ScoreProb
Elitettan Sweden Round 25 2026

Husqvarna W vs Häcken II W

Husqvarna W Home · Elo 1,500
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Häcken II W Away · Elo 1,359
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Husqvarna W win
Husqvarna W winPick
60.4%
Draw
21.8%
Häcken II W win
17.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes59.3%
No40.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.561.2%
Under 2.538.8%

How much we know

Husqvarna W history16 matches
Häcken II W history41 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (60.4%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Husqvarna W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Husqvarna W are rated 141 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,500 against 1,359. On rating alone Husqvarna W would be expected to take 69% of the points on offer.

  • Husqvarna W score far more

    1.94 goals a game over 16 matches for Husqvarna W, against 1.02 over 41 for Häcken II W.

  • Husqvarna W concede fewer

    Husqvarna W concede 1.56 a game, Häcken II W 2.00.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    63% of Husqvarna W matches, against 56% for Häcken II W. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Husqvarna W
Häcken II W
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1499.9
ELO
1359.2
16
ELO · Matches
41
1499.9
Current Team ELO
1359.2
1359.2
Current Opponent ELO
1499.9
140.7
Current ELO Difference
-140.7
0.69
Expected score
0.31
16
History Matches
41
-0.01
Residual Mean
-0.17
49.48
Overperformance
38.53
0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.19
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
0.80
2.80
Goals for per game
1.60
0.80
Goals against per game
2.00
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
0.40
2.40
Goals for per game
1.10
1.80
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
10.0%
2.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
2.54
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.04
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.89
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.58
3.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.94
Overall performance9 signals
90
16
Matches
41
1.38
PPG
0.71
37.5%
Win rate
17.1%
25.0%
Draw rate
19.5%
37.5%
Loss rate
63.4%
81.3%
Over 1.5 rate
82.9%
62.5%
Over 2.5 rate
56.1%
31.3%
Over 3.5 rate
29.3%
2.55
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.84
Venue performance10 signals
100
7
Matches
21
0.71
PPG
0.81
14.3%
Win rate
19.0%
28.6%
Draw rate
23.8%
57.1%
Loss rate
57.1%
71.4%
Over 1.5 rate
81.0%
57.1%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
28.6%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
0.90
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.79
7
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.94
Goals for per game
1.02
81.3%
Scoring rate
58.5%
62.5%
BTTS rate
48.8%
1.29
Goals for per game
0.95
71.4%
Scoring rate
57.1%
71.4%
BTTS rate
47.6%
1.47
Goals for per game
1.00
80.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
66.7%
BTTS rate
66.7%
16
History Matches
41
1.94
Goals Mean
1.02
2.16
Goals Std
1.16
81.3%
Scored 1+ rate
58.5%
43.8%
Scored 2+ rate
26.8%
18.8%
Scored 3+ rate
12.2%
1.29
Venue Goals Mean
0.95
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.56
Goals against per game
2.00
81.3%
Conceding rate
87.8%
1.86
Goals against per game
2.14
100.0%
Conceding rate
85.7%
1.67
Goals against per game
2.27
86.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
16
History Matches
41
1.56
Conceded Mean
2.00
1.17
Conceded Std
1.34
43.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
58.5%
25.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
31.7%
1.86
Venue Conceded Mean
2.14
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
18.8%
Clean-sheet rate
12.2%
18.8%
Failed-to-score rate
41.5%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
42.9%
13.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
18.8%
Clean-sheet rate
12.2%
18.8%
Failed-to-score rate
41.5%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
42.9%
18.8%
Clean-sheet rate
12.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
16
History Matches
41
0.99
Result entropy
0.83
2.55
Goal Difference Std
1.84
1.49
Stability score
17.21
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
16
Eligible Matches
41
5
Lead Matches
10
60.0%
Lead Win Rate
40.0%
0.73
Lead Points Retention
0.50
6
Trailing Matches
18
33.3%
Non-loss rate
11.1%
16.7%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
16
Halftime Coverage Matches
41
0.88
First Half Goals For Mean
0.46
0.75
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.68
1.06
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.56
0.81
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.32
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
76.96
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
9
Normal Rest History Matches
18
1.67
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.89
6
Long Rest History Matches
21
0.67
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.62
Competition & season17 signals
170
15
Matches
15
1.27
PPG
0.27
33.3%
Win rate
6.7%
26.7%
Draw rate
6.7%
40.0%
Loss rate
86.7%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
73.3%
26.7%
Over 3.5 rate
26.7%
1.28
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.06
15
Current Competition Matches
15
1.27
Current Competition PPG
0.27
-0.20
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.27
2
Competition Season Count
2
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.35
—
Portability PPG Range
0.69
—
Portability Score
59.00
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
16
Clean History Matches
41
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO140.7
PPG0.67
GF0.91
GA-0.44
PPG1.00
PPG-0.10
PPG1.00
PPG1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-25
Clean-sheet rate6.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.23
History Matches-14
Clean-sheet rate-0.14
Failed-to-score rate-0.14
History Matches-25
Goals Mean0.91
Goals Std1.01
Scored 1+ rate22.7%
Scored 2+ rate16.9%
Scored 3+ rate6.6%
Venue Goals Mean0.33
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std1.49
History Matches-25
Conceded Mean-0.44
Conceded Std-0.17
Clean-sheet rate6.6%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.15
Conceded 3+ rate-0.07
Venue Conceded Mean-0.29
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.51
History Matches-25
Result entropy0.16
Goal Difference Std0.71
Stability score-15.72
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.38
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std2.19
Eligible Matches-25
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate20.0%
Lead Points Retention0.23
Trailing Matches-12
Non-loss rate22.2%
Trailing Win Rate16.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches-25
First Half Goals For Mean0.41
First Half Goals Against Mean0.07
Second Half Goals For Mean0.50
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.50
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.07
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days0.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches-9
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.78
Long Rest History Matches-15
Long Rest Points Per Match0.05
Current Team ELO140.7
Current Opponent ELO-140.7
Current ELO Difference281.4
Expected score0.38
History Matches-25
Residual Mean0.16
Overperformance10.95
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.22

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Husqvarna W

D
Enskede W1–1Husqvarna W31 Oct · away
Pick: Enskede W 37% · missed
D
Husqvarna W0–0Jitex W24 Oct · home
Pick: Husqvarna W 43% · missed
W
Husqvarna W3–1Sandviken W17 Oct · home
Pick: Husqvarna W 68% · hit
L
Umeå W2–0Husqvarna W4 Oct · away
Pick: Umeå W 61% · hit
W
Husqvarna W1–0Trelleborg W29 Aug · home
Pick: Husqvarna W 39% · hit

Häcken II W

L
Häcken II W1–4Göteborg W31 Oct · home
Pick: Göteborg W 76% · hit
L
Gamla Upsala W3–0Häcken II W25 Oct · away
Pick: Gamla Upsala W 53% · hit
L
Alingsås W2–0Häcken II W17 Oct · away
Pick: Alingsås W 51% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Husqvarna W and Häcken II W meet in Elitettan on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Husqvarna W win 60.4%, draw 21.8%, Häcken II W win 17.8%. The pick is Husqvarna W win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.2%. Both teams to score: 59.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.