ScoreProb
1. Division Norway Round 30 2026

Haugesund vs ODD Ballklubb

Haugesund Home · Elo 1,504
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
ODD Ballklubb Away · Elo 1,527
Haugesund Stadion Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Haugesund win
Haugesund winPick
49.9%
Draw
22.0%
ODD Ballklubb win
28.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes68.5%
No31.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.572.0%
Under 2.528.0%

How much we know

Haugesund history69 matches
ODD Ballklubb history66 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (49.9%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Haugesund are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,504 against 1,527. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.87 goals a game over 69 matches for Haugesund, against 1.70 over 66 for ODD Ballklubb.

  • ODD Ballklubb concede fewer

    Haugesund concede 2.16 a game, ODD Ballklubb 1.59.

  • Haugesund games more often go over 2.5 goals

    72% of Haugesund matches, against 64% for ODD Ballklubb. The model puts this match at 72% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Haugesund
ODD Ballklubb
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1504.1
ELO
1526.7
69
ELO · Matches
66
1504.1
Current Team ELO
1526.7
1526.7
Current Opponent ELO
1504.1
-22.51
Current ELO Difference
22.51
0.47
Expected score
0.53
69
History Matches
66
0.00
Residual Mean
0.03
50.34
Overperformance
52.19
0.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.08
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.60
3.40
Goals for per game
3.60
2.60
Goals against per game
1.80
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.90
PPG
1.30
3.40
Goals for per game
2.50
2.50
Goals against per game
1.60
60.0%
Win rate
30.0%
3.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.50
1.56
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.80
2.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
1.12
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.62
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
2.17
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
3.62
Overall performance9 signals
90
69
Matches
66
1.09
PPG
1.42
30.4%
Win rate
39.4%
17.4%
Draw rate
24.2%
52.2%
Loss rate
36.4%
92.8%
Over 1.5 rate
84.8%
72.5%
Over 2.5 rate
63.6%
56.5%
Over 3.5 rate
40.9%
2.95
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.28
Venue performance10 signals
100
34
Matches
30
1.18
PPG
1.07
32.4%
Win rate
26.7%
20.6%
Draw rate
26.7%
47.1%
Loss rate
46.7%
94.1%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
67.6%
Over 2.5 rate
63.3%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.64
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.63
34
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.87
Goals for per game
1.70
71.0%
Scoring rate
87.9%
60.9%
BTTS rate
65.2%
1.85
Goals for per game
1.67
70.6%
Scoring rate
80.0%
58.8%
BTTS rate
63.3%
3.17
Goals for per game
1.94
100.0%
Scoring rate
88.9%
83.3%
BTTS rate
66.7%
69
History Matches
66
1.87
Goals Mean
1.70
2.11
Goals Std
1.41
71.0%
Scored 1+ rate
87.9%
46.4%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
26.1%
Scored 3+ rate
18.2%
1.85
Venue Goals Mean
1.67
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.16
Goals against per game
1.59
85.5%
Conceding rate
72.7%
1.88
Goals against per game
1.87
82.4%
Conceding rate
76.7%
2.00
Goals against per game
1.56
83.3%
Conceding rate
66.7%
69
History Matches
66
2.16
Conceded Mean
1.59
1.50
Conceded Std
1.56
66.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
42.4%
36.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
22.7%
1.88
Venue Conceded Mean
1.87
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
14.5%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
29.0%
Failed-to-score rate
12.1%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
23.3%
29.4%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
11.1%
14.5%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
29.0%
Failed-to-score rate
12.1%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
23.3%
29.4%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
14.5%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
69
History Matches
66
0.92
Result entropy
0.98
2.95
Goal Difference Std
2.28
8.46
Stability score
1.84
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
66
Eligible Matches
64
18
Lead Matches
21
83.3%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
0.85
Lead Points Retention
0.73
28
Trailing Matches
20
3.6%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
5.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
66
Halftime Coverage Matches
64
0.89
First Half Goals For Mean
0.78
0.94
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.77
0.95
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.91
1.26
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.86
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.92
Rest days
77.92
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
4
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.25
40
Normal Rest History Matches
35
1.18
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.60
27
Long Rest History Matches
26
0.96
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.31
Competition & season17 signals
170
18
Matches
18
2.06
PPG
1.61
66.7%
Win rate
44.4%
5.6%
Draw rate
27.8%
27.8%
Loss rate
27.8%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
83.3%
Over 2.5 rate
77.8%
77.8%
Over 3.5 rate
61.1%
2.54
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.95
18
Current Competition Matches
18
2.06
Current Competition PPG
1.61
1.17
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.39
7
Competition Season Count
6
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.64
Portability PPG Std
0.37
1.76
Portability PPG Range
1.01
43.85
Portability Score
57.75
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
69
Clean History Matches
66
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-22.51
PPG-0.34
GF0.17
GA0.57
PPG0.44
PPG0.11
PPG-0.20
PPG0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Failed-to-score rate16.9%
History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Failed-to-score rate9.4%
History Matches3
Goals Mean0.17
Goals Std0.69
Scored 1+ rate-0.17
Scored 2+ rate-0.04
Scored 3+ rate7.9%
Venue Goals Mean0.19
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std-1.24
History Matches3
Conceded Mean0.57
Conceded Std-0.06
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Conceded 2+ rate24.2%
Conceded 3+ rate13.5%
Venue Conceded Mean0.02
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.51
History Matches3
Result entropy-0.07
Goal Difference Std0.67
Stability score6.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.17
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.45
Eligible Matches2
Lead Matches-3
Lead Win Rate16.7%
Lead Points Retention0.12
Trailing Matches8
Non-loss rate-0.16
Trailing Win Rate-0.05
Halftime Coverage Matches2
First Half Goals For Mean0.11
First Half Goals Against Mean0.17
Second Half Goals For Mean0.05
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.40
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.44
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.78
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.27
Portability PPG Range0.74
Portability Score-13.90
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Short Rest Points Per Match0.75
Normal Rest History Matches5
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.43
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.34
Current Team ELO-22.51
Current Opponent ELO22.51
Current ELO Difference-45.02
Expected score-0.06
History Matches3
Residual Mean-0.02
Overperformance-1.84
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.28

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Haugesund

W
Asane1–3Haugesund1 Nov · away
Pick: Haugesund 51% · hit
L
Tromso3–2Haugesund28 Oct · away
Pick: Tromso 69% · hit
W
Haugesund3–2hodd25 Oct · home
Pick: Haugesund 58% · hit
L
Stromsgodset5–0Haugesund18 Oct · away
Pick: Stromsgodset 47% · hit
W
Haugesund3–0Lyn14 Oct · home
Pick: Haugesund 56% · hit

ODD Ballklubb

D
ODD Ballklubb3–3Sandnes ULF1 Nov · home
Pick: ODD Ballklubb 54% · missed
W
ODD Ballklubb3–1Sandefjord28 Oct · home
Pick: Sandefjord 50% · missed
L
Stabaek2–0ODD Ballklubb25 Oct · away
Pick: Stabaek 65% · hit
L
ODD Ballklubb1–2Strommen18 Oct · home
Pick: ODD Ballklubb 56% · missed
W
Sogndal0–1ODD Ballklubb14 Oct · away
Pick: Sogndal 39% · missed

About this match

Haugesund and ODD Ballklubb meet in 1. Division on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. The match is played at Haugesund Stadion. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Haugesund win 49.9%, draw 22.0%, ODD Ballklubb win 28.0%. The pick is Haugesund win. Over 2.5 goals: 72.0%. Both teams to score: 68.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.