92
Goals for per game
1.43
76.9%
Scoring rate
76.7%
61.5%
BTTS rate
65.0%
2.23
Goals for per game
1.10
84.6%
Scoring rate
73.3%
73.1%
BTTS rate
66.7%
1.28
Goals for per game
0.94
72.2%
Scoring rate
66.7%
61.1%
BTTS rate
55.6%
52
History Matches
60
1.92
Goals Mean
1.43
1.64
Goals Std
1.36
76.9%
Scored 1+ rate
76.7%
51.9%
Scored 2+ rate
33.3%
32.7%
Scored 3+ rate
20.0%
2.23
Venue Goals Mean
1.10
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.69
Goals against per game
1.87
80.8%
Conceding rate
80.0%
1.62
Goals against per game
2.27
84.6%
Conceding rate
90.0%
1.78
Goals against per game
1.50
83.3%
Conceding rate
72.2%
52
History Matches
60
1.69
Conceded Mean
1.87
1.41
Conceded Std
1.51
48.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
53.3%
23.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
28.3%
1.62
Venue Conceded Mean
2.27
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
19.2%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
23.3%
15.4%
Clean-sheet rate
10.0%
15.4%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
27.8%
27.8%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
19.2%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
23.3%
15.4%
Clean-sheet rate
10.0%
15.4%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
19.2%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
52
History Matches
60
0.85
Result entropy
0.99
2.34
Goal Difference Std
2.13
14.63
Stability score
0.97
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
52
Eligible Matches
58
14
Lead Matches
14
92.9%
Lead Win Rate
64.3%
0.93
Lead Points Retention
0.76
19
Trailing Matches
23
21.1%
Non-loss rate
13.0%
10.5%
Trailing Win Rate
8.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
52
Halftime Coverage Matches
58
0.83
First Half Goals For Mean
0.48
0.79
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.86
1.10
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.91
0.90
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.02
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
74.88
Rest days
76.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
28
Normal Rest History Matches
37
1.61
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.19
23
Long Rest History Matches
22
1.65
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.36
Competition & season17 signals
170
18
Matches
18
0.94
PPG
1.11
27.8%
Win rate
22.2%
11.1%
Draw rate
44.4%
61.1%
Loss rate
33.3%
72.2%
Over 1.5 rate
72.2%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
38.9%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.61
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.64
18
Current Competition Matches
18
0.94
Current Competition PPG
1.11
-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.56
4
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.66
Portability PPG Std
0.71
1.45
Portability PPG Range
2.00
42.95
Portability Score
41.30
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
52
Clean History Matches
60
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO7.22
PPG0.36
GF0.49
GA-0.17
PPG-0.17
PPG0.87
PPG0.00
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-8
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate0.00
History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate5.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches-8
Goals Mean0.49
Goals Std0.28
Scored 1+ rate0.3%
Scored 2+ rate18.6%
Scored 3+ rate12.7%
Venue Goals Mean1.13
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.10
History Matches-8
Conceded Mean-0.17
Conceded Std-0.10
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Conceded 2+ rate-0.05
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean-0.65
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.77
History Matches-8
Result entropy-0.14
Goal Difference Std0.21
Stability score13.66
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.54
Eligible Matches-6
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate28.6%
Lead Points Retention0.17
Trailing Matches-4
Non-loss rate8.0%
Trailing Win Rate1.8%
Halftime Coverage Matches-6
First Half Goals For Mean0.34
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.07
Second Half Goals For Mean0.18
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.11
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.17
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.06
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.05
Portability PPG Range-0.55
Portability Score1.65
Rest days-1.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-9
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.42
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.29
Current Team ELO7.22
Current Opponent ELO-7.22
Current ELO Difference14.44
Expected score0.02
History Matches-8
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance0.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.09

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Laholm

L
Trelleborg2–1Laholm1 Nov · away
Pick: Trelleborg 62% · hit
W
Laholm5–1Olympic24 Oct · home
Pick: Olympic 43% · missed
W
Angelholms FF0–1Laholm17 Oct · away
Pick: Angelholms FF 50% · missed
D
Laholm1–1Tvååker12 Oct · home
Pick: Tvååker 46% · missed
D
Laholm2–2AFC Malmo30 Aug · home
Pick: Laholm 46% · missed

Skövde AIK

W
Skövde AIK3–2Rosengård31 Oct · home
Pick: Skövde AIK 40% · hit
D
Hässleholms IF1–1Skövde AIK24 Oct · away
Pick: Hässleholms IF 62% · missed
D
Skövde AIK2–2Eskilsminne17 Oct · home
Pick: Eskilsminne 40% · missed
D
Tvååker1–1Skövde AIK29 Aug · away
Pick: Tvååker 61% · missed
L
Skövde AIK1–2Halmstad26 Aug · home
Pick: Halmstad 43% · hit

About this match

Laholm and Skövde AIK meet in Ettan - Södra on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. The match is played at Glanninge Park, Laholm. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Laholm win 41.4%, draw 23.2%, Skövde AIK win 35.5%. The pick is Laholm win. Over 2.5 goals: 67.0%. Both teams to score: 61.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.