ScoreProb
NB II Hungary Round 13 2026

Szeged 2011 vs Szentlőrinc SE

Szeged 2011 Home · Elo 1,474
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Szentlőrinc SE Away · Elo 1,511
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Szentlőrinc SE win
Szeged 2011 win
34.9%
Draw
26.0%
Szentlőrinc SE winPick
39.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes50.8%
No49.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.548.8%
Under 2.551.2%

How much we know

Szeged 2011 history53 matches
Szentlőrinc SE history52 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (39.1%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Szentlőrinc SE are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Szentlőrinc SE are rated 37 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,511 against 1,474. On rating alone Szentlőrinc SE would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.

  • Szentlőrinc SE score more

    1.04 goals a game over 53 matches for Szeged 2011, against 1.37 over 52 for Szentlőrinc SE.

  • Defences are close

    Szeged 2011 concede 1.26 a game, Szentlőrinc SE 1.33.

  • Szentlőrinc SE games more often go over 2.5 goals

    36% of Szeged 2011 matches, against 48% for Szentlőrinc SE. The model puts this match at 49% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Szeged 2011
Szentlőrinc SE
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1474.2
ELO
1510.8
53
ELO · Matches
52
1474.2
Current Team ELO
1510.8
1510.8
Current Opponent ELO
1474.2
-36.64
Current ELO Difference
36.64
0.45
Expected score
0.55
53
History Matches
52
-0.03
Residual Mean
0.01
48.08
Overperformance
51.02
-0.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.31
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
1.60
0.60
Goals for per game
1.80
1.00
Goals against per game
1.60
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
0.90
PPG
2.10
0.70
Goals for per game
1.60
1.10
Goals against per game
1.00
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
0.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.02
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
0.83
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.18
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.56
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.80
Overall performance9 signals
90
53
Matches
52
1.25
PPG
1.29
32.1%
Win rate
28.8%
28.3%
Draw rate
42.3%
39.6%
Loss rate
28.8%
67.9%
Over 1.5 rate
76.9%
35.8%
Over 2.5 rate
48.1%
22.6%
Over 3.5 rate
26.9%
1.89
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.52
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
25
1.27
PPG
0.96
34.6%
Win rate
20.0%
23.1%
Draw rate
36.0%
42.3%
Loss rate
44.0%
65.4%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
42.3%
Over 2.5 rate
56.0%
26.9%
Over 3.5 rate
24.0%
1.99
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.58
26
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.04
Goals for per game
1.37
62.3%
Scoring rate
73.1%
39.6%
BTTS rate
57.7%
1.04
Goals for per game
1.24
57.7%
Scoring rate
68.0%
30.8%
BTTS rate
56.0%
0.75
Goals for per game
1.50
50.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
53
History Matches
52
1.04
Goals Mean
1.37
1.10
Goals Std
1.26
62.3%
Scored 1+ rate
73.1%
26.4%
Scored 2+ rate
36.5%
9.4%
Scored 3+ rate
17.3%
1.04
Venue Goals Mean
1.24
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.26
Goals against per game
1.33
69.8%
Conceding rate
71.2%
1.27
Goals against per game
1.48
65.4%
Conceding rate
76.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.25
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
53
History Matches
52
1.26
Conceded Mean
1.33
1.29
Conceded Std
1.16
30.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
40.4%
15.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
15.4%
1.27
Venue Conceded Mean
1.48
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
30.2%
Clean-sheet rate
28.8%
37.7%
Failed-to-score rate
26.9%
34.6%
Clean-sheet rate
24.0%
42.3%
Failed-to-score rate
32.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
30.2%
Clean-sheet rate
28.8%
37.7%
Failed-to-score rate
26.9%
34.6%
Clean-sheet rate
24.0%
42.3%
Failed-to-score rate
32.0%
30.2%
Clean-sheet rate
28.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
53
History Matches
52
0.99
Result entropy
0.98
1.89
Goal Difference Std
1.52
0.90
Stability score
1.59
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
53
Eligible Matches
52
11
Lead Matches
19
72.7%
Lead Win Rate
52.6%
0.82
Lead Points Retention
0.65
22
Trailing Matches
10
27.3%
Non-loss rate
30.0%
4.5%
Trailing Win Rate
10.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
53
Halftime Coverage Matches
52
0.36
First Half Goals For Mean
0.77
0.57
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.54
0.68
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.60
0.70
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.79
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
76.94
Rest days
75.94
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
32
Normal Rest History Matches
29
1.31
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.45
20
Long Rest History Matches
22
1.05
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.09
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
1.00
PPG
1.75
25.0%
Win rate
50.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
25.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
0.83
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.83
4
Current Competition Matches
4
1.00
Current Competition PPG
1.75
-0.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.25
6
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.22
Portability PPG Std
0.29
0.53
Portability PPG Range
0.65
69.45
Portability Score
63.39
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
53
Clean History Matches
52
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-36.64
PPG-0.04
GF-0.33
GA-0.06
PPG-0.75
PPG0.31
PPG-0.80
PPG-1.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate1.3%
Failed-to-score rate10.8%
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate10.6%
Failed-to-score rate10.3%
History Matches1
Goals Mean-0.33
Goals Std-0.16
Scored 1+ rate-0.11
Scored 2+ rate-0.10
Scored 3+ rate-0.08
Venue Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.01
History Matches1
Conceded Mean-0.06
Conceded Std0.14
Clean-sheet rate1.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.10
Conceded 3+ rate0.00
Venue Conceded Mean-0.21
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.35
History Matches1
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std0.37
Stability score-0.69
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.76
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches-8
Lead Win Rate20.1%
Lead Points Retention0.17
Trailing Matches12
Non-loss rate-0.03
Trailing Win Rate-0.05
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean-0.41
First Half Goals Against Mean0.03
Second Half Goals For Mean0.08
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.09
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.50
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.07
Portability PPG Range-0.12
Portability Score6.06
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.14
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.04
Current Team ELO-36.64
Current Opponent ELO36.64
Current ELO Difference-73.29
Expected score-0.11
History Matches1
Residual Mean-0.04
Overperformance-2.94
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.41

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Szeged 2011

L
Nagykanizsai ULE1–0Szeged 20111 Nov · away
Pick: Nagykanizsai ULE 52% · hit
L
Szeged 20111–3Ujpest29 Oct · home
Pick: Ujpest 40% · hit
L
Szeged 20111–4Diosgyori VTK24 Oct · home
Pick: Szeged 2011 48% · missed
W
Karcag SE1–2Szeged 201118 Oct · away
Pick: Karcag SE 50% · missed
D
Szeged 20111–1Kazincbarcikai31 Aug · home
Pick: Kazincbarcikai 46% · missed

Szentlőrinc SE

L
Szentlőrinc SE0–3Kazincbarcikai1 Nov · home
Pick: Szentlőrinc SE 38% · missed
L
Szentlőrinc SE3–4Vasas28 Oct · home
Pick: Vasas 40% · hit
W
Kozarmisleny FC0–2Szentlőrinc SE24 Oct · away
Pick: Szentlőrinc SE 41% · hit
L
Szentlőrinc SE1–2Gyirmot SE18 Oct · home
Pick: Gyirmot SE 37% · hit
D
Diosgyori VTK1–1Szentlőrinc SE13 Oct · away
Pick: Szentlőrinc SE 42% · missed

About this match

Szeged 2011 and Szentlőrinc SE meet in NB II on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Szeged 2011 win 34.9%, draw 26.0%, Szentlőrinc SE win 39.1%. The pick is Szentlőrinc SE win. Over 2.5 goals: 48.8%. Both teams to score: 50.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.