ScoreProb
NB II Hungary Round 13 2026

Mezokovesd-zsory vs Diosgyori VTK

Mezokovesd-zsory Home · Elo 1,498
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Diosgyori VTK Away · Elo 1,490
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Mezokovesd-zsory win
Mezokovesd-zsory winPick
52.5%
Draw
21.5%
Diosgyori VTK win
26.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.559.1%
Under 2.540.9%

How much we know

Mezokovesd-zsory history59 matches
Diosgyori VTK history68 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.5%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Mezokovesd-zsory are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,498 against 1,490. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Diosgyori VTK score more

    1.29 goals a game over 59 matches for Mezokovesd-zsory, against 1.49 over 68 for Diosgyori VTK.

  • Mezokovesd-zsory concede fewer

    Mezokovesd-zsory concede 1.15 a game, Diosgyori VTK 1.90.

  • Diosgyori VTK games more often go over 2.5 goals

    39% of Mezokovesd-zsory matches, against 63% for Diosgyori VTK. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Mezokovesd-zsory
Diosgyori VTK
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1498.3
ELO
1490.5
59
ELO · Matches
68
1498.3
Current Team ELO
1490.5
1490.5
Current Opponent ELO
1498.3
7.88
Current ELO Difference
-7.88
0.51
Expected score
0.49
59
History Matches
68
0.00
Residual Mean
-0.01
49.69
Overperformance
49.25
-0.22
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.08
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.40
0.60
Goals for per game
2.40
1.00
Goals against per game
2.60
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
0.90
PPG
1.40
0.80
Goals for per game
1.90
1.20
Goals against per game
2.30
30.0%
Win rate
40.0%
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.90
0.87
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.87
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.30
0.87
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.62
0.56
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.20
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.54
Overall performance9 signals
90
59
Matches
68
1.51
PPG
1.15
44.1%
Win rate
29.4%
18.6%
Draw rate
26.5%
37.3%
Loss rate
44.1%
69.5%
Over 1.5 rate
88.2%
39.0%
Over 2.5 rate
63.2%
16.9%
Over 3.5 rate
47.1%
1.72
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.07
Venue performance10 signals
100
29
Matches
36
1.72
PPG
1.06
51.7%
Win rate
30.6%
17.2%
Draw rate
13.9%
31.0%
Loss rate
55.6%
65.5%
Over 1.5 rate
86.1%
27.6%
Over 2.5 rate
72.2%
13.8%
Over 3.5 rate
58.3%
1.66
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.25
29
History Matches
36
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.29
Goals for per game
1.49
74.6%
Scoring rate
79.4%
44.1%
BTTS rate
70.6%
1.24
Goals for per game
1.58
72.4%
Scoring rate
75.0%
31.0%
BTTS rate
69.4%
0.75
Goals for per game
1.25
50.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
25.0%
BTTS rate
75.0%
59
History Matches
68
1.29
Goals Mean
1.49
1.14
Goals Std
1.37
74.6%
Scored 1+ rate
79.4%
33.9%
Scored 2+ rate
38.2%
13.6%
Scored 3+ rate
14.7%
1.24
Venue Goals Mean
1.58
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.15
Goals against per game
1.90
64.4%
Conceding rate
88.2%
0.93
Goals against per game
2.17
55.2%
Conceding rate
91.7%
0.75
Goals against per game
2.75
75.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
59
History Matches
68
1.15
Conceded Mean
1.90
1.23
Conceded Std
1.37
28.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
13.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
29.4%
0.93
Venue Conceded Mean
2.17
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
35.6%
Clean-sheet rate
11.8%
25.4%
Failed-to-score rate
20.6%
44.8%
Clean-sheet rate
8.3%
27.6%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
35.6%
Clean-sheet rate
11.8%
25.4%
Failed-to-score rate
20.6%
44.8%
Clean-sheet rate
8.3%
27.6%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
35.6%
Clean-sheet rate
11.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
59
History Matches
68
0.95
Result entropy
0.98
1.72
Goal Difference Std
2.07
5.14
Stability score
2.35
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
58
Eligible Matches
68
21
Lead Matches
22
90.5%
Lead Win Rate
50.0%
0.94
Lead Points Retention
0.61
14
Trailing Matches
21
28.6%
Non-loss rate
28.6%
7.1%
Trailing Win Rate
9.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
58
Halftime Coverage Matches
68
0.69
First Half Goals For Mean
0.74
0.48
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.85
0.62
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.75
0.67
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.04
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.85
Rest days
76.85
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
4
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.50
31
Normal Rest History Matches
31
1.74
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.00
26
Long Rest History Matches
32
1.23
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.13
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
1.50
PPG
1.00
50.0%
Win rate
25.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
25.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
25.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
75.0%
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.06
4
Current Competition Matches
4
1.50
Current Competition PPG
1.00
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.50
7
Competition Season Count
6
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.47
Portability PPG Std
0.65
1.27
Portability PPG Range
1.48
51.55
Portability Score
43.38
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
59
Clean History Matches
68
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO7.88
PPG0.36
GF-0.20
GA-0.74
PPG0.50
PPG0.67
PPG-0.20
PPG-0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-9
Clean-sheet rate23.8%
Failed-to-score rate4.8%
History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate36.5%
Failed-to-score rate2.6%
History Matches-9
Goals Mean-0.20
Goals Std-0.23
Scored 1+ rate-0.05
Scored 2+ rate-0.04
Scored 3+ rate-0.01
Venue Goals Mean-0.34
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-1.00
History Matches-9
Conceded Mean-0.74
Conceded Std-0.14
Clean-sheet rate23.8%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.21
Conceded 3+ rate-0.16
Venue Conceded Mean-1.24
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.74
History Matches-9
Result entropy-0.03
Goal Difference Std-0.34
Stability score2.79
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.40
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.34
Eligible Matches-10
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate40.5%
Lead Points Retention0.33
Trailing Matches-7
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate-0.02
Halftime Coverage Matches-10
First Half Goals For Mean-0.05
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.37
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.13
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.37
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.50
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Portability PPG Std-0.18
Portability PPG Range-0.22
Portability Score8.18
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Short Rest Points Per Match-2.50
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.74
Long Rest History Matches-6
Long Rest Points Per Match0.11
Current Team ELO7.88
Current Opponent ELO-7.88
Current ELO Difference15.75
Expected score0.02
History Matches-9
Residual Mean0.01
Overperformance0.45
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.30

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Mezokovesd-zsory

W
Karcag SE0–3Mezokovesd-zsory1 Nov · away
Pick: Karcag SE 44% · missed
W
Csakvar0–4Mezokovesd-zsory25 Oct · away
Pick: Mezokovesd-zsory 38% · hit
W
Mezokovesd-zsory3–1Kecskeméti TE17 Oct · home
Pick: Mezokovesd-zsory 38% · hit
D
Mezokovesd-zsory1–1Ajka14 Oct · home
Pick: Mezokovesd-zsory 41% · missed
W
Mezokovesd-zsory4–2Gyirmot SE29 Aug · home
Pick: Mezokovesd-zsory 38% · hit

Diosgyori VTK

L
Diosgyori VTK1–3Kecskeméti TE2 Nov · home
Pick: Kecskeméti TE 42% · hit
L
Diosgyori VTK1–2Puskas Academy28 Oct · home
Pick: Puskas Academy 42% · hit
W
Szeged 20111–4Diosgyori VTK24 Oct · away
Pick: Szeged 2011 48% · missed
D
Diosgyori VTK2–2Kazincbarcikai19 Oct · home
Pick: Kazincbarcikai 40% · missed
D
Diosgyori VTK1–1Szentlőrinc SE13 Oct · home
Pick: Szentlőrinc SE 42% · missed

About this match

Mezokovesd-zsory and Diosgyori VTK meet in NB II on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Mezokovesd-zsory win 52.5%, draw 21.5%, Diosgyori VTK win 26.0%. The pick is Mezokovesd-zsory win. Over 2.5 goals: 59.1%. Both teams to score: 55.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.