ScoreProb
Reserve League Argentina Round 16 2026

Huracán Res. vs Colón Res.

Huracán Res. Home · Elo 1,502
Thu 5 Nov
UTC
Not started
Colón Res. Away · Elo 1,441
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 30 Oct, 08:38 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Huracán Res. win
Huracán Res. winPick
51.6%
Draw
27.1%
Colón Res. win
21.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.541.5%
Under 2.558.5%

How much we know

Huracán Res. history56 matches
Colón Res. history38 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead
    30 Oct · 08:38 UTC
  2. Re-published 13 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 19:23 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    5 Nov · 18:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (51.6%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Huracán Res. are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Huracán Res. are rated 61 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,502 against 1,441. On rating alone Huracán Res. would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Huracán Res. score far more

    1.29 goals a game over 56 matches for Huracán Res., against 0.82 over 38 for Colón Res..

  • Huracán Res. concede fewer

    Huracán Res. concede 0.95 a game, Colón Res. 1.24.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    34% of Huracán Res. matches, against 34% for Colón Res.. The model puts this match at 42% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Huracán Res.
Colón Res.
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1501.8
ELO
1440.8
56
ELO · Matches
38
1501.8
Current Team ELO
1440.8
1440.8
Current Opponent ELO
1501.8
61.01
Current ELO Difference
-61.01
0.59
Expected score
0.41
56
History Matches
38
0.00
Residual Mean
-0.08
50.24
Overperformance
44.92
-0.28
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
1.00
0.40
Goals for per game
0.80
0.80
Goals against per game
1.20
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.80
PPG
1.20
0.70
Goals for per game
1.00
1.00
Goals against per game
1.20
20.0%
Win rate
30.0%
0.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.00
0.78
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.00
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
0.77
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.60
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.27
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.25
Overall performance9 signals
90
56
Matches
38
1.52
PPG
1.00
41.1%
Win rate
23.7%
28.6%
Draw rate
28.9%
30.4%
Loss rate
47.4%
64.3%
Over 1.5 rate
63.2%
33.9%
Over 2.5 rate
34.2%
21.4%
Over 3.5 rate
13.2%
1.52
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.31
Venue performance10 signals
100
29
Matches
19
1.55
PPG
0.95
37.9%
Win rate
26.3%
41.4%
Draw rate
15.8%
20.7%
Loss rate
57.9%
65.5%
Over 1.5 rate
68.4%
24.1%
Over 2.5 rate
36.8%
13.8%
Over 3.5 rate
10.5%
1.45
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.27
29
History Matches
19
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.29
Goals for per game
0.82
69.6%
Scoring rate
57.9%
48.2%
BTTS rate
44.7%
1.34
Goals for per game
0.84
72.4%
Scoring rate
63.2%
48.3%
BTTS rate
47.4%
1.09
Goals for per game
0.82
56.5%
Scoring rate
54.5%
34.8%
BTTS rate
45.5%
56
History Matches
38
1.29
Goals Mean
0.82
1.24
Goals Std
0.88
69.6%
Scored 1+ rate
57.9%
37.5%
Scored 2+ rate
15.8%
12.5%
Scored 3+ rate
7.9%
1.34
Venue Goals Mean
0.84
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
0.95
Goals against per game
1.24
67.9%
Conceding rate
78.9%
0.72
Goals against per game
1.37
62.1%
Conceding rate
84.2%
0.91
Goals against per game
1.32
69.6%
Conceding rate
86.4%
56
History Matches
38
0.95
Conceded Mean
1.24
0.91
Conceded Std
0.90
16.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
34.2%
8.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
10.5%
0.72
Venue Conceded Mean
1.37
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
32.1%
Clean-sheet rate
21.1%
30.4%
Failed-to-score rate
42.1%
37.9%
Clean-sheet rate
15.8%
27.6%
Failed-to-score rate
36.8%
30.4%
Clean-sheet rate
13.6%
43.5%
Failed-to-score rate
45.5%
32.1%
Clean-sheet rate
21.1%
30.4%
Failed-to-score rate
42.1%
37.9%
Clean-sheet rate
15.8%
27.6%
Failed-to-score rate
36.8%
32.1%
Clean-sheet rate
21.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
56
History Matches
38
0.99
Result entropy
0.96
1.52
Goal Difference Std
1.31
1.21
Stability score
4.07
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
56
Eligible Matches
38
17
Lead Matches
6
76.5%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
0.82
Lead Points Retention
0.78
15
Trailing Matches
15
40.0%
Non-loss rate
26.7%
6.7%
Trailing Win Rate
13.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
56
Halftime Coverage Matches
38
0.57
First Half Goals For Mean
0.34
0.46
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
0.71
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.47
0.48
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.63
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
72.00
Rest days
86.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
25
Normal Rest History Matches
23
1.64
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.17
30
Long Rest History Matches
14
1.47
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.79
Competition & season17 signals
170
23
Matches
22
1.26
PPG
0.91
34.8%
Win rate
22.7%
21.7%
Draw rate
22.7%
43.5%
Loss rate
54.5%
47.8%
Over 1.5 rate
63.6%
21.7%
Over 2.5 rate
36.4%
17.4%
Over 3.5 rate
18.2%
1.74
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.31
23
Current Competition Matches
22
1.26
Current Competition PPG
0.91
0.17
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.50
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.22
Portability PPG Std
0.11
0.44
Portability PPG Range
0.22
69.63
Portability Score
82.24
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
56
Clean History Matches
38
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO61.01
PPG0.52
GF0.47
GA-0.29
PPG0.35
PPG0.60
PPG-0.40
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches18
Clean-sheet rate11.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches10
Clean-sheet rate22.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches18
Goals Mean0.47
Goals Std0.35
Scored 1+ rate11.7%
Scored 2+ rate21.7%
Scored 3+ rate4.6%
Venue Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.22
History Matches18
Conceded Mean-0.29
Conceded Std0.01
Clean-sheet rate11.1%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.18
Conceded 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Conceded Mean-0.64
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.17
History Matches18
Result entropy0.03
Goal Difference Std0.20
Stability score-2.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.02
Eligible Matches18
Lead Matches11
Lead Win Rate9.8%
Lead Points Retention0.05
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate13.3%
Trailing Win Rate-0.07
Halftime Coverage Matches18
First Half Goals For Mean0.23
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.14
Second Half Goals For Mean0.24
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.15
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG0.35
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.67
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.11
Portability PPG Range0.22
Portability Score-12.61
Rest days-14.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.47
Long Rest History Matches16
Long Rest Points Per Match0.68
Current Team ELO61.01
Current Opponent ELO-61.01
Current ELO Difference122.0
Expected score0.17
History Matches18
Residual Mean0.08
Overperformance5.32
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.28

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Huracán Res.

D
Ferro 20–0Huracán Res.29 Oct · away
Pick: Huracán Res. 39% · missed
W
Huracán Res.1–0Boca Juniors Res.22 Oct · home
Pick: Boca Juniors Res. 38% · missed
L
Independiente Res.3–0Huracán Res.13 Oct · away
Pick: Independiente Res. 56% · hit
W
Huracán Res.1–0Atl. Rafaela 26 Oct · home
Pick: Huracán Res. 55% · hit
L
San Martín San Juan Res.1–0Huracán Res.25 Aug · away
Pick: Huracán Res. 62% · missed

Colón Res.

W
Colón Res.3–1San Martín San Juan Res.28 Oct · home
Pick: Colón Res. 58% · hit
W
Ferro 20–1Colón Res.21 Oct · away
Pick: Ferro 2 41% · missed
L
Colón Res.1–4Independiente Riva. Res.14 Oct · home
Pick: Colón Res. 37% · missed
L
Boca Juniors Res.1–0Colón Res.8 Oct · away
Pick: Boca Juniors Res. 77% · hit
L
Atl. Rafaela 22–1Colón Res.1 Sep · away
Pick: Atl. Rafaela 2 40% · hit

About this match

Huracán Res. and Colón Res. meet in Reserve League on Thursday 5 November 2026, kickoff 18:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 30 Oct, 08:38 UTC: Huracán Res. win 51.6%, draw 27.1%, Colón Res. win 21.2%. The pick is Huracán Res. win. Over 2.5 goals: 41.5%. Both teams to score: 45.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.