ScoreProb
Ettan - Södra Sweden Södra - 30 2026

Trollhättan vs Olympic

Trollhättan Home · Elo 1,510
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Olympic Away · Elo 1,529
Edsborgs IP Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Trollhättan win
Trollhättan winPick
42.4%
Draw
22.9%
Olympic win
34.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes63.2%
No36.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.567.1%
Under 2.532.9%

How much we know

Trollhättan history61 matches
Olympic history60 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.4%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Trollhättan are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,510 against 1,529. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.66 goals a game over 61 matches for Trollhättan, against 1.65 over 60 for Olympic.

  • Olympic concede fewer

    Trollhättan concede 1.87 a game, Olympic 1.67.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    67% of Trollhättan matches, against 65% for Olympic. The model puts this match at 67% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Trollhättan
Olympic
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1509.5
ELO
1529.2
61
ELO · Matches
60
1509.5
Current Team ELO
1529.2
1529.2
Current Opponent ELO
1509.5
-19.71
Current ELO Difference
19.71
0.47
Expected score
0.53
61
History Matches
60
0.02
Residual Mean
0.03
51.22
Overperformance
52.08
0.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.22
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
1.40
1.40
Goals for per game
2.00
0.60
Goals against per game
2.00
80.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.70
PPG
2.00
1.30
Goals for per game
2.20
1.30
Goals against per game
1.80
50.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.20
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.08
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.98
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.48
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.11
Overall performance9 signals
90
61
Matches
60
1.31
PPG
1.43
34.4%
Win rate
40.0%
27.9%
Draw rate
23.3%
37.7%
Loss rate
36.7%
90.2%
Over 1.5 rate
90.0%
67.2%
Over 2.5 rate
65.0%
45.9%
Over 3.5 rate
41.7%
2.13
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.84
Venue performance10 signals
100
33
Matches
29
1.15
PPG
1.31
27.3%
Win rate
37.9%
33.3%
Draw rate
17.2%
39.4%
Loss rate
44.8%
87.9%
Over 1.5 rate
82.8%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
65.5%
48.5%
Over 3.5 rate
37.9%
2.30
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.02
33
History Matches
29
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.66
Goals for per game
1.65
75.4%
Scoring rate
80.0%
67.2%
BTTS rate
68.3%
1.70
Goals for per game
1.52
69.7%
Scoring rate
72.4%
63.6%
BTTS rate
58.6%
1.22
Goals for per game
1.67
77.8%
Scoring rate
83.3%
66.7%
BTTS rate
77.8%
61
History Matches
60
1.66
Goals Mean
1.65
1.42
Goals Std
1.22
75.4%
Scored 1+ rate
80.0%
47.5%
Scored 2+ rate
53.3%
26.2%
Scored 3+ rate
23.3%
1.70
Venue Goals Mean
1.52
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.87
Goals against per game
1.67
88.5%
Conceding rate
85.0%
1.97
Goals against per game
1.62
87.9%
Conceding rate
79.3%
1.56
Goals against per game
1.83
88.9%
Conceding rate
94.4%
61
History Matches
60
1.87
Conceded Mean
1.67
1.36
Conceded Std
1.26
52.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
46.7%
27.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
21.7%
1.97
Venue Conceded Mean
1.62
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
11.5%
Clean-sheet rate
15.0%
24.6%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
12.1%
Clean-sheet rate
20.7%
30.3%
Failed-to-score rate
27.6%
11.1%
Clean-sheet rate
5.6%
22.2%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
11.5%
Clean-sheet rate
15.0%
24.6%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
12.1%
Clean-sheet rate
20.7%
30.3%
Failed-to-score rate
27.6%
11.5%
Clean-sheet rate
15.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
61
History Matches
60
0.99
Result entropy
0.98
2.13
Goal Difference Std
1.84
0.70
Stability score
2.24
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
59
Eligible Matches
57
13
Lead Matches
19
61.5%
Lead Win Rate
78.9%
0.72
Lead Points Retention
0.84
20
Trailing Matches
20
30.0%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
5.0%
Trailing Win Rate
10.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
59
Halftime Coverage Matches
57
0.58
First Half Goals For Mean
0.84
0.81
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.84
1.07
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.81
1.05
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.84
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.00
Rest days
77.13
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
3
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.33
34
Normal Rest History Matches
36
1.15
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.39
24
Long Rest History Matches
20
1.63
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.45
Competition & season17 signals
170
18
Matches
18
1.22
PPG
1.28
27.8%
Win rate
38.9%
38.9%
Draw rate
11.1%
33.3%
Loss rate
50.0%
83.3%
Over 1.5 rate
94.4%
38.9%
Over 2.5 rate
77.8%
22.2%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.20
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.64
18
Current Competition Matches
18
1.22
Current Competition PPG
1.28
-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.17
5
Competition Season Count
5
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.20
Portability PPG Std
0.40
0.56
Portability PPG Range
0.84
71.66
Portability Score
55.84
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
61
Clean History Matches
60
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-19.71
PPG-0.12
GF0.01
GA0.20
PPG-0.06
PPG-0.16
PPG1.00
PPG-0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate4.6%
History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Failed-to-score rate2.7%
History Matches1
Goals Mean0.01
Goals Std0.20
Scored 1+ rate-0.05
Scored 2+ rate-0.06
Scored 3+ rate2.9%
Venue Goals Mean0.18
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.07
History Matches1
Conceded Mean0.20
Conceded Std0.10
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Conceded 2+ rate5.8%
Conceded 3+ rate6.2%
Venue Conceded Mean0.35
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.12
History Matches1
Result entropy0.02
Goal Difference Std0.29
Stability score-1.55
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.07
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.37
Eligible Matches2
Lead Matches-6
Lead Win Rate-0.17
Lead Points Retention-0.12
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate10.0%
Trailing Win Rate-0.05
Halftime Coverage Matches2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.27
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.03
Second Half Goals For Mean0.26
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.21
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.06
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.17
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.20
Portability PPG Range-0.29
Portability Score15.82
Rest days-0.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.33
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.24
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.18
Current Team ELO-19.71
Current Opponent ELO19.71
Current ELO Difference-39.43
Expected score-0.06
History Matches1
Residual Mean-0.01
Overperformance-0.85
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.10

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Trollhättan

L
AFC Malmo6–3Trollhättan1 Nov · away
Pick: AFC Malmo 45% · hit
L
Trollhättan2–4Jonkopings Sodra24 Oct · home
Pick: Jonkopings Sodra 41% · hit
L
Kristianstad3–1Trollhättan18 Oct · away
Pick: Kristianstad 45% · hit
W
Trollhättan1–0Mjallby AIF6 Oct · home
Pick: Mjallby AIF 48% · missed
L
Rosengård3–2Trollhättan29 Aug · away
Pick: Rosengård 49% · hit

Olympic

D
Olympic1–1Hässleholms IF30 Oct · home
Pick: Hässleholms IF 47% · missed
L
Laholm5–1Olympic24 Oct · away
Pick: Olympic 43% · missed
W
Olympic4–1Utsikten18 Oct · home
Pick: Olympic 64% · hit
L
Olympic0–2Trelleborg4 Oct · home
Pick: Trelleborg 48% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Trollhättan and Olympic meet in Ettan - Södra on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. The match is played at Edsborgs IP. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Trollhättan win 42.4%, draw 22.9%, Olympic win 34.7%. The pick is Trollhättan win. Over 2.5 goals: 67.1%. Both teams to score: 63.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.