ScoreProb
III Liga - Group 4 Poland Group IV - 16 2026

KSZO 1929 vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II

KSZO 1929 Home · Elo 1,624
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
KS Wieczysta Krakow II Away · Elo 1,502
Miejski Stadion Sportowy Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: KSZO 1929 win
KSZO 1929 winPick
65.6%
Draw
22.0%
KS Wieczysta Krakow II win
12.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.7%
No46.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.559.5%
Under 2.540.5%

How much we know

KSZO 1929 history68 matches
KS Wieczysta Krakow II history7 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (65.6%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why KSZO 1929 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • KSZO 1929 are rated 121 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,624 against 1,502. On rating alone KSZO 1929 would be expected to take 67% of the points on offer.

  • KSZO 1929 score more

    1.90 goals a game over 68 matches for KSZO 1929, against 1.43 over 7 for KS Wieczysta Krakow II.

  • KSZO 1929 concede fewer

    KSZO 1929 concede 1.03 a game, KS Wieczysta Krakow II 1.29.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    62% of KSZO 1929 matches, against 57% for KS Wieczysta Krakow II. The model puts this match at 60% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
KSZO 1929
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1623.8
ELO
1502.4
68
ELO · Matches
7
1623.8
Current Team ELO
1502.4
1502.4
Current Opponent ELO
1623.8
121.4
Current ELO Difference
-121.4
0.67
Expected score
0.33
68
History Matches
7
0.09
Residual Mean
0.00
57.16
Overperformance
50.11
0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.00
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
1.40
1.40
Goals for per game
1.60
0.80
Goals against per game
1.60
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
7
1.80
PPG
1.43
1.70
Goals for per game
1.43
1.10
Goals against per game
1.29
50.0%
Win rate
42.9%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.43
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.90
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.29
0.94
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.16
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.91
2.15
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.81
Overall performance9 signals
90
68
Matches
7
1.99
PPG
1.43
58.8%
Win rate
42.9%
22.1%
Draw rate
14.3%
19.1%
Loss rate
42.9%
76.5%
Over 1.5 rate
85.7%
61.8%
Over 2.5 rate
57.1%
29.4%
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
1.69
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.81
Venue performance10 signals
100
36
Matches
4
2.06
PPG
1.50
61.1%
Win rate
50.0%
22.2%
Draw rate
0.0%
16.7%
Loss rate
50.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
61.1%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
30.6%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.75
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.92
36
History Matches
4
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.90
Goals for per game
1.43
83.8%
Scoring rate
85.7%
58.8%
BTTS rate
57.1%
2.00
Goals for per game
1.50
86.1%
Scoring rate
75.0%
58.3%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.40
Goals for per game
1.60
80.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
40.0%
BTTS rate
80.0%
68
History Matches
7
1.90
Goals Mean
1.43
1.48
Goals Std
0.90
83.8%
Scored 1+ rate
85.7%
57.4%
Scored 2+ rate
42.9%
23.5%
Scored 3+ rate
14.3%
2.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.50
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.03
Goals against per game
1.29
66.2%
Conceding rate
71.4%
0.92
Goals against per game
1.25
63.9%
Conceding rate
75.0%
0.80
Goals against per game
1.60
40.0%
Conceding rate
80.0%
68
History Matches
7
1.03
Conceded Mean
1.29
0.97
Conceded Std
1.16
26.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
28.6%
8.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
28.6%
0.92
Venue Conceded Mean
1.25
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
33.8%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
16.2%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
36.1%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
13.9%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
60.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
33.8%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
16.2%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
36.1%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
13.9%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
33.8%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
68
History Matches
7
0.88
Result entropy
0.91
1.69
Goal Difference Std
1.81
12.45
Stability score
8.59
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
67
Eligible Matches
7
24
Lead Matches
2
87.5%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.90
Lead Points Retention
1.00
14
Trailing Matches
4
42.9%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
21.4%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
67
Halftime Coverage Matches
7
0.75
First Half Goals For Mean
0.43
0.45
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.71
1.07
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.58
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.57
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.92
Rest days
76.92
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.75
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
34
Normal Rest History Matches
3
2.12
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.33
29
Long Rest History Matches
3
2.03
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
1.40
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
40.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
40.0%
40.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
80.0%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
0.49
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.90
5
Current Competition Matches
5
2.20
Current Competition PPG
1.40
0.60
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
6
Competition Season Count
2
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.44
Portability PPG Std
—
1.20
Portability PPG Range
—
53.42
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
68
Clean History Matches
7
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO121.4
PPG0.56
GF0.47
GA-0.26
PPG0.80
PPG0.56
PPG0.80
PPG0.37
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches61
Clean-sheet rate5.3%
Failed-to-score rate1.9%
History Matches32
Clean-sheet rate11.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches61
Goals Mean0.47
Goals Std0.57
Scored 1+ rate-0.02
Scored 2+ rate14.5%
Scored 3+ rate9.2%
Venue Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.27
Recent 10 Goals Std1.10
History Matches61
Conceded Mean-0.26
Conceded Std-0.19
Clean-sheet rate5.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.02
Conceded 3+ rate-0.20
Venue Conceded Mean-0.33
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.19
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.22
History Matches61
Result entropy-0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.12
Stability score3.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.35
Eligible Matches60
Lead Matches22
Lead Win Rate-0.13
Lead Points Retention-0.10
Trailing Matches10
Non-loss rate17.9%
Trailing Win Rate21.4%
Halftime Coverage Matches60
First Half Goals For Mean0.32
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.27
Second Half Goals For Mean0.07
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.01
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.80
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.60
Competition Season Count4
Eligible Competition Season Count4
Rest days-1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest History Matches31
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.78
Long Rest History Matches26
Long Rest Points Per Match0.03
Current Team ELO121.4
Current Opponent ELO-121.4
Current ELO Difference242.8
Expected score0.34
History Matches61
Residual Mean0.09
Overperformance7.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.02

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

KSZO 1929

L
Wisłoka Dębica2–1KSZO 192931 Oct · away
Pick: KSZO 1929 47% · missed
W
KSZO 19292–1Sokół Kolb.24 Oct · home
Pick: KSZO 1929 66% · hit
W
Jarosław1–3KSZO 192917 Oct · away
Pick: KSZO 1929 38% · hit
W
Moravia Morawica0–4KSZO 192930 Aug · away
Pick: KSZO 1929 61% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

KS Wieczysta Krakow II

L
KS Wieczysta Krakow II1–2Wisła Kraków II30 Oct · home
Pick: Wisła Kraków II 40% · hit
D
Naprzód2–2KS Wieczysta Krakow II24 Oct · away
Pick: Naprzód 45% · missed
W
KS Wieczysta Krakow II1–0Moravia Morawica17 Oct · home
Pick: KS Wieczysta Krakow II 58% · hit
L
Chełmianka Chełm1–0KS Wieczysta Krakow II29 Aug · away
Pick: Chełmianka Chełm 71% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

KSZO 1929 and KS Wieczysta Krakow II meet in III Liga - Group 4 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. The match is played at Miejski Stadion Sportowy. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: KSZO 1929 win 65.6%, draw 22.0%, KS Wieczysta Krakow II win 12.4%. The pick is KSZO 1929 win. Over 2.5 goals: 59.5%. Both teams to score: 53.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.