ScoreProb
NB II Hungary Round 13 2026

Kazincbarcikai vs Soroksar

Kazincbarcikai Home · Elo 1,491
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Soroksar Away · Elo 1,530
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Soroksar win
Kazincbarcikai win
35.7%
Draw
26.7%
Soroksar winPick
37.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.7%
No46.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.555.1%
Under 2.544.9%

How much we know

Kazincbarcikai history66 matches
Soroksar history59 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (37.7%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Soroksar are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Soroksar are rated 38 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,530 against 1,491. On rating alone Soroksar would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.

  • Soroksar score more

    1.11 goals a game over 66 matches for Kazincbarcikai, against 1.42 over 59 for Soroksar.

  • Soroksar concede fewer

    Kazincbarcikai concede 1.61 a game, Soroksar 1.42.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    56% of Kazincbarcikai matches, against 56% for Soroksar. The model puts this match at 55% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Kazincbarcikai
Soroksar
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1491.5
ELO
1529.7
66
ELO · Matches
59
1491.5
Current Team ELO
1529.7
1529.7
Current Opponent ELO
1491.5
-38.28
Current ELO Difference
38.28
0.45
Expected score
0.55
66
History Matches
59
-0.01
Residual Mean
0.02
49.39
Overperformance
51.25
0.21
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.21
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
2.60
1.80
Goals for per game
2.20
0.80
Goals against per game
0.80
60.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
1.90
1.50
Goals for per game
1.80
1.10
Goals against per game
1.00
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
1.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.33
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
1.22
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.89
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.28
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.78
Overall performance9 signals
90
66
Matches
59
1.20
PPG
1.27
31.8%
Win rate
33.9%
24.2%
Draw rate
25.4%
43.9%
Loss rate
40.7%
72.7%
Over 1.5 rate
76.3%
56.1%
Over 2.5 rate
55.9%
37.9%
Over 3.5 rate
37.3%
1.91
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.63
Venue performance10 signals
100
32
Matches
33
1.34
PPG
0.91
37.5%
Win rate
21.2%
21.9%
Draw rate
27.3%
40.6%
Loss rate
51.5%
78.1%
Over 1.5 rate
69.7%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
54.5%
34.4%
Over 3.5 rate
36.4%
1.90
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.53
32
History Matches
33
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.11
Goals for per game
1.42
69.7%
Scoring rate
74.6%
50.0%
BTTS rate
57.6%
1.13
Goals for per game
1.18
65.6%
Scoring rate
69.7%
50.0%
BTTS rate
51.5%
1.80
Goals for per game
2.20
80.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
40.0%
66
History Matches
59
1.11
Goals Mean
1.42
0.99
Goals Std
1.14
69.7%
Scored 1+ rate
74.6%
28.8%
Scored 2+ rate
44.1%
10.6%
Scored 3+ rate
20.3%
1.13
Venue Goals Mean
1.18
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.61
Goals against per game
1.42
71.2%
Conceding rate
76.3%
1.47
Goals against per game
1.48
75.0%
Conceding rate
69.7%
0.80
Goals against per game
0.80
60.0%
Conceding rate
40.0%
66
History Matches
59
1.61
Conceded Mean
1.42
1.44
Conceded Std
1.15
47.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
44.1%
25.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
15.3%
1.47
Venue Conceded Mean
1.48
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
28.8%
Clean-sheet rate
23.7%
30.3%
Failed-to-score rate
25.4%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.3%
34.4%
Failed-to-score rate
30.3%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
60.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
28.8%
Clean-sheet rate
23.7%
30.3%
Failed-to-score rate
25.4%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.3%
34.4%
Failed-to-score rate
30.3%
28.8%
Clean-sheet rate
23.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
66
History Matches
59
0.97
Result entropy
0.98
1.91
Goal Difference Std
1.63
2.67
Stability score
1.62
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
66
Eligible Matches
58
12
Lead Matches
14
83.3%
Lead Win Rate
50.0%
0.89
Lead Points Retention
0.64
22
Trailing Matches
17
18.2%
Non-loss rate
11.8%
4.5%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
66
Halftime Coverage Matches
58
0.48
First Half Goals For Mean
0.55
0.76
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.62
0.62
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.83
0.85
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.83
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.85
Rest days
75.85
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
35
Normal Rest History Matches
29
1.34
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.10
29
Long Rest History Matches
28
1.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.32
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
2.60
60.0%
Win rate
80.0%
40.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
60.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
60.0%
0.89
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.36
5
Current Competition Matches
5
2.20
Current Competition PPG
2.60
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.40
6
Competition Season Count
6
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.57
Portability PPG Std
0.70
1.58
Portability PPG Range
1.67
46.66
Portability Score
41.55
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
66
Clean History Matches
59
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-38.28
PPG-0.07
GF-0.32
GA0.18
PPG-0.40
PPG0.43
PPG-0.40
PPG-0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches7
Clean-sheet rate5.1%
Failed-to-score rate4.9%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Failed-to-score rate4.1%
History Matches7
Goals Mean-0.32
Goals Std-0.15
Scored 1+ rate-0.05
Scored 2+ rate-0.15
Scored 3+ rate-0.10
Venue Goals Mean-0.06
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.30
History Matches7
Conceded Mean0.18
Conceded Std0.29
Clean-sheet rate5.1%
Conceded 2+ rate2.9%
Conceded 3+ rate10.5%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.02
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.33
History Matches7
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std0.28
Stability score1.05
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.50
Eligible Matches8
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate33.3%
Lead Points Retention0.25
Trailing Matches5
Non-loss rate6.4%
Trailing Win Rate4.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches8
First Half Goals For Mean-0.07
First Half Goals Against Mean0.14
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.21
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.02
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.40
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.40
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.13
Portability PPG Range-0.08
Portability Score5.11
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches6
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.24
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.32
Current Team ELO-38.28
Current Opponent ELO38.28
Current ELO Difference-76.56
Expected score-0.11
History Matches7
Residual Mean-0.02
Overperformance-1.86
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.00

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Kazincbarcikai

W
Szentlőrinc SE0–3Kazincbarcikai1 Nov · away
Pick: Szentlőrinc SE 38% · missed
W
Kazincbarcikai2–1Nagykanizsai ULE24 Oct · home
Pick: Kazincbarcikai 48% · hit
D
Diosgyori VTK2–2Kazincbarcikai19 Oct · away
Pick: Kazincbarcikai 40% · missed
D
Szeged 20111–1Kazincbarcikai31 Aug · away
Pick: Kazincbarcikai 46% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Soroksar

L
Soroksar0–1Kozarmisleny FC1 Nov · home
Pick: Soroksar 56% · missed
L
Kozarmisleny FC3–2Soroksar28 Oct · away
Pick: Soroksar 40% · missed
D
Gyirmot SE3–3Soroksar24 Oct · away
Pick: Gyirmot SE 43% · missed
W
Soroksar1–0Fehérvár FC18 Oct · home
Pick: Soroksar 51% · hit
L
BVSC5–2Soroksar12 Oct · away
Pick: Soroksar 45% · missed

About this match

Kazincbarcikai and Soroksar meet in NB II on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Kazincbarcikai win 35.7%, draw 26.7%, Soroksar win 37.7%. The pick is Soroksar win. Over 2.5 goals: 55.1%. Both teams to score: 53.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.