Laredo vs Torina
Match result probability Model pick: Laredo win
Laredo winPick
64.3%
Draw
17.9%
Torina win
17.8%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes50.7%
No49.3%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.548.5%
Under 2.551.5%
How much we know
Laredo history55 matches
Torina history48 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Laredo
Over / under 2.5: ours Under
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 15:30 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 16:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (64.3%). Picks in that band won 63.9% of the time, and the model said 64.4% on average, over 2,031 matches.
Why Laredo are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Laredo are rated 52 Elo points higher
Elo 1,581 against 1,530. On rating alone Laredo would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.
-
Scoring rates are level
1.38 goals a game over 55 matches for Laredo, against 1.27 over 48 for Torina.
-
Defences are close
Laredo concede 1.18 a game, Torina 1.29.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
42% of Laredo matches, against 46% for Torina. The model puts this match at 48% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1581.3
ELO
1529.7
55
ELO · Matches
48
1581.3
Current Team ELO
1529.7
1529.7
Current Opponent ELO
1581.3
51.60
Current ELO Difference
-51.60
0.57
Expected score
0.43
55
History Matches
48
0.08
Residual Mean
0.03
55.54
Overperformance
51.89
0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.01
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.60
0.40
Goals for per game
1.40
0.80
Goals against per game
1.00
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
1.50
0.90
Goals for per game
1.00
0.80
Goals against per game
1.00
30.0%
Win rate
40.0%
0.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.00
0.94
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.89
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
0.87
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.10
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.22
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.73
Overall performance9 signals 90
55
Matches
48
1.55
PPG
1.54
40.0%
Win rate
43.8%
34.5%
Draw rate
22.9%
25.5%
Loss rate
33.3%
76.4%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
41.8%
Over 2.5 rate
45.8%
21.8%
Over 3.5 rate
18.8%
1.90
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.80
Venue performance10 signals 100
28
Matches
25
1.54
PPG
1.52
42.9%
Win rate
44.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
32.1%
Loss rate
36.0%
78.6%
Over 1.5 rate
76.0%
53.6%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
28.0%
2.09
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.92
28
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.38
Goals for per game
1.27
72.7%
Scoring rate
68.8%
49.1%
BTTS rate
45.8%
1.36
Goals for per game
1.40
71.4%
Scoring rate
72.0%
46.4%
BTTS rate
52.0%
55
History Matches
48
1.38
Goals Mean
1.27
1.33
Goals Std
1.08
72.7%
Scored 1+ rate
68.8%
40.0%
Scored 2+ rate
43.8%
14.5%
Scored 3+ rate
12.5%
1.36
Venue Goals Mean
1.40
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.18
Goals against per game
1.29
65.5%
Conceding rate
68.8%
1.36
Goals against per game
1.60
67.9%
Conceding rate
72.0%
55
History Matches
48
1.18
Conceded Mean
1.29
1.25
Conceded Std
1.37
29.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
33.3%
14.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
14.6%
1.36
Venue Conceded Mean
1.60
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
34.5%
Clean-sheet rate
31.3%
27.3%
Failed-to-score rate
31.3%
32.1%
Clean-sheet rate
28.0%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
28.0%
34.5%
Clean-sheet rate
31.3%
27.3%
Failed-to-score rate
31.3%
32.1%
Clean-sheet rate
28.0%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
28.0%
34.5%
Clean-sheet rate
31.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
55
History Matches
48
0.98
Result entropy
0.97
1.90
Goal Difference Std
1.80
1.51
Stability score
3.01
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
55
Eligible Matches
44
23
Lead Matches
15
73.9%
Lead Win Rate
86.7%
0.80
Lead Points Retention
0.87
14
Trailing Matches
9
35.7%
Non-loss rate
22.2%
7.1%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
55
Halftime Coverage Matches
44
0.69
First Half Goals For Mean
0.66
0.47
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.50
0.69
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.66
0.71
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.89
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
84.00
Rest days
189.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
26
Normal Rest History Matches
27
1.88
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.74
27
Long Rest History Matches
20
1.19
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.35
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
2
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.53
Portability PPG Std
0.04
1.30
Portability PPG Range
0.08
48.44
Portability Score
92.18
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
55
Clean History Matches
48
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO51.60
PPG0.00
GF0.11
GA-0.11
PPG0.02
PPG-0.40
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches7
Clean-sheet rate3.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.04
History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate4.1%
Failed-to-score rate0.6%
History Matches7
Goals Mean0.11
Goals Std0.25
Scored 1+ rate4.0%
Scored 2+ rate-0.04
Scored 3+ rate2.0%
Venue Goals Mean-0.04
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.05
History Matches7
Conceded Mean-0.11
Conceded Std-0.12
Clean-sheet rate3.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.04
Conceded 3+ rate0.00
Venue Conceded Mean-0.24
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.22
History Matches7
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std0.10
Stability score-1.50
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.17
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.51
Eligible Matches11
Lead Matches8
Lead Win Rate-0.13
Lead Points Retention-0.07
Trailing Matches5
Non-loss rate13.5%
Trailing Win Rate7.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches11
First Half Goals For Mean0.03
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.03
Second Half Goals For Mean0.03
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.18
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.49
Portability PPG Range1.22
Portability Score-43.74
Rest days-105.0
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.14
Long Rest History Matches7
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.16
Current Team ELO51.60
Current Opponent ELO-51.60
Current ELO Difference103.2
Expected score0.15
History Matches7
Residual Mean0.05
Overperformance3.65
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.04
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Laredo
D
Velarde1–1Laredo7 Nov · away
Pick: Laredo 35% · missed L
Laredo1–3Sámano1 Nov · home
Pick: Laredo 67% · missed L
Laredo2–4Burgos29 Oct · home
Pick: Burgos 42% · hit L
Cayón1–0Laredo25 Oct · away
Pick: Laredo 39% · missed W
Laredo4–2Guarnizo17 Oct · home
Pick: Laredo 55% · hit Torina
D
Velarde0–0Torina25 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 34% · hit D
Torina1–1Sámano18 Oct · home
Pick: Torina 57% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Laredo and Torina meet in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 16:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Laredo win 64.3%, draw 17.9%, Torina win 17.8%. The pick is Laredo win. Over 2.5 goals: 48.5%. Both teams to score: 50.7%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.