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2. liga Slovakia Round 17 2026

MFK Bytča vs Petržalka

MFK Bytča Home · Elo 1,588
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Petržalka Away · Elo 1,608
Mestsky stadion Bytca Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Petržalka win
MFK Bytča win
18.3%
Draw
18.2%
Petržalka winPick
63.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes57.3%
No42.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.559.0%
Under 2.541.0%

How much we know

MFK Bytča history34 matches
Petržalka history62 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (63.5%). Picks in that band won 63.9% of the time, and the model said 64.4% on average, over 2,031 matches.

Why Petržalka are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,588 against 1,608. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • MFK Bytča score more

    1.94 goals a game over 34 matches for MFK Bytča, against 1.68 over 62 for Petržalka.

  • Petržalka concede fewer

    MFK Bytča concede 1.35 a game, Petržalka 1.11.

  • MFK Bytča games more often go over 2.5 goals

    71% of MFK Bytča matches, against 50% for Petržalka. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
MFK Bytča
Petržalka@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1588.3
ELO
1608.2
34
ELO · Matches
62
1588.3
Current Team ELO
1608.2
1608.2
Current Opponent ELO
1588.3
-19.86
Current ELO Difference
19.86
0.47
Expected score
0.53
34
History Matches
62
0.12
Residual Mean
0.08
57.70
Overperformance
56.12
-0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.27
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
3.00
1.00
Goals for per game
3.40
2.20
Goals against per game
0.60
40.0%
Win rate
100.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
2.40
1.30
Goals for per game
2.60
1.70
Goals against per game
0.90
60.0%
Win rate
80.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.60
0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.43
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.90
1.79
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.22
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.46
2.65
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.90
Overall performance9 signals
90
34
Matches
62
2.03
PPG
1.68
61.8%
Win rate
48.4%
17.6%
Draw rate
22.6%
20.6%
Loss rate
29.0%
94.1%
Over 1.5 rate
72.6%
70.6%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
38.2%
Over 3.5 rate
30.6%
2.53
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.68
Venue performance10 signals
100
16
Matches
33
2.38
PPG
1.52
75.0%
Win rate
42.4%
12.5%
Draw rate
24.2%
12.5%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.8%
68.8%
Over 2.5 rate
51.5%
37.5%
Over 3.5 rate
30.3%
2.30
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.74
16
History Matches
33
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.94
Goals for per game
1.68
76.5%
Scoring rate
80.6%
47.1%
BTTS rate
53.2%
2.31
Goals for per game
1.70
87.5%
Scoring rate
75.8%
56.3%
BTTS rate
57.6%
0.60
Goals for per game
2.80
40.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
40.0%
BTTS rate
20.0%
34
History Matches
62
1.94
Goals Mean
1.68
1.45
Goals Std
1.32
76.5%
Scored 1+ rate
80.6%
67.6%
Scored 2+ rate
48.4%
26.5%
Scored 3+ rate
24.2%
2.31
Venue Goals Mean
1.70
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.35
Goals against per game
1.11
64.7%
Conceding rate
67.7%
1.13
Goals against per game
1.21
68.8%
Conceding rate
75.8%
3.20
Goals against per game
0.40
100.0%
Conceding rate
20.0%
34
History Matches
62
1.35
Conceded Mean
1.11
1.51
Conceded Std
1.09
32.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
25.8%
20.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.9%
1.13
Venue Conceded Mean
1.21
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
35.3%
Clean-sheet rate
32.3%
23.5%
Failed-to-score rate
19.4%
31.3%
Clean-sheet rate
24.2%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
24.2%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
80.0%
60.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
35.3%
Clean-sheet rate
32.3%
23.5%
Failed-to-score rate
19.4%
31.3%
Clean-sheet rate
24.2%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
24.2%
35.3%
Clean-sheet rate
32.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
34
History Matches
62
0.85
Result entropy
0.95
2.53
Goal Difference Std
1.68
15.43
Stability score
4.76
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
34
Eligible Matches
62
15
Lead Matches
26
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
73.1%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.78
7
Trailing Matches
11
14.3%
Non-loss rate
27.3%
14.3%
Trailing Win Rate
9.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
34
Halftime Coverage Matches
62
0.79
First Half Goals For Mean
0.69
0.53
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.35
1.15
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.98
0.82
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.76
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.90
Rest days
81.88
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
3
2.33
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.33
18
Normal Rest History Matches
34
2.17
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.76
12
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.83
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.67
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
3.00
20.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
80.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
60.0%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
2.06
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.02
5
Current Competition Matches
5
0.60
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-2.60
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.40
4
Competition Season Count
7
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.83
Portability PPG Std
0.58
1.67
Portability PPG Range
1.71
37.46
Portability Score
46.28
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
34
Clean History Matches
62
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-19.86
PPG0.35
GF0.26
GA0.24
PPG-2.40
PPG0.86
PPG-1.80
PPG-0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-28
Clean-sheet rate3.0%
Failed-to-score rate4.2%
History Matches-17
Clean-sheet rate7.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches-28
Goals Mean0.26
Goals Std0.14
Scored 1+ rate-0.04
Scored 2+ rate19.3%
Scored 3+ rate2.3%
Venue Goals Mean0.62
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.53
History Matches-28
Conceded Mean0.24
Conceded Std0.42
Clean-sheet rate3.0%
Conceded 2+ rate6.5%
Conceded 3+ rate7.7%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.09
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.57
History Matches-28
Result entropy-0.11
Goal Difference Std0.85
Stability score10.67
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.16
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.75
Eligible Matches-28
Lead Matches-11
Lead Win Rate26.9%
Lead Points Retention0.22
Trailing Matches-4
Non-loss rate-0.13
Trailing Win Rate5.2%
Halftime Coverage Matches-28
First Half Goals For Mean0.10
First Half Goals Against Mean0.17
Second Half Goals For Mean0.16
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.07
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-2.40
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-5.00
Competition Season Count-3
Eligible Competition Season Count-4
Portability PPG Std0.25
Portability PPG Range-0.05
Portability Score-8.81
Rest days2.02
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match1.00
Normal Rest History Matches-16
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.40
Long Rest History Matches-12
Long Rest Points Per Match0.17
Current Team ELO-19.86
Current Opponent ELO19.86
Current ELO Difference-39.72
Expected score-0.06
History Matches-28
Residual Mean0.04
Overperformance1.57
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.29

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

MFK Bytča

L
Lokomotíva Zvolen5–0MFK Bytča31 Oct · away
Pick: Lokomotíva Zvolen 63% · hit
L
MFK Bytča0–3Tatran Prešov24 Oct · home
Pick: Tatran Prešov 51% · hit
L
Galanta2–1MFK Bytča17 Oct · away
Pick: Galanta 63% · hit
L
Malženice3–1MFK Bytča31 Aug · away
Pick: Malženice 60% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Petržalka

L
Petržalka0–1Považská Bystrica1 Nov · home
Pick: Petržalka 60% · missed
L
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom1–0Petržalka24 Oct · away
Pick: Petržalka 45% · missed
D
Petržalka1–1Slovan Bratislava II18 Oct · home
Pick: Petržalka 69% · missed
D
Petržalka1–1Malženice4 Oct · home
Pick: Petržalka 65% · missed
W
Petržalka2–0Liptovský Mikuláš30 Aug · home
Pick: Petržalka 51% · hit

About this match

MFK Bytča and Petržalka meet in 2. liga on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. The match is played at Mestsky stadion Bytca. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: MFK Bytča win 18.3%, draw 18.2%, Petržalka win 63.5%. The pick is Petržalka win. Over 2.5 goals: 59.0%. Both teams to score: 57.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.