ScoreProb
Premier Soccer League Zimbabwe Round 33 2026

Highlanders vs TelOne

Highlanders Home · Elo 1,538
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
TelOne Away · Elo 1,448
Barbourfields Stadium, Bulawayo Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Highlanders win
Highlanders winPick
46.1%
Draw
33.5%
TelOne win
20.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes41.3%
No58.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.534.9%
Under 2.565.1%

How much we know

Highlanders history61 matches
TelOne history61 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (46.1%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Highlanders are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Highlanders are rated 90 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,538 against 1,448. On rating alone Highlanders would be expected to take 63% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    0.90 goals a game over 61 matches for Highlanders, against 0.93 over 61 for TelOne.

  • Highlanders concede fewer

    Highlanders concede 0.79 a game, TelOne 1.02.

  • TelOne games more often go over 2.5 goals

    21% of Highlanders matches, against 31% for TelOne. The model puts this match at 35% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Highlanders
TelOne@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1537.9
ELO
1447.7
61
ELO · Matches
61
1537.9
Current Team ELO
1447.7
1447.7
Current Opponent ELO
1537.9
90.29
Current ELO Difference
-90.29
0.63
Expected score
0.37
61
History Matches
61
0.03
Residual Mean
-0.04
52.49
Overperformance
46.86
0.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.12
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
0.60
1.20
Goals for per game
0.20
1.20
Goals against per game
1.20
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
0.80
1.30
Goals for per game
0.40
1.10
Goals against per game
1.30
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.40
0.64
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.66
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.04
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.90
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.30
Overall performance9 signals
90
61
Matches
61
1.31
PPG
1.21
26.2%
Win rate
29.5%
52.5%
Draw rate
32.8%
21.3%
Loss rate
37.7%
54.1%
Over 1.5 rate
59.0%
21.3%
Over 2.5 rate
31.1%
9.8%
Over 3.5 rate
11.5%
0.98
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.28
Venue performance10 signals
100
31
Matches
30
1.42
PPG
1.33
29.0%
Win rate
30.0%
54.8%
Draw rate
43.3%
16.1%
Loss rate
26.7%
54.8%
Over 1.5 rate
63.3%
12.9%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
6.5%
Over 3.5 rate
13.3%
1.04
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.28
31
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
0.90
Goals for per game
0.93
65.6%
Scoring rate
63.9%
47.5%
BTTS rate
44.3%
0.90
Goals for per game
1.00
71.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
45.2%
BTTS rate
46.7%
0.96
Goals for per game
0.63
66.7%
Scoring rate
48.1%
48.1%
BTTS rate
40.7%
61
History Matches
61
0.90
Goals Mean
0.93
0.84
Goals Std
0.94
65.6%
Scored 1+ rate
63.9%
19.7%
Scored 2+ rate
21.3%
3.3%
Scored 3+ rate
4.9%
0.90
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
0.79
Goals against per game
1.02
60.7%
Conceding rate
70.5%
0.68
Goals against per game
0.97
54.8%
Conceding rate
66.7%
0.74
Goals against per game
1.33
55.6%
Conceding rate
85.2%
61
History Matches
61
0.79
Conceded Mean
1.02
0.81
Conceded Std
0.84
13.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
26.2%
3.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
4.9%
0.68
Venue Conceded Mean
0.97
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
39.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.5%
34.4%
Failed-to-score rate
36.1%
45.2%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
29.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
44.4%
Clean-sheet rate
14.8%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
51.9%
39.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.5%
34.4%
Failed-to-score rate
36.1%
45.2%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
29.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
39.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
61
History Matches
61
0.93
Result entropy
1.00
0.98
Goal Difference Std
1.28
7.25
Stability score
0.46
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
61
Eligible Matches
60
14
Lead Matches
8
64.3%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.76
Lead Points Retention
0.83
10
Trailing Matches
23
60.0%
Non-loss rate
26.1%
10.0%
Trailing Win Rate
4.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
61
Halftime Coverage Matches
60
0.48
First Half Goals For Mean
0.25
0.34
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.57
0.43
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.44
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.45
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.00
Rest days
78.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
9
Short Rest History Matches
6
1.67
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.33
32
Normal Rest History Matches
37
1.41
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.19
19
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.05
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.29
Competition & season17 signals
170
27
Matches
27
1.52
PPG
0.74
33.3%
Win rate
14.8%
51.9%
Draw rate
29.6%
14.8%
Loss rate
55.6%
51.9%
Over 1.5 rate
63.0%
25.9%
Over 2.5 rate
29.6%
11.1%
Over 3.5 rate
7.4%
0.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.12
27
Current Competition Matches
27
1.52
Current Competition PPG
0.74
0.22
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.70
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.19
Portability PPG Std
0.42
0.37
Portability PPG Range
0.85
72.92
Portability Score
54.13
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
61
Clean History Matches
61
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO90.29
PPG0.10
GF-0.03
GA-0.23
PPG0.78
PPG0.09
PPG0.80
PPG0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate9.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate11.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.04
History Matches0
Goals Mean-0.03
Goals Std-0.10
Scored 1+ rate1.6%
Scored 2+ rate-0.02
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.02
History Matches0
Conceded Mean-0.23
Conceded Std-0.03
Clean-sheet rate9.8%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.13
Conceded 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Conceded Mean-0.29
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.14
History Matches0
Result entropy-0.07
Goal Difference Std-0.31
Stability score6.79
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.22
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate-0.11
Lead Points Retention-0.07
Trailing Matches-13
Non-loss rate33.9%
Trailing Win Rate5.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean0.23
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.22
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.24
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.01
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.78
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.93
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.24
Portability PPG Range-0.48
Portability Score18.79
Rest days-1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Short Rest Points Per Match0.33
Normal Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.22
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.24
Current Team ELO90.29
Current Opponent ELO-90.29
Current ELO Difference180.6
Expected score0.25
History Matches0
Residual Mean0.07
Overperformance5.63
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.22

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Highlanders

D
Hunters1–1Highlanders25 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 37% · hit
D
Highlanders0–0Manica Diamonds18 Oct · home
Pick: Highlanders 51% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

TelOne

L
Agama3–2TelOne25 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 34% · missed
L
TelOne2–3Hunters17 Oct · home
Pick: TelOne 47% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Highlanders and TelOne meet in Premier Soccer League on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. The match is played at Barbourfields Stadium, Bulawayo. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Highlanders win 46.1%, draw 33.5%, TelOne win 20.4%. The pick is Highlanders win. Over 2.5 goals: 34.9%. Both teams to score: 41.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.